I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
The ROG statement on the date confirms what a lot of people think about the Green tail wagging the dog. Bad move from a PR perspective.
It's bad politics from Harris and clever by O'Gorman who stole his thunder. Harris looks silly pretending it will be in Feb/March for months. He wants to look like a statesman but he is now being led by the nose. He got his white house visit which was his childish priority. Now, if he agrees with 29-Nov, O'Gorman looks to be calling the shots. However 5-Dec is a bit too far out and too close to Xmas. He might pick 5-Dec just to prove he is the big man in charge but he won't want his deputy McEntee waffling for that long a campaign! His lack of returning TDs really hampers a long campaign. Martin is sitting back smiling at the inexperience.
Would this archaeological evidence be in the Tuam area perchance?
Well hopefully - much as I detest FF I detest even more the idea that independents would have the balance of power or even be in cabinet, like in the previous Dail (Shane Ross, the most useless cabinet minister in the history of the state)
Not at all, she wants out and I don't blame her.
Can't believe Harris isn't being laughed at more. He's a complete weirdo.
Part David Brent, part Partridge, part school prefect.
Makes Varadkar seem like JFK.
Probably easier for them to get a handful of indies than an actual party with policies and principles.
Airlines don't want to be forced to operate into other airports if the demand isn't there… we have been down this road before with the Shannon Stopover… If that was the case we would have the foreign airlines that are currently operating into Dublin switching or expanding into the regional airports…. Cork has a year round KLM flight to Amsterdam, but the Air France and Lufthansa services are seasonal. KLM don't operate to Shannon even though they are free to start a service there if they wish… again demand.
Even Willie Walsh now CEO at IATA says that he has spoken to international airlines that say they want to operate into Ireland but only interested in Dublin (Being the capital and serving the larger population)….. It's a stupid notion to say to spread the flights around the island… Be like asking the American/Asian airlines to operate into Bristol to serve London instead of Heathrow or Gatwick, Rotterdam instead of Amsterdam Schipol. We have to look also at the pretty sub standard road and rail infrastructure outside Dublin (some would say even in Dublin) compared to our UK and Continental European neighbours.
https://www.irishtimes.com/business/2024/10/16/dublin-airport-cap-a-joke-says-willie-walsh/
Anyway back on topic with the elections… I can't see the Greens getting back in and I stand by my comment about Eamon Ryan's inaction and not being proactive in the transport portfolio… Don't get me started with Metro North… been talked about the past 20 years or so and still not built.
Be careful with that talk. You will upset the Dublin Airport Libertarians.
Good idea.
Family cover starts at about 140 quid per month. Maybe we could do something like the new pension auto-enrolment, just deduct €140 from the salary or benefits of every household at source. You'd even get a tax break for it!
I can't see the left having a problem with universal healthcare if FG/FF were to make it happen.
Yeah?
If you want a return of this government as is you'd better have private health insurance. Pure and simple.
You are right
Dublin airport 84%
Cork 7%
Munster 1.3m
Leinster 2.8
As you say we have Shannon and Knock. Plus Belfast to cover part of the country which of course is not under our control but 84% is too high for Dublin
daa own two airports, Dublin and Cork. That's it. They have no involvement whatsoever in any others, most are privately held - Shannon is owned by the State but outside of the daa.
There were no Labour councillors in Sligo at the time, so I've no idea who you think you met.
In actual fact there’s barely a cigarette paper between FF and FG policy wise. We will have an election and be persuaded that a govt with FF leading it is different from a Govt with FG leading it … because between them they have the system all sewn up.
You need to talk to DAA who manage all the airports and seem to have little or no interest in building up the other airports, people having to travel the country to Dublin for flights when they could be more than capable of flying from another airport
I did the numbers before but the population spilt across Ireland and then take the percentage of flights from Dublin are massively out of sync. Maybe that is something we should look at?
Id imagine it was women celebrating the fact that at last they are in charge of their own bodies and health. Like men have always been.
Just the two of them? They'd need 88 seats.
Before SFs recent implosion I'd have said odds worse than 50/50. Now I'd say better than 50/50.
My most likely outcome at the moment would be FG/FF and Independent Ireland in a deal.
FG and FF will probably talk to Labour and the Soc Dems, but ultimately I don't see them having a huge interest in a leftist dog tail, and I think we can discount the Greens from any serious participation. Much like the last 4.5 years really.
The Dublin Airport passenger cap is something set in place by Fingal Co Co when planning was applied for. It is not with Ryan's remit (or any other government minister's remit) to change it despite the mouthing off by MOL.
As for the FF TD you spoke to - dis you ask them why FF haven't lifted the cap or were you happy just to let them tell you what you wanted to hear?
What is the chance that FF +FG will get enough seats between them to form a Govt?
Low chance?
Very low chance?
Impossible?
I don't know if it was a "rock concert", but there was a party in Dublin Castle.
Imagine cheering and applauding the intentional destruction of unborn babies.
I don't think the majority of people responded to the result like this.
I met a Labour Cllr from Sligo who was very happy.
RBB will get in, Paul Murphy too probably.
The rest will be under pressure, but certainly, the working class vote has changed over the past 4/5 years. It may not vote for those lads as readily.
Some of it for some respondents. Not all of it and some people were surveyed nine days ago
We haven't seen a percentage for satisfaction with the government, but I would guess it to be over 50% as there are some who vote for gene-pool independents who believe that.
SF have never attracted transfers the same as other parties. Which is to say, they have a very, very solid base.
I don't think they'll loose a whole heap in percentage terms from their June results, but their best outcome now is to hold their representation, allowing for the increase to 174 seats. So they have 33 now, they would need 36 to be counted as standing still.
30 or less, and its all over for Mary Lou and this generation of SF leadership.
According to the poll today the three parties in gov are on 47% surely they'd be higher if 'most' people recognised they are 'making progress?
Heather not running here is going to hurt in terms of their second seat ambitions. She is popular with a good few not because she is FG but because in her various ministries she pumped a lot of money into a wide range of places and organisations. FG can’t depend on all of her vote.
Much as Harris is doing well and is popular, I think the 18 non runners is going to hurt big time.
They don't even have a good candidate to replace the retiring Michael Ring which was a guaranteed seat as long as he was there.
I think FF will certainly be close enough to FG to retain the rotating Taoiseach idea assuming they both end up in government again.
When it comes to Dublin Airport's growth and the support of aviation the Greens are partly to blame… Having a Minister for Transport and a Tourism Minister that seem to be pretty much useless at their portfolios…. I remember Seamus Brennan being very proactive and supportive in his role as Minister for Transport… this man couldn't care less because it goes against his party policies… Anyway he's going so maybe things will change after the election…
I just happened to run into and speak to a local FF TD down here in Wexford today, he says that FF are very much in the mind that Dublin Airport is vital as an island nation to have connectivity to the world and for our economy, and supports the lifting of the cap as it is crazy.
Also this piece from Ivan Yates not too long ago..
But it included this week's sh!t show didn’t it? We'll see in due time if their fall is as dramatic as you're predicting.
