I think it will be FF/FG again with god knows who. Hopefully a left wing party
It will be November 15th
25% of 18-24 voters in that same poll will give 1st preference votes for FG or FF and that's growing.
Commencements are a notice of intent from developer to LA. It does not mean site has actually commenced. The surge in commencements was directly related to the waiver for development levies if sites commenced by a certain date.
All those sites are just backlog, and next year's commencements will drop massively such that average completions across few years remain broadly similar.
The idea we have a surge in new building because of commencements is nothing more than hot air. Party spin from Darragh o brien
Its highly likely we will get 40k homes in 2025, probably 33k to 40k this year.
We have 62k commencements in the last 12 months alone, with 15k in September. We havent seen 60k commencements since the Celtic Tiger days.
All markers are pointing upwards on housing delivery.
Unless SF started to support the middle income and upward earners, there will always be a chasm between them and FFG.
Always party first, whoever writes the party mandate runs the show. Same for all the others.
It's not off the wall when it's a core of the party policy. I'd suggest just emailing them to ask.
If I get the chance again I will.
If would feel a bit weird bringing something so off the wall up with a candidate,I would look and sound like a bit of a loon but I absolutely will if I have the opportunity.
If elected, he'll be whipped and required to vote to remove abortion rights at any and every opportunity. You are voting for the party policy as well as the candidates desires; and the party policy is single issue with decorations - ban abortion first, other stuff after
And I am absolutely certain he's in favour of doing that. Ask him.
You're correct with the Aontu logo,that is on it and it's Life,Unity,Economic Justice.
The Life part and the Unity part (if this is in relation to United Ireland) are of no interest to me and my peer group.Its at odds with everything else on the literature which is more specific to what the candidate stands for.
This feeds into my point and illustrates exactly what i was suggesting, that young,up and coming,smart,new politicians are moving away from what the party was about originally and more towards what people on the ground are concerned with.
No, I can't be open to that, as they're not doing it. They may be trying to convince people they've changed; but they haven't and won't.
Its a single issue, anti abortion party currently wearing a bit of a cloak to try and get in to do their single issue. The party only exists due to said single issue.
Does the leaflet not even have the party slogan on it, which has Life in it? Its the first word on it.
I'd suggest you ask him outright what his views on it are and what way he would vote on it when elected, as it seems it would be an outright vote loser for you. Don't be surprised by the outcome.
There are ALWAYS surprises in an election.
Opinion polls generally don't predict the outcome.
Expect the unexpected.
Agree, though it didn't stop Enda lol.
He's not, or well, doesn't come across as a natural leader. Being honest, he doesn't strike me even as being a good local rep. But they are just my views.
Lol, as opposed to voting for a party because they have for generations, it's a popularity game at the end of the day, whatever works, a youth vote (if it happens) would be very unlikely to favour the FF FG parties.
Ye listen "adorable" and "cute" isn't gonna cut it with people who will actually vote, or if people are voting for him on that basis, it's a sad indictment of today's youth
It's not FF or FG fault that the main opposite are an incompetent party, with links to organised crimes and seem to have questionable attitudes towards paedofiles and criminals.
I think you need to question those parties and not blame others
The Green party are a great example of a party which is run well, has an objective and when they get into government deliver on as much as possible of that objective. Yet are hated in Ireland.
Work that one out
That's exactly why I said they'd probably like a term in opposition to rebuild new members profiles. Varadkar, Coveney and Richard Bruton have been the face of FG for 2 decades, all going. In fact 15 of their 35 are not standing. They need to rebuild, and while the old saying of a day in power is better than a year in opposition, being out of spotlight might suit them as they rebuild
Polling would indicate that SH is indeed quite popular and likable and is up 17% in lastest Ipsos poll.
I heard my daughter and her friends who show no interest in politics or currenct affairs telling me a few days ago that SH 'adorable' and 'cute'. He is connecting with younger voters very well and I suspest no Taoiseach ever has ever been referred to this way by young people before.
First off,let me say I think you're a good poster and generally make your points well..Based on that and you seem fairly sure on this I'll double check literature,I won't vote for him if there's any nonsense about right to life or anything like that.
Could you be open to the fact that young,smart,up and coming Aontu candidates are moving away from what we just mentioned and towards what they're actually hearing on doorsteps?
Edit,
Just had a look again there.
Main headings are immigration, housing,health,crime and some local issues.
No mention of abortion or anything " life" related.
I'll pm to you if you like to have a look.
