I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
Gript were getting you needlessly agitated about things that were never going to happen.
But that's their M.O.
They need to pass the finance bill.
No, and it was never going to be called tomorrow
18-25 days between writ and election date; the rumoured dates could not even be called tomorrow.
They're getting my number 1 vote again, and I'll be giving them number 1 every election until we're carbon neutral
I'm guessing FF/FG will end up in coalition again. Turns out mediocrity and preserving the status quo is better than the alternatives for most people
As for the others, I reckon SF is going to implode. The party has always been this bizarre alliance of the left and right people who hate FF/FG
Now between immigration and Gaza those two wings hate each other and the party leadership can't hold it together
I reckon the left wing of the party will swing to a combination of Labour, Social Democrats and PBP depending on how moderate they are. This in turn might be enough to give the first two a shot at being the junior partner in a coalition
PBP are never, ever going to get into government and will do everything they can to resist going into government because they know they'll be getting the blame for screwing everything up
Unfortunately I think the right wing of SF supporters (i.e. the group who post on boards.ie) might be enough to carry one of the psychotic far right parties into the Dail
Again, they'll never get into government but we'll all be subjected to listening to whatever spiteful crap they're spewing into the chamber
Hopefully there's a referendum limiting Dail privilege at some point, it'd be nice to see some of the twats like Grealish facing legal action over their comments
18-25 days?
Are campaigns not usually longer? I'm not sure.
I have six weeks in my head.
no not according to the electoral act of 1992.
Once the Dail is dissolved an election has to take place within 30 days
Not in Ireland they aren't. Been 18-25 days for over 30 years.
So if rumours of the 22nd are to be believed, it has to be dissolved by the 23?
No, by the 4th. 18 minimum.
Hard one to predict except the Greens will probably get a hiding at the Polling Stations. It will be interesting to see how the recent run of SF's controversies affect the electorate. Will it put off the new SF voter or will the hardcore SF voter rally around SF even more?
I assume FF and FG will remain fairly similar and might even increase their number of seats if the timing of the election is right for them.
Labour and the SD have been playing it cagey hedging their bets it will be interesting to see how this strategy plays with the electorate.
Difficult to call for the small parties, you need to look at each constituency and the individuals standing there.
For example, looking at the 3 Fingal Constituencies (Dublin West, Fingal West, Fingal East), Labour could end up with zero seats…or on a very good day, 3..
GP charge 26.50 in France, due to increase to 30 next year.
I have asked lots of people, but nobody has provided any explanation as to how this is possible.
Everyone pays that, or its refunded to them by an insurance scheme.
As a GP here if they'd be willing to take 30 per patient for every patient and they'd bite your arm off for it.
For medical card and doctor visit card patients, GPs are paid as little as 64.28 a year, to cover all visits that patient makes. Patients with those cards attend about twice as often as those who pay per visit, as you are less likely to ignore something when it isn't costing you money - for long term health outcomes, you want people to go when they're sick.
Medical card/DVC payments are unsustainably low and have been for decades; GPs make their money off higher than internationally comparable fees for people without them.
Election either on 22-Nov or 29-Nov. There is very little chance a government will be formed until 2025. It will take months to agree a program for government.
The election won't be called Friday, but it is imminent and will likely take place on November 22nd.
Right now based on polls it will be FG/FF with either Labour and/or Soc Dems. Greens will be hit but will return some TDs just not enough to be worth including in gov.
Immigration won't be the issue it was manufactured to be in the locals, the far right won't get a sniff IMO though some of the rural TDs may seek to exploit the issue for cheap gain.
SF will not reach the heights that polling a year ago indicated they might though it was always a tad exaggerated. It's unlikely they'll be in a position now to form a government, and thus the end of the MLMD era is nigh too.
FG potentially could poll much higher than FF leading to FF having to reconcile the possibility of entering a coalition as the junior party next time around as opposed to forming another "coalition of equals".
Agree with all of the above.
I would not see Pippa Hackett getting elected. She could not manage it last time out when there was a "green wave" . The boundary changes do not look in her favour either.
Her husband, who she gifted her council seat too lost it in the local elections, and her son ran in the other constituency she was considering and got nowhere. Far as I recall both husband and son didn`t get enough vote to get their deposits back.
I would not see anything other than FF/FG and a group of rural T.D.s. Both FF and FG have be taking hits from being in power with the Greens from their traditionally dependable rural vote.
And as I said, there appears to be movement on the ground when it comes to more housing..
Do you live in a one-off house?
This is why I'm wondering if FG wins 10+ more seats than FF, could they work out a coalition where one party is slightly more equal than the other, say FG taoiseach for three years and FF one for two?
A huge swathe of the population only become politically engaged around general election time so there'll be significant shifts in polling between now and polling day. Ultimately housing and health will be the main voting issues and FF & FG are weak on both.
Expect some surprises.
House building is up
Completions are up
Commencements are up
Now, they may not be up as much as you personally want, but the facts are they are up, and that is not an anecdote, its a fact.
It is picking up, some done, a lot more to do.
https://www.independent.ie/business/irish/builders-start-work-on-more-than-60-thousand-homes-in-rush-to-avail-of-key-state-incentives/a836612598.html
Apologies, I am off-topic.
Yes, I have heard your argument before.
Here are the GMS fees.
I see how your point applies to a 60yo man, where the fee is 180. If the man goes to the GP three times a year, the GP gets 60 each time. If the man goes more times, the rates per visit falls.
Maybe I'm unusual, but a decade might pass, and I might go to the GP once.
Obviously, lots of people go much more often than me, it seems.
every election until we're carbon neutral
or the heat death of the universe, whichever comes first
Sundays and public holidays don't count towards that 18.
They may be up but nowhere near up as much as commencement state.
From my own work submitting commencements for one off houses, I had to get a few of them in last Easter to meet deadline for development waiver at the time.
Of all those submitted, none have started work.
The reality is that its currently very difficult for the average young couple to get mortgage but the minister is happy because he can state that commencements are through the roof.
Whats the alternative? Just asking because I would like to see serious constructive politics, I think the way forward is more cross party lines initatives.
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