I thought it might be useful to create a new thread to comment and analyse the Local Election results.
RTE Live Tracker here:
https://www.rte.ie/news/elections-2024/2024/0608/1453671-tracker-elections/
I don't understand the hold the Healy Raes have over the people of Kerry. I heard 7000 were added to the voting register since March. It appears the Healy Raes are encouraging new immigrants to vote.
Or you could look at it another way,we just got rid of them,they can squawk all they like in europe,nobody will care.
looks like the usuals FF, FG and SF doing well, it could be that the many independent candidates are just spread far far too thin
they will have to check their egos at the door and rapidly merge if they have any chance at success in the general election
if harris has any sense he will call the election early this year if FG has a good showing in the local elections
In Local Elections, are they running in both?
The work ethic of the Healy Raes is incredible , they get results for people, that counts.
To be honest if the Healy Raes were running where I live I'd vote for them. They do a huge amount of local work on the ground while some of the main party candidates disappear once they are elected and only re-emerge in the run up to the next election.
Looks like SF candidates will be scrambling to make the final few seats in a lot of places after multiple counts.
However as we know from 2020 SF voters told us all that anyone not elected on the first count is illegitimate. Looking forward to see how they spin this one.
Pr-stv has always favoured incumbents and parties, the bigger the better. An Independent needs massive personal recognition, like the healy raes in order to be successful
Without party strategy, too many similar independents or personalities with limited local appeal run. They then don't transfer to each other and ultimately the votes end up with the largest parties.
As you point out though, the egos prevent these similar candidates merging under one banner and getting behind one or two candidates
Looks like the FG & FF doing better than expected, Lab & Greens not facing wipeout either. SF must be disappointed.
when should we expect to get actual first counts from the local elections ?
of course we have to remember also that non nationals can also vote in the locals so that wont suit many independents either
I think there is only so much you can read though into the local elections, where many people especially in rural locations will know the candidates personally. When I voted I did not want my own vote to be interpreted as an endorsement of national policy - I voted for the guy who said it was a priority to get the local playground fixed.
Possibly the other issue is that the change that the opposition is proposing is not the change they want. The big story could be how Sinn Fein have alienated their vote tbh. The other story will be how their is likely to be the most elected socially conservative politicians in 30 years, even if they don't sweep the boards.
As in most local elections, incumbents are doing well. That's an issue for FG in next GE where they are losing half their sitting TDs.
SF not appearing at all in the tallys for Cabra-Glasnevin, right in the Midlle of Mary Lous constituency
They have no hold, they are just the go to elected representatives if you want to get something done
Does this look correct?
https://www.rte.ie/news/elections-2024/results/#/local/cork-county/fermoy
You mean non-Irish. They probably have a nationality.
Yes, I'd expect that's correct. I'd likely get flak on here for my local #1, but like you said he works for his constituents and has a record to show for it.
He’ll probably demand a recount
He's done better in this count.
I think the RTE one is incorrect.
https://www.echolive.ie/corknews/arid-41412179.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter
It says he got 5% of the vote here.
or the Rte one was old. The link you provided that I looked at had people elected on the 6th count. It’s now blank.
Link for tallies from Mayo
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_cZCZYe_1wqgmHxL3t8qUBKAIbNrphYvqfBcumjgLro/htmlview#
Mary Lou toxic in Cabra.
Galway have five seats filled so far.
From Micheal Lehane of RTE on Twitter:
FG tally of 4 Dublin local authorities suggests FG 73,578 - 19pc (+1pc on 2019) FF 54,738- 14pc (-4pc on 2019) SF 42,581 – 11pc (+1pc on 2019) Lab 37,288 – 10pc (-1pc on 2019) Greens 29,086 – 8pc (-7 on 2019) Others (Ind , PBP-Sol, Soc Dems, Aontu): 146,597 – 38pc (+1 on 2019)
https://x.com/MichealLehane/status/1799475792784552056
It seems like the noisy minority got it wrong.
Most people are happy with the current government it seems.
Immigration not a major issue with most people, and right or left parties won't be make much gain.
If SH has any sense he'll run a GE asap.
What did I miss
Immigration is a contentious issue and will remain on the table for the foreseeable future but appears that the voting public are not interested in handing over the reigns of the nation to facism to resolve it. That can only be a good thing.
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