"leaving Europe vulnerable to vastly increased nuclear threats without any confidence of cover if Russia tried the unimaginable"
The British have 225 nuclear warheads, and the French have 300. Both have weapons deployed on submarines.
Solovyov and co. are like the Russian version of Tucker Carlson and friends. Just saying any old nonsense as long as it gets them notoriety.
Obviously Russia would be completely unable to reoccupy Alaska or something like that unless the USA agreed to sell it back or something. A more achievable aim is to continue spreading disinformation which leads to the election of Trump who then pulls out of NATO, leaving Europe vulnerable to vastly increased nuclear threats without any confidence of cover if Russia tried the unimaginable.
Propaganda from the WEST?It seems to have escaped your notice that several of the most outlandish, vicious and ominous threats are emanating straight from the mouths of the Kremlin puppets on RT:Skabayeva, Solovyov, Simonyon and the rest of that motley crew. These included the promises to reoccupy not only Alaska, but California no less, and threats to destroy London, level Warsaw and attack the Baltic States-to name only a few. And that's before we even get to the threats-too numerous to mention-to eradicate the entire state of Ukraine, "re-educate" its people and kill as many as it takes to turn it into a subservient vassal of Moscow. Calls for genocide, in short.
The Russia is not a threat to Europe claims are laughable when
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/germany-arrests-two-alleged-military-sabotage-plot-behalf-russia-2024-04-18/
Orcs in Mordor continuing to amaze us with innovative ideas
https://censor.net/en/video_news/3484620/russian_official_suggests_heating_russian_homes_with_heat_from_burning_bodies_in_crematoria_its_very
I think it's ridiculous notion cooked up by people who are very bad at the art of propaganda.
I wouldn't be throwing stones mo chara. You know what they say about people in glass houses and all that?
So, are the Russian military a strong or weak opponent for the Ukrainians to overcome? If they're strong, that might explain why Ukraine have needed so much time and money, and are struggling to achieve their goals.
I think the Russian objectives are very attainable too, continue to defend their new annexed territories and prevent the Ukrainians from reclaiming them. I think they'll achieve that goal, unless something very big changes with the Ukrainian war effort.
I don't think Russia has any ability to reform the soviet union or pose any significant threat to Europe militarily. I don't think they have the manpower or resources to do anything remotely like that. But then I don't think even the US would have the ability to take over Europe with military force, I think it's ridiculous notion cooked up by people who are very bad at the art of propaganda.
Western sources: "Russian military is weak, pathetic, useless… comically inept…"
Also
western sources: "Ukraine is struggling… I know we've given them eyewatering amounts of military aid, but they need much more to defeat this useless Russian army…"
For a start "Western sources" never put it like that about the Russian military. Indeed they initially thought they'd be far more successful in invading and taking Ukraine. A few "tactical feints" later and that view changed. I see you're still pimping the "eyewatering amounts of military aid" from your scrpt. Again please put a number to how many HIMARS/MBT/Bradleys/patriots have been sent to Ukraine?
The plain facts are the majority of military kit Ukraine has used against Russia is legacy Soviet stuff. In the six months of the war they got anti tank and anti aircraft kit alright, but had no HIMARs, or modern Western self propelled guns, it took far longer for the couple of dozen MBT's to show up, Bradleys are the biggest vehicle transfer and they number about a hundred and no fighters have been delivered yet over two years in. Yet even in those first six months with none of the military aid that followed they harried Russia and forced them back.
In any event both positions can be true. Five thugs, even if they're "weak, pathetic, useless, comically inept" thugs, are going to be a problem to one half decent fighter. Russia, because of the lack of air superiority, sluggish logistics and a lack of combined arms operational skills have been forced for over a year into WW1 trench warfare taking land where they can, field by field by pummeling with artillery and following on with tank/human waves. Even so and against a numerically inferior force conserving ammo their progress is measured in yards and piles of bodies.
And it has been really quite unintelligent propaganda from the west.
