I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
Tobin was good but how many TDs will his party have after the election, 5 at push would be a fantastic result for him
I'm not aware of any constituency outside of Meath West where Aontu have more than an outside chance. Winning x + 1 seats would require lightning to strike x times for Aontu…
Jesus it would be brilliant to see the back of Paul Murphy.
Peadar would be running out of family members though, if he were to have more than two TDs.
Seems fairly unlikely…
Significantly more chance of 5 SPBP than 5 Aontu - Coppinger is not nailed on but pretty solid; although Murphy isn't guaranteed to keep his.
I've not even heard FG people say Harris done well. He was giving critism on morning ireland over his performance.
Il add Mary Lou wasn't half as good as during the debates in 2020
Micheal Martin was his usual self, nothing spectacular but for all his faults, he's a smart politician who can sidetrack any questions he dosnt want to asw (like why they promised 50,000 affordable homes and built less than 10% of it which Hannon tried to push him on)
RBB same as Tobin and same about how many TDs will they have 5 being a great result
RTÉ's election podcast suggested that the 3 party leaders all did well. Twitter was useless to check, each party claimed their leader was the best (as it ever was).
I didn't bother watching last night, but it does seem from a general sense that Peadar Toibín was the best speaker, the 3 main party leaders did well, the other smaller parties struggled to get their point across. RBB was quiet at start but came into it later.
Anybody who claims otherwise has proven track record (like yourself @FrancieBrady of being a strong supporter of a specific party).
Why would anyone assume his neutrality is a good question. Regardless of what he is or who he is, he is at variance which most mainstream media and other viewers last night. Harris was bad and Micheal spoke well on some but was noticeably caught out on others.
No reason to think he should is there? While Donnelly does get quite a bit of exposure particularly around US elections on RTE and it's hard to think his wife isn't a factor in getting alot of said exposure, he's hardly a household name? Secondly, given his centre right credentials, he's hardly 'neutral' and it'ss hardly a surprise he'd be talking up Harris and Martin.
She's a decent skin is Neasa Hourigan, i'd like her to retain her seat, although it seems it'll be a dog fight
The lack of progress on any of these things has very little to do with money to pay for the infrastructure however (at least directly).
https://www.rte.ie/radio/radio1/clips/22461718/
I thought Neasa Hourigan and Mary Fitzpatrick did a great job standing up to Malachy Steenson here, particularly Neasa.
Regardless of your views on immigration or any other political issue, I'm not sure how anyone would vote for such a profoundly dislikeable man as Steenson.
I doubt these debates move the needle too much but Harris was incredibly poor with the snide teacher's pet vibe shining through on multiple occasions. I'm hoping for his sake he doesn't plan on making the ludicrous "mentally stabbed" line a feature of the remainder of the campaign.
Out of the 3 " big parties " MM is the least bad but awful. ,then MLM , Harris is as insufferable as varadkar, possibly worse?!
I do, and I'm not convinced he is immune from some idiocy. Micheal Martin was caught out completely spoofing by his Green partner in government and on affordable homes and was constantly taking credit for 'leading'. Chest thumping it is called. Harris, from the off was awful , nervous, insulting and deeply out of his depth. Media is generally being a bit kinder on his performance but not much.
Agree we need something to show for the Apple money and infrastructure would be ok, if spent wisely…mid west needs a second hospital, but lets not spend 2.5bn on it…Limerick/Cork motorway still isnt started…i think metrolink to airport is a good idea in dublin, but get that done first, then in later years look at dart/luas extensions…it does seem a lot of parties are rolling this 15bn into tax cuts…also housing plans across the parties are all well and good, but who will build these houses and where will they all live while these houses are being built..
You don't know who Larry Donnelly is, do you?
'Twitter is full of idiots except my guy who says what I want to believe'. you mean?
Well you can't spend a one off on things like lowering taxes or tariffs because it will run out.
The Greens are right to spend it on infrastructure even if we do have problems with overrun.
You left out FG who want to increase the Help to Buy resulting in pissing away the Apple money to private developers to make them even more rich
The real concerning thing is this election seems to be about who will spend the Apple money best, seems like very little longer term thinking than that. We wont always have an apple windfall. Greens looking to spend 10 billion on infrastructure, when has any infrastructure project come in on budget and a lot centralised to Dublin, metrolink, luas, dart…would worry about what we have to pay after 5 years…SF looking to cut loads of taxes and build affordable homes and cap rents, reduce cost of petrol/diesel, remove property tax…again how do we fund that longer term without taxes…all seems a bit dangerous to me, very much the american style, surprised someone hasnt said Ireland first yet or make ireland great again (MIGA)…
It's still hard to believe Helen McEntee is the Minister for Justice.
And now she's pulling the trick of accusing people of sexism if she's criticised.
It was a debate specifically for party leaders, SD's sent a deputy leader for understandable reasons. What registered political party are the healy raes members of though? I cant quite remember.
You mean Larry Donnelly is in the minority of one, and as you know Twitter is full of idiots… so comments don't mean anything.
The rule according to RTE was any party that pulled 2% of the electorate in 2020 or had at least one outgoing TD. The 2 Healy Raes are not in a party so don't qualify
In fairness I'd say they don't care. Not being on RTE last night means they've more time to canvas in Kerry and prepare for better debates on Radio Kerry
Oh for sure! I don't like the man or his party but he can make his point very well
No, it was based on being a registered party with a Dáil member. The Healey Rae clowncar is not a registered party; and would have a higher vote than Joan Collin's one woman band too
I was offering analysis on the constituency Breezy, feel free to ignore : )
Think it was based on vote percentage
Take it to some betting thread then. It's nothing got to do with who will win the election.
If I was Michael Healy Rae I'd be pretty p*ssed off that Joan Collins was invited to participate on the basis of her "party", but he wasn't.
2 Healy-Rae TDs and 3 County Councillors v 1 RTC TD and 1 Councillor.