Nature and politics abhor a vacuum, if demand really rises for a change some party will rise to take that mantle.
It's actually the old FF chameleon trick - stick in centre but lean left or right depending on the coalition partner the public voted in with them. So during early Celtic Tiger years when Ireland was suddenly banking nation of the world, PDs get votes go in with Bertie and tax cuts for all (especially corporations), everyone happy. Things a bit tight, need social policies like in early 90s and FF go in with Labour.
That's one of the reasons behind FF's long standing success, they could present themselves as almost anything. It's also one of their biggest threats, and I'm surprised they've survived so well after 2011 when they lost all dominance; how do you identify FF when they sit so fairly square in the centre of all, they are hard to say what they stand for except they've always been there
I'm hoping it's not just a FF/FG behemoth, I'd like to either see the Greens returned with them, unlikely, or the SDs/LAB making up the numbers.
I just can't see any way for SF, with their current woes, being able to steady thier own ship and also steer a course to government. They've just capitulated.
I'm sure they've changed and added to their agenda but that is the core value.
I'm no fan of FG, but they seem to be devoid of any talent (excluding Paschal) is there anyone else? Honest question, Carroll-MacNeill seems extremely dis-ingenious, less said about Justice minister the better,Peter Burke….. MEP's Carberry, Maria Walsh…..i'd like to know who the genuine talent is in that party?
I can absolutely guarantee you he's anti abortion, and very proud of it. And I can also guarantee his literature mentions "life" repeatedly, but you didn't notice it somehow.
The party only exists due to abortion laws.
fg will more than likely be in government with ff for a long time to come, theyre grand, both parties will prop each other up until its impossible to do so, again, the whole idea of the confidence and supply
I'd say that a term in opposition would suit FG down to the ground. They've been in power since 2011, and a lot of their big names are now stepping down this election. Harris is young enough now to be around for a while and bring in a new batch, and few years sniping from opposition bench while new frontbenchers get to rattle off soundbites at Govt to build their profile, without pressure of delivering would be nice for them.
FG are fairly unique amongst the bigger Irish parties as in having a 'wing' of politics just to themselves. They are seen as (very, very) Centre (small) Right - but there's no other right wing alternative to steal their votes since PDs disappeared. Aontu maybe on moral issues but not financial terms.
Compare that to the left with SF, PBP, Lab, SDs, Greens all cannabilising each other on left - and FF now in middle still trying to say how they are different from FG on right and others on centre left.
So of all parties, FG are the ones most likely unphased by being in opposition. It was their main role for decades
…and again, you ll find many ffg supporters continually trying to paint a rosie picture, yes ireland is in fact doing well, for those whos needs are being met, particularly their housing and health care needs, and other critical needs, but ireland is really not doing well for those whos needs are not being met!
these issues are in fact fundamental in nature, and ffg are never actually going to change their approach to these issues, i.e. we must now prepare your kids, grand kids, nieces and nephews for a deeply uncertain future, particularly in relation to critical needs such as housing and health care.
again, when a government runs a surplus, its actually a government taking money out of the economy, i.e. surpluses are not always a good thing, and sometimes running a slight deficit is actually good! but dont worry, thats never gonna change either, unless theres another catastrophic event such as another pandemic!
yes we know the uk is fcuked, we know this!
cause staying the same, is definitely gonna lead to changes, definitely!
again, dont worry, theres not gonna be any changes in irish government formations for a very long time, so dont worry about it!
I can only go on having spoken to him and reading his literature.Young,smart guy who's views align with mine,my colleagues, friends,families views on what's happening around our local area.None of this crew would be in favour of changing abortion laws.
That may have been a central tenant of their policy originally.A candidate talking about abortion around here would be laughed out of it and called a nutter and rightly so.
Things change and smarter partys/ candidates react to what theyre hearing on the ground.FG even did this when Simon Harris took over.Less smart partys like SF get shown up for being well.....less smart.
Can't see FG doing well at all, Harris is very unlikable and provokes a strong response with certain groups, despite the blurb SF are hugely popular among those who don't care what press is and FF will be too, Indies and the likes of Anotu will have their followers too, the Greens/Labour may not survive in current form much longer - just opinion etc.
Interesting times.
yup, some would wanna take a good look at themselves, and ask how continual ffg governments have completely neglected the most critical needs of many children in this country, those that have been experiencing homelessness are now effectively doomed for life, most will remain unemployed for life, with chronic lifelong health care issues, including chronic mental issues!