If Western propaganda has been unintelligent, Russian propaganda has veered from ridiculous to farcical on a near weekly basis, only for their latest daftness to be conveniently memory holed the following week. Actually their amnesia tends to run in three week cycles on average, just enough for the faithful to conveniently forget. Much of it aimed at appealing to fringe groups in the West, not unlike in Cold War 1, and it's been quite successful too. EG if you bump into someone who's bought into WEF/Anti Vaxx/Plandemic/Q-Anon/Deep State/MAGA/etc type it's a near certainty they're also newly minted Kremlin supporters.
"However many it takes".
It won't be a little, though.
Russians have historically been very dogged on defense, even when offensively they sucked. 1940/41 is a case in point. They are also a learning organisation, which has improved a lot in some ways since 2022. (1940/41 is another case in point). Field Marshall Montgomery observed that Rule 1 on Page 1 in the Book of War is "Never March on Moscow".
Fortunately for the Ukrainians, they have no intention of doing so and have set a far more attainable goal. Ukraine needs to hold on until the West gets its collective ass in gear. I agree with you that dollars alone will not kill Russians. But it permits those things which will, which, overly slowly though it's happening in my opinion, the West is starting to generate. But generate, it's doing.
Your saying on one hand Russia are no threat to the west and on the other saying they can’t be defeated. Which is it?
By the way your at nothing trying to convince people here that Russia are no threat to the west. They are very successfully trying to de-stabilize the entire western world with their insidious mis information campaigns. They are a massive massive threat. Pouring billions of their wealth into such poisonous bullsh1t while their country goes to sh1t.
They found a good use for all them bodies
https://m.censor.net/en/video_news/3484620/russian_official_suggests_heating_russian_homes_with_heat_from_burning_bodies_in_crematoria_its_very
Your solution is for Ukraine to stop fighting and give in to a leader who has genocidal goals.... I also wouldn't be classifying the invasion as particularly successful when the Russian war machine failed to complete it in over two years...
So, how many more "massive aid packages" do you think Ukraine will need, to defeat this inept Russian military?
And how many more years will they need to defeat an army that is very obviously inferior to them?
I work in the industry your observation is partially correct
Those born in USSR and not just Russia before 1990 are top notch engineers most of whom especially the better ones left long ago and are very very good
Those born after 1990 are mediocre at best and dangerous in the code and configurations they produce at worst, I’ve seen better results from Indian colleagues than those in St Petersburg before the offices closed at start of war
Now obviously older engineers would have more experience, but there is a marked decrease in quality and education after the fall of USSR
When you've lived and rebelled under a genocidal dictatorship, stood up to unrestrained, corrupt, omnipotent power and risked jail for standing in the street with a placard, come back to me and I'll listen to your condemnation of those who suffer in silence for fear of their families being targeted. If anything, its us in the West who enabled the War on Terror and the ongoing abuse of power by successive Israeli governments who should be navel gazing in shame.
Of course there are plenty of ordinary Russians with twisted morals who gladly support any form of military chest thumping on the grounds of nationalism, who were ecstatic at the idea of going to war. Every country and every generation has them. We've had Catholic priests in our own country actively participate in terrorism and the defence of terrorists. But of course every country will defend their own support of murders on the basis of "ah yeah, but our situation was different".
Well, the Russian military is quite inept, especially vs their reputation prior to the outset of this phase of the war. We can remember their complete failure to take the country in a lightning offensive and their comedy caravan of tanks that was one long traffic jam toward Kyiv, and after two full years of war, they're still bogged down in the east. Judging by their two great 'victories' of the last year, Bakhmut and Avdiivka, there is absolutely no art to the way they wage offensive war since then, even after they've had two years to 'learn'. They basically just shell towns until they're not there anymore and then hope to raise their flag on the resultant moonscape.
You mention the Americans losing interest nearly within the same 24 hours as Republican house speaker Mike Johnson finally offering to table another massive aid package to the country, and this is after repeated calls for more aid to Ukraine from Biden over the last year which has been repeatedly poo-poo'd by the Republicans. More accurate to say the Republicans have a lack of interest in Ukraine than Americans in general. Not that Biden can win in the eyes of his detractors because, in another case of conflicting propaganda from trolls, he's a hawk when he's arming Ukraine and an unreliable partner when he's blocked from doing so.
