"Shortage of manpower. A problem Russia does not have."
How do you know putin is not having a manpower shortage? Seen recent news that Nepal has requested its citizens recruited to fight for putin to be returned due their mistreatment and there have been other reports of an uptick in attacks on recruitment offices throughout putins empire recently. There are also the reports of massive numbers of putin's troops being killed by the armed forces of Ukraine trying to defend their country from putin's terrorists:
The sensible comments regarding the inability is Russia to manage two fronts are all well reasoned and logical, based on facts.
Thus can be discounted. We are dealing with a sociopathic delusional and powerful person. He's not going to let facts get in the way.
If Russia were to attack Poland in a conventional way and NATO A5 invoked, the process would be simple enough. Remove Russian troops from Polish territory by either destroying them and their equipment or forcing them to retreat, then stay put to fend off any regrouped attacks or until a peace treaty is signed. There would be no need to go to Moscow in 3 days.
It's all moot, anyway. Russia already has all of its resources committed to Ukraine. The idea they could start a fresh invasion of any other country in the time Putin has left on this planet is stretching credulity.
Events have shown that Ukrainian forces should have pulled back earlier (a few weeks). Especially with their lack of ammunition to leave a mined/booby traped zone for the Russians to advance into..I may be accussed of the benefit of hindsight but it was coming for a while..
Bleeding the Russians and political advantage wasn't worth it in this case.
"The West needs to get its act together"
Aside from less weapons due to hold ups in funding from USA ( all on trump, he runs the gop ). You also have a not so fixable issue now coming home to roost for Ukraine. Shortage of manpower. A problem Russia does not have.
Much of Ukraines troops on frontline have been at this for two years solid and without breaks/recycling. They cannot keep going forever.
Back to finance / weapons. GOP have said they have no intention of bringing this to the floor .. not before they and the house go on two weeks recess soon.
So i think with this and with the manpower issues we are reaching a major turning point unfortunately in favour of Putin
Another excellent guardian article about the difficult mood but also the defiance in Ukraine as 2 years approaches:
Have heard it from respected public news sources accessible to anyone so yes, about as reliable as can be
If Russia attacked Poland in an SMO, the Polish 1st Armoured Regiment would be in Moscow within 3 days.
Putin isn't stupid. Taking the Baltic's is high risk but going near Poland would be suicide for his regime.
Uh...
Not being prepared for a Russian invasion doesn't mean Russia would be successful.
Case in point, Ukraine.
They've repelled the current assault, but this is shaping up like other areas again. Constant wave attacks.
The West needs to get its act together
You’re banking on Putin being sane and rational.
He wants to go out on a bang and is 70 years old.
Do you think he cares that if Russia goes all out for Poland and the Baltic states that they won’t win???
He just wants to leave his mark and is a vile evil human being.
Hitler knew the game was up years before the Nazis were defeated but he kept it going at the expense of millions of deaths and destruction across Europe.
Never again ay…
I know why he's saying this but being realistic even if Poland wasn't in NATO, Russia wouldn't even dream of invading.
They floundered against the regular Ukrainian army which, at the start of the war, was a $4 or $5bn army. That's completely putting aside the headache of occupation, resistance, etc had it come to that.
Poland's army is incomparably bigger and stronger than Ukraines was at the start of the war. A lot of their tech is way more advanced than Russias.
The idea that Russia is this almightly juggernought that will roll through the baltics and Poland is utterly absurd.
As for Avdiivka, the fact it took Russia that long, and at such enormous human cost, to obtain a single town in Ukraine. I mean, really. How could anyone, with any sort of straight face, try and spin that as a positive for Russia or the success of their invasion.
Putin is Hitler circa 1944/45 holding on for a miracle that won't come. The jig was up about two months into the invasion when Ukraine didn't fold and the population made it clear they saw Russia as nothing but a barbaric invader.
It's Putin's operation Barbarossa. He kicked the door, the structure did not come crashing down.
It's a complete disaster for Russia on every possible level. After two years of war, horrific casulties, economy creaking under pressure, brain-drain, etc, they're still nowhere remotely close to defeating the conventional Ukrainian army, let alone ready to face a major insurgency.
He's not wrong in a 1v1. Decades of peace in Europe and the success of the EU has made it complacent and the fact the US is the main power within NATO.
I always believed the US was reckless with how much they spent on defense. Having thousands of tanks and IVF's sitting in storage, thousands of fighters, spending billions and billions on stealth bombers etc..... on my how wrong I was.
Navalny's Spokesperson - update earlier
https://twitter.com/Kira_Yarmysh/status/1758801430125695199
Alexey Navalny was murdered. His death occurred on February 16 at 2:17 p.m. local time, according to the official message to Alexey’s mother.
An employee of the colony said that the body of Navalny is now in Salekhard. It was picked up by investigators from the IC. Now they are conducting "investigations" with him.
We demand that Alexey Navalny's body be handed over to his family immediately.
Only an hour ago, the lawyers were informed that the investigation had been concluded and that something criminal had not been established.
They literally lie every time, driving us around in circles and covering their tracks.
The amount of scutter posts in the last 24 hours.
The Russians have taken Avdiivka and it only took them (checks notes)... 2 years,
Please recheck notes, this one stared 10 years ago. Fantastic progress by Russia 🙄
This
The Russians have taken Avdiivka and it only took them (checks notes)... 2 years, and (checks notes again) massive casualties.
Sounds about right.
To the winners go the spoils, and the Russians have inherited a pockmarked moonscape, interrupted only by the odd shard off a blackened building edifice rising out of the ground.
Agree with Zelensky also - “In Europe, there [are] no nations today who [are] ready for invasion.”
Would tend to agree
I really think we are closer to all out war than we think
What Tuckers little grocery stunt didn't mention of course is the average salary in Russia compared to America. 104 dollars is a hell of a lot to most Russians. That's before you even mention the collapse of the Ruble against the dollar since the war began.
Most, if not all Russian offensives start with fields and fields of destroyed armor. I just hope the UAF can withhold the initial charge and bleed the Russian dry long again.
Russians pushing on.
hoping the UAF can turn this around
yesterday france greece and cyprus banned the purchace of munitions outside the eu, hopefully this workaround will work
Tucker Carlson could have went down in history as the one who tried to strangle, poke his eyes out, kick Vladimir Putin in the bo11ix. Native russians would have celebrated Tucker. An outsