The Hague?
Yes! Well done 🥇
Why didn't you summarise it for us, as it wouldn't take long
Ukraine is fighting a military war - it needs munitions and manpower to use them. Why are we sitting on our hands looking idly on??
Why?
A delicate legal point
I heard a great quote recently from the chess master Gary Kasparov-
In chess the rules are fixed and the outcome is uncertain.
In Russia the rules are uncertain and the outcome is fixed.
I think that was his question.
Taking in refugees is all very well, but doesn’t really help Ukraine win a war and allow the refugees to go home.
Granted, Ireland doesn’t have a hell of a lot of equipment to give. Then again, neither does Latvia but that’s not stopping them
I'm thinking it may have more to do with Ireland's military neutrality stance rather than a lack of equipment to give?
It's a little disingenuous to compare Ireland to Latvia on military aid when one country is neutral and the other is in NATO.
It helps but like everything else that has been predicted to be a game changer in the fight, this won't either. Ukraine just doesn't have the means to cripple enough of Russia's infrastructure. Russia will react and adapt, just like Ukraine adapted to protect its own infrastructure. Most the drones this weekend were shot down, meanwhile Russia murders another 20 people with a rocket attack in Ukraine.
Was really hoping Ukraine would deliver a spectacular election surprise with a significant attack on Moscow or Petersburg but time is running out
another refinery hit last night. 8 hit in one week
Russia will react and adapt, just like Ukraine adapted to protect its own infrastructure.
I don't think one can just change or adapt one's oil logistics on a whim; a constant campaign of harassment can be as effective as anything and hard to change everything up when your refineries are burning, your oil executives dropping dead. The world hasn't changed that much that oil is no longer a foundational resource. Plus I've seen no evidence Russia has learned a thing since the invasion started, they seem of the "whippings will continue til morale improves" kind of mindset
They can improve their defence of key infrastructure exactly like Ukraine did.
And there are countless articles out there from reliable sources about how Russia learned from its mistakes in 2022 to improve its fortunes in 2023.
Yes they're still quite a mess but underestimating their ability to keep prosecuting the war is just as dangerous and naive as how they underestimated resistance.
I’m not sure they can just go out and buy air defense systems for their refineries, at least not anytime soon. The ones they have on the front line. Also when you hit the cracking tower of these refineries they are likely out of commission for a year.
I mean, I doubt Ukraine has underestimated anything, but seems content to keep the campaign of drone harassment of logistics, so presumably there's a goal here; it's a fairly valid tactic as old as warfare itself. Hammer the enemy's supply line, resource points etc. faster than they can adapt. and what can Russia establish to protect them? There's clearly a gap here WRT defences against drones and 2 years later nobody has solved for this
I believe Putin told the owners of the refineries to pay for air defence from their own pockets and obviously they didn't and are now falling out of windows
We'll see what happens. At the moment it's certainly having a positive effect at least in terms of what it must be costing, hopefully they can keep it up
Yes please more of all of this
Therein lies the key word: cost. Drone warfare is proving cheap (insanely so when one factors the cost of "traditional" tools of warfare) and relatively bloodless from the attacker's Point of View, with a potentially massive inverse cost for the enemy; it's suicide bombing that finally answers the conundrum whereby you also lose your combatant, scaled up to industrial levels.
Drones are going to wreak havoc for all countries in the future.
Cheap and easy to use, only a matter of time before they are in the wrong hands .
They already are in the wrong hands...
UA said that this year both sides will have enough drones to target every soldier on the battlefield.
Good the sooner war becomes a futile endeavor the better. Drones are hastening that day.
Now airports are under attack
Yeah saw that. Just depends who gets there 1st. I think UA drone operator who said it said Russia would have enough they reckon within 5 to 6 months to do that.
AI LASERS WILL STOP THEM….. and then kill all of us
Putins 5 step plan to WW3 with Europe. Hacked by Ukraine's National Resistance Center.
I wonder is this what Macron and others saw which changed there view and urgency toward russia in recent days?
Probably a gigantic exaggeration though good to stir paranoia cos they are kinda terrifying to think about. A tank or plane is a huge, quantifiable entity that's hard to miss, and with good reconnaissance you'll see it coming. A drone can travel distances barely see, could be hiding almost anywhere at any altitude, and broadly undetectable til it's almost too late.
More please, preferably hit some fully fuelled aeroplanes
As drone technology progresses, so will anti-drone technology. That's just the way these things go. Signal jamming will become more sophisticated, making it more and more difficult for drones to move through enemy territory unencumbered.
A big reason why drones are so prevalent in this war is because neither side can control the skies in a traditional way. Drones would be much less of a factor and this war perhaps far shorter if one side could simply bomb enemy lines from a great height.
However, the utility and cost-effectiveness of drones in monitoring troop movements and mounting attacks looks unbeatable right now.
Refineries are massive structures; how can they even be protected against drones????
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