I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
Curious where you have Aontú getting 2 extra seats? They are such a one-man show that last night on prime time they had 2 Limerick candidates (Brian Leddin of the Greens, Conor Sheehan from Labour) and then had Peadar Tóibín and just mentioned that their local candidate is X.
That would be nice but I don't trust it when it comes from parties whose politicians are such keen drivers of this behaviour.
Just look at how a Fine Gael politician was front and centre of trying to get the Dublin quays traffic plan stopped. Nationally all about change but on the ground the biggest blockers of any little bit of progress.
Deep down FF and FG don't want any change in city centres and cling to some rose tinted view of how centres used to be.
The new planning bill will make it much harder for people to object to new developments. Judicial reviews will be much harder to enact.
Making it harder for nimbys to block devrlopments is exactly what we need, I agree with you. Thats what the bill will do.
It's not just Dublin. Across the country it's too easy to NIMBY down the height of buildings.
None of the "big 3" will stop this and in fact their politicians are often the ones siding with the NIMBYs.
Jim O'Callaghan takes a sipe at McEntee and McEntee responds with the sexism card.
Such a pain in the hole
We have never built as many dense apartment buildings as we have in the last year or 2.
There are plenty in the pipeline and under commencement.
The new planning board will have to raise height levels though, I agree with you. It's a matter of time before that happens.
Note the decision by the high court to put Ronan's 45 floor tower back in the picture with planning; would be fantastic to see that approved.
I'm predicting FF + SF + Indos
I agree. I have the same prediction. FFG+SD.
Another plonker has his name in the ring in the form of Mick Wallace
Hopefully he'll get the same result he got in the European election.
Haven't read the whole thread, just the last dozen or so pages, and not seeing too many (or any) predictions of the outcome nationally so far.
Mine, for what it's worth (and it isn't worth much) is:
FG - 48 FF - 42 SF - 33 Ind/II - 26 SD - 7 PBP - 5 Lab - 6 GP - 4 Aontu - 3
Government will be FF+FG+whoever they choose to be the fall guy/mudflap.
While the obove result would give FG/FF a slim majority, they won't want that precarious situation, and while the obvious third party in this scenario would be Independents, or even Independent Ireland, I think they'll stick with the tried-and-trusted formula of bringing in a small, loudmouthed party that they know will constantly hog the limelight for unpopular decisions, and can be trusted to put their foot firmly in their mouth at every opportunity, to deflect attention from the sins of the father(s). The GP have been all wrung out at this point, and RoG is getting more toxic by the day, so I think they'll go with the inimitable Holly and the Social Democrats.
My prediction for the outcome of GE 2024 is a government of FG/FF/SD.
That should read Jim o Callaghan
He’s one of the hardest working T.D’s to be fair despite battling mental health issues
https://www.thejournal.ie/td-gary-gannon-mental-health-adhd-6293983-Feb2024/
How will more workers fix the viability issues with apartment building in this country?
There are only so many Clay Farms can be built in Dublin before we soon run out of space. Density is required, but under current FF housing minister apartments have become less and less viable to build, so much so that apartment commencements have cratered recently.
Cluedo the more you name these FF politicians that i have put to the back of my brain the more i wonder if i'll bother giving them any kind of preferance in a few weeks time.
I might just revert to form and vote locally
It was Jim O'Callaghan TD. Miriam's brother. FF Justice spokesman. Should have been minister for Justice (according to himself) and is now claiming credit for stuff McEntee did.
Working in the office projects, which are largely closing out now.
They will migrate to residential as the pipeline for new office devs is very small now.
A Northern Irish character in Coronation Street and subject of a number of memes.
As for who they actually meant, I have no idea!
Who is Jim McDonald?
It's nonsense. Most voters are not property owners with huge debts or at risk of negative equity. Huge numbers of voters don't own a home at all. Many more have paid their mortgages off or have only a small loan left. Anyone with an LTV less than 50% won't be in negative equity even if house prices were somehow to halve. House prices halving is an extreme scenario.
Thanks, i checked 2024, and he's one of the higher attending TD's, although if you have been pulled up on something in the past, then you're bound to be seen more often
Gannon had the lowest attendance in 2021. Doesn't appear to anymore. I can't remember if an excuse was given at the time.
TD forced to pay back €1,000 expenses due to poor attendance | Irish Independent
RCW is a lock according to the bookies.
What exactly do you mean by this?, and where is your source you claimed against Gary Gannons attendance being one of the lowest in the Dail?
Sinn Fein could capture the silent minority (there is no silent majority) and perform up to their level at the last general election, but I doubt it. That silent minority is going to independents and smaller parties (Aontu, Independent Ireland) most likely and resulting in a messy Dail with government difficult. Slight chance it could go back to the government parties leaving them overperforming the opinion polls.
Everyone knows the silent majority are far right voters.
There is no such thing as a silent majority. Never has been, never will be.
We were told there was a silent majority against Repeal, turned out they were actually an incredibly loud minority. This is what always happens.
People who think they're in a silent majority are not in a majority and never stay silent about it!
Sinn Fein will win the silent majority, I predict an upset
Mick Wallace announces he’s running. They must be getting worried that Cobalt isn’t going to be re-elected
My take on Mayo is slightly different.
Two seats for Fine Gael, one seat for Fianna Fail. The last two seats between Sinn Fein, independents ( or Aontu, Independent Ireland if they are running someone) and the second FF and third FG.
Forgot about the extra seat this time, Walsh may take it with whatever 'left' vote exists in Mayo, unless they go positively transfer toxic
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