The brain drain is a very valid point. Russia still produces top talent, but as with anywhere on earth, few educated and ambitious people chose to remain under a de facto dictatorship where their talents are not appreciated. Putin rewards a small sector of Russian society, none of whom make any meaningful contribution to Russian life, culture of science.
Even as a non-techie I've noticed the number of Russian and Belarussian IT workers drifting westwards over the past 15 years. It seemed as though if you had a tech idea and needed motivated top notch programmers, Russia was the place to look.
You mean like Russia didn't pose any threat to Ukraine back in 2022? Or for that matter, Crimea? If you want confirmation of Russia's intent, wait until they deny it. Proven over and over.
Not to mention having to scrounge around the world for manpower and weapons…..yeah, things are going well for Putin allright!!! NOT.
We can be reasonably confident that its somewhere between that high and low watermark, but just where it sits will be impossible to say at this point.
Obviously there are injuries in addition to killings. From a Ukrainian perspective, a Russian soldier who has been injured to the point of being permanently 'combat ineffective', i.e. rendered an invalid, is almost as much use to them.
Yes, the fog of war. Or another name for it is propaganda.
Also western sources: "Ukraine is struggling… I know we've given them eyewatering amounts of military aid, but they need much more to defeat this useless Russian army…"
Also western sources: "Putin and Russia are grave threat to Europe and the world. Putin will reform the soviet union and take back Alaska if we don't stop him now…"
No wonder people in the west are losing interest in this conflict, and particularly the Americans. How could anyone with a smidgen of intelligence believe all these contradictory messages being put out there? It's ridiculous… the west has actually shot itself in the foot with how poorly they've played the information war, despite having almost total control over it. Own goals don't come much bigger.
Most people either don't believe the numbers of dead, or at this point just don't have a clue what to believe.
To read your posts, you would think that it's all over, done and dusted, Ukraine defeated and occupied, Russian flags over Kiev and time for the Kremlin to start the celebrations. But you are mistaken Poon. It's far from over, and when normal arms shipments commence, you and Putin will become painfully aware of it. Putin's Russia is doomed, and it's he and not the west who will buckle first.
The estimate of confirmed in newspapers dead on Russian side is waay on the small side, these are the soldiers whose bodies returned in some sort of shape and more importantly whose families were descent enough to buy an obituary in a paper. Russian military has a direct interest in not confirming someone is dead as that would mean payouts to families.
We see both on this thread and in innumerable videos just how little Russians value the lives of their men, often abandoning or looting wounded, never mind the abuse of their own soldiers they film
And then there’s the 35,000 Wagner criminals killed in Bakhmut alone, no one will pay for an obituary for them
On Ukrainian side with have Zelensky who gave us figures
On Russian side you have endless lies upon lies, Russian estimates and claims are less worthy and useful than a fanny rag in a shared bathroom of a Moscow whorehouse
The real purpose of the biolabs (a la Twitter)
The Biolabs are necessary for the mass-production of Budanovs, who according to the Russians gets assassinated once a month, and they are also necessary for the production of the shrinking ray used to put the British crew in the storm shadow missile.
The black swan event ?
Talks a good game but seems fundamentally untrustworthy
We don't really know exactly how many Russians have died so far, but even going with the low end BBC estimate of 50,000, that alone would be absolutely staggering within the timeframe, from a western perspective at least. That's nearly as many confirmed KIAs as the US suffered in Vietnam in the decade or so they were involved. That's nearly as many soldiers as were killed on all sides in the Yugoslav wars. Again, this is only the Russian low estimate. It's almost certainly more than 50,000 but maybe not quite as high as 450,000, which I think is what the Ukrainian military are reporting themselves and is on Minusrus. FWIW, Russian sources are reporting they've killed the same figure of Ukrainian soldiers.
The fog of war is thick at the moment and these figures will probably only come into sharp focus whenever this conflict ends and some proper independent verification can happen.
Damn
Polish President Andrzej Duda discussed Ukraine and the Middle East with Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump during a meeting in New York at which the former US president said he was 'behind Poland all the way'
Sometimes I wonder is Trump actually the real president at the mo and not Biden .. Note no mention of behind Ukraine.
Eh?