I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
Aka a house
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Didn't sya he was the worst but he's not very appealing, I've yet to meet someone who welcomed SH as taoiseach or even as a minister tbh.
I really wonder about these polls tbh, they seem to be way off on many subjects again and again - even the last referrendum went completely against the scores.
I saw a pundit saying SF may spin their recent woes as the old boys club bullying them while not exactly being angels themselves.
So I would not rule out a stronger shinner performance than presently expected.
Harris has the highest approval ratings of any Taoiseach ever, since polling began.
I'm not a big fan of FG but he's not the worst of them.
I've been thinking about this as well. I wonder what the magic proportion is where FF can make a legitimate claim for a rotating Taoiseach. Clearly MM has his heart set on being Taoiseach again so he's going to push for it but at a certain point it's not credible.
I think the highest number of seats that a junior coalition party had in the past was Labour's 37 in 2011. They were still 29 seats behind FG so it was a non-issue then. It'll be a lot closer this time.
None of that matters to the person trying to find somewhere to rent today or trying to buy a house today and facing prices that they simply cannot afford.
The people who are quite content with property shortages and the resulting record prices are likely already in the bag for the government parties.
What time on 'Fri' will the election be called?
A touch of Trumpet mindset there
On the quays not the airport
2 steps forward,3 steps back
Well I hope it's not that soon!
Slim pickings at the ballot box for you
Let's be honest, it's gonna take a recession or a massive scandal to see any real alternative government for the next few years. Only question is the formation of the next government. We know what parties will be involved, or likely to be governing.
Whats the alternative? Just asking because I would like to see serious constructive politics, I think the way forward is more cross party lines initatives.
They may be up but nowhere near up as much as commencement state.
From my own work submitting commencements for one off houses, I had to get a few of them in last Easter to meet deadline for development waiver at the time.
Of all those submitted, none have started work.
The reality is that its currently very difficult for the average young couple to get mortgage but the minister is happy because he can state that commencements are through the roof.
Sundays and public holidays don't count towards that 18.
every election until we're carbon neutral
or the heat death of the universe, whichever comes first
Apologies, I am off-topic.
Yes, I have heard your argument before.
Here are the GMS fees.
I see how your point applies to a 60yo man, where the fee is 180. If the man goes to the GP three times a year, the GP gets 60 each time. If the man goes more times, the rates per visit falls.
Maybe I'm unusual, but a decade might pass, and I might go to the GP once.
Obviously, lots of people go much more often than me, it seems.
It is picking up, some done, a lot more to do.
https://www.independent.ie/business/irish/builders-start-work-on-more-than-60-thousand-homes-in-rush-to-avail-of-key-state-incentives/a836612598.html
House building is up
Completions are up
Commencements are up
Now, they may not be up as much as you personally want, but the facts are they are up, and that is not an anecdote, its a fact.
A huge swathe of the population only become politically engaged around general election time so there'll be significant shifts in polling between now and polling day. Ultimately housing and health will be the main voting issues and FF & FG are weak on both.
Expect some surprises.
This is why I'm wondering if FG wins 10+ more seats than FF, could they work out a coalition where one party is slightly more equal than the other, say FG taoiseach for three years and FF one for two?
Do you live in a one-off house?
And as I said, there appears to be movement on the ground when it comes to more housing..
I would not see Pippa Hackett getting elected. She could not manage it last time out when there was a "green wave" . The boundary changes do not look in her favour either.
Her husband, who she gifted her council seat too lost it in the local elections, and her son ran in the other constituency she was considering and got nowhere. Far as I recall both husband and son didn`t get enough vote to get their deposits back.
I would not see anything other than FF/FG and a group of rural T.D.s. Both FF and FG have be taking hits from being in power with the Greens from their traditionally dependable rural vote.
Agree with all of the above.
FG potentially could poll much higher than FF leading to FF having to reconcile the possibility of entering a coalition as the junior party next time around as opposed to forming another "coalition of equals".
The election won't be called Friday, but it is imminent and will likely take place on November 22nd.
Right now based on polls it will be FG/FF with either Labour and/or Soc Dems. Greens will be hit but will return some TDs just not enough to be worth including in gov.
Immigration won't be the issue it was manufactured to be in the locals, the far right won't get a sniff IMO though some of the rural TDs may seek to exploit the issue for cheap gain.
SF will not reach the heights that polling a year ago indicated they might though it was always a tad exaggerated. It's unlikely they'll be in a position now to form a government, and thus the end of the MLMD era is nigh too.
Election either on 22-Nov or 29-Nov. There is very little chance a government will be formed until 2025. It will take months to agree a program for government.
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