This is following on from a post on the Leinster thread, but thought it would be interesting to roll it out across the 4 provinces.
This has been a heavily debated and speculated topic on numerous message boards, twitter and in the wider media on podcasts etc recently.
I've tried to backsolve this to a degree, by estimating salary ranges and then bucketing players together.
I have 6 Tiers that I've grouped players into, as follows:
Tier 1 - Centrally Contracted Players (all on min €500k, some on higher (Porter, Furlong) - 14 players at present
Tier 2 - Other Very Highly Paid (Top Tier NIQs, Established Irish internationals not on CCs) - salaries €300k - €500k - 7 players
Tier 3 - Regular International Call Ups and Expensive NIQs - all on c. €250k - 14 players
Tier 4 - Regular Provincial Starter & Important Player - all on €200k - 28 players
Tier 5 - Breakthrough Players - all on €120k - €150k - 49 players
Tier 6 - First Contract or Squad Fillers - all on €60k or €90k - 63 players
The total sample is the 175 contracted players across the 4 provinces, Academy not included.
The composition of the buckets will be debated, but this is how I've broken them down:
Tier 1: Sheehan (€500k), Furlong (€650k), Porter (€600k), Doris (€500k), Ja Ryan (€500k), van der Flier (€500k), Keenan (€500k), Ringrose (€500k), Henshaw (€500k), Beirne (€500k), O'Mahony (€500k), Murray (€500k), Henderson (€500k), Aki (€500k). Total: €7.25m
Tier 2: Lowe (€300k), Conan (€300k), Gibson Park (€300k), Kitshoff (€450k), Snyman (€500k), McCloskey (€300k), Carbery (€300k) Total: €2.45m
Tier 3: (all on €250k) Kelleher, Ala'alatoa, Ngatai, R Byrne, Herring, Stockdale, Hansen, Bealham, Cordero, Jager, Kilcoyne, Jo Ryan, Kleyn, Casey. Total: €3.5m
Tier 4: (all on €200k) Healy, Baird, Jenkins, Molony, Deegan, Connors, McGrath, Ruddock, Frawley, Larmour, J O'Brien, M Moore, O'Toole, Treadwell, Ewers, Timoney, Cooney, Burns, Hume, N Scannell, Archer, Loughman, G Coombes, O'Donoghue, Nankivell, Haley, Zebo, Carty - Total: €5.6m
Tier 5: E Byrne (€120k), J McCarthy (€150k), Penny (€150k), H Byrne (€150k), Osborne (€150k), E O'Sullivan (€120k), Warwick (€120k), A O'Connor (€150k), Mat Rea (€120k), Doak (€150k), Marshall (€150k), S Moore (€120k), Baloucoune (€150k), Addison (€150k), Lowry (€150k), McIlroy (€120k), Barron (€120k), Salanoa (€120k), F Wycherley (€150k), Hodnett (€150k), Kendellen (€120k), Crowley (€150k), Frisch (€120k), S O'Brien (€150k), R Scannell (€150k), S Daly (€150k), Nash (€150k), Heffernan (€150k), Aungier (€150k), Buckley (€150k), Dooley (€120k), Dowling (€120k), Joyce (€150k), Thornbury (€150k), N Murray (€150k), Boyle (€150k), J Butler (€150k), C Prendergast (€150k), Blade (€150k), Hanrahan (€150k), Hawkshaw (€120k), T Daly (€150k), T Farrell (€150k), Porch (€120k), O'Halloran (€150k), Hurley Langton (€120k), Jansen (€120k), Oliver (€150k), Ahern (€120k). Total: €6.84m
Tier 6: J McKee (€60k), Barron (€60k), Clarkson (€90k), Milne (€90k), Deeny (€60k), Moloney (€60k), Soroka (€60k), Foley (€60k), S Prendergast (€90k), Turner (€90k), T O'Brien (€90k), Russell (€90k), Andrew (€90k), Stewart (€90k), McCormick (€60k), French (€60k), Griffin (€60k), Reid (€90k), Izuchukwu (€90k), Sheridan (€90k), Crothers (€60k), Jones (€60k), McCann (€90k), Mar Rea (€90k), Reffell (€90k), C McKee (€60k), Shanahan (€90k), Flannery (€90k), Carson (€60k), Moxham (€60k), Postlethwaite (€60k), Sexton (€60k), S O'Brien (€60k), Hogan (€60k), Campbell (€60k), L Coombes (€90k), Patterson (€90k), N Cronin (€60k), J O'Sullivan (€90k), J Daly (€90k), Hurley (€60k), J Wycherley (€90k), S Buckley (90k), E Clarke (€60k), O McNulty (€60k), A Smith (€90k), Ralston (€90k), Bolton (€90k), Kilgallen (€90k), Forde (€60k), Jennings (€60k), McDonald (€60k), Reilly (€60k), O McCormack (€60k), S O'Brien (€90k), D Murray (€90k), Duggan (€90k), Illo (€90k), Burke (€60k), McElroy (€90k), Tierney Martin (€90k), de Buitlear (€60k), Robertson McCoy (€90k). Total: €4.8m
That gives a total spend across the 6 tiers of €30.44m. If you tack on the 69 Academy players across the four provinces at the estimated €8k each p.a. that's another €552k.
The unknown elements then are the bonuses for international success etc, or match fees for the non-centrally contracted players etc, plus the costs of running the 7s games and the Womens game, alongside coaching.
I'm estimating just under €31m of spend on the above, and you can take out players like Snyman etc as the IRFU aren't paying him (unsure if other players are in this bracket), but based on Total Player & Management Costs for the Professional Game of €38.7m in 22/23, I think I'm in the right ballpark here.
That would roughly mean the IRFU contribution towards the coaching tickets, player development officers, 7s, Womens and bonuses of c. €7.5m p.a.
If you accept the above tiers as broadly logical, then the salary split across the four provinces is as follows:
Leinster: €10.47m
Munster: €7.64m
Ulster: €6.44m
Connacht: €5.89m
Thoughts?