I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
Really? Wasn't aware that's allowed that they'd get full pay being in public sector. Private, obviously all MNC's pay their staff full mat wages, obviously some small private companies aren't in the same boat, but honestly though all public wouldn't be entitled to full pay
Not all MNC's pay full maternity. There's a reason teachers try for a December/January due date and it's because it gives them a 3 month working year on full pay
Indeed, we're even discussing them now, but I'd still think Holly Cairns would've made a stronger impression on the debate than Cian O'Callaghan's effort.
All MNC's i know of, including Tech & Pharma pay full mat leave, that's not to say there can't be a minority who don't but that shocks me being honest and i'd be interested to know who they were. All the big tech do, i know that for a fact, and a couple of big pharma i have friends at also do
It is now nearly as big a problem in middle class areas.
Always felt 3 was a push, pringle Is effectively an independent SF TD.
Her own LEA wasn't elected (but got 8.02% of the FPV), but they did elect 2 councillors - one in Bandon-Kinsale with 10.81% of the FPV and one in Skibbereen-West Cork with 8.23% of the FPV.
What will benefit her is name recognition. Michael Collins will likely top the poll by a mile, but Holly Cairns got elected last time out on 10.6% of the FPV (she was 5th) and got great transfers. Now she is a much better known candidate and the others running aren't necessarily world beaters (Christopher O'Sullivan who has been very quiet as a TD and the 2 FGers arent the highest of profile). It is a traditional FG area though so they will be pushing hard for a seat.
I still reckon she's relatively safe.
Well it would be expected that a party leader will give a stronger impression.
What gets me most with the social democrats is they are only running 26 candidates countrywide. Not only is that well short of a majority but it means there are some people in our 43 constituencies with no SD candidate on the ballot paper
Source:
https://www.rte.ie/news/election-24/2024/1116/1479187-simple-guide-general-election-2024/
26 in 25 constituencies; they're trying to do a sweeper in Cork North Central.
It avoids the embarrassingly tiny figures that some of the Green or PBP candidates (running 43 and 42 respectively) will have in some constituencies; also in some cases you might not even have a local candidate and have to run someone from outside the constituency.
Better that than end up in a situation like SF did last time when they had dragged the bottom of the bucket without proper vetting to get someone in every constituency and ended up with people like violet ann-wynne as TDs.
Or Patricia Ryan…………….
That's why I specifically mentioned betfair.
For interconnected markets the same applies, the bookie can lose on one bet but will gain overall from other interconnected bets, its still market sentiment based on where money is with various adjustments based on past events, maxiumum permitted stakes, minus overhead costs and/or marketing promotions and the like. But this is getting into the area of actuarial studies
Clearly even the vetted ones like John McGahon get through as well though.
And?
Does that mean the editorial line in RTE is soft on FF and FG?
Unless one has actual proof, then all this is smoke and mirrors.
She's due a baby now in Nov so got pregnant in February
Back then and upto about a month ago, the Govt were telling everyone the election would be in early 2025
So you could say she timed her pregnancy correct (not that that matters anyway)
Looking through Dublin mid-west and it's one of the most straight forward to call all 5 seats with demographics playing a huge role
SF 2(O'Broin & Ward) seats (Will always be strong in Fettercairn, Bawnouge,Green Park, Neilstown, Marks etc etc)
Gino has Neilstown boxed off so he'll retain his seat
Emer Higgins unfortunately has Newcastle, Saggart, Rathcoole and parts of Lucan pretty much to herself so an absolute cert as a cert can be to retain her seat
FF final seat, Moynihan is actually located in the area which will probably suit best to pick enough votes up to win a seat
I think one of the 2 SF or Gino will lose to an Aontu/II/far-right candidate there.
Certainly won't be Aontu if you look at the candidate, he's very local and wouldn't have much of a presence, and wouldn't be worrying SF too much. I don't know enough about any of the far right candidates if any are actually running
Linda DeCourcey for Independent Ireland was mentioned as a vague possibility of a seat on RTE's 'Know Your Constituency' podcast.
Had to google her, she mentions immigration so will win some votes. I'd be almost certain of 4 of the 5 i mentioned so maybe she could take the last seat, although the FF lad is located well
but but but anyone voting for Helen McEntee after her abysmal failure as a Minister for Justice should get his/her head examined. The way she failed to handle the illegal immigrants and the current low morale of the Garda are but two examples of her total incompetence. She simply wasn't fit for purpose, wayyyyyyyyyyyy out of her dept. Much more competent women were to be found in the junior ministers rank or worse still left spouting on the back benches.
Low morale in AGS is completely down to Garda management. Also, is there a big problem with illegal immigration?
Did the Gardai ever have high morale.
Always seemed miserable to me.
It is looking like my prediction a couple weeks ago that this election will be cancelled due to heavy snowfall is extremely likely. It is coming down hard now in Mayo.
I have not found any mechanism whereby a general election writ that has been moved can be cancelled.
The forecast is not for this weather to last nine days either.
Those who were pushing for a November election because the weather was bound to be better than in February/March arent't looking too clever as things stand…
What have now and 9 days time got to do with each other ?
It's not just the weather. It's the 3 months of darkness and winter weather. And the depression post Xmas. Autumn is much nicer.
The first 2 weeks of November were ideal for canvassing.
When are you voting??
it’ll be close on 15 degrees come the weekend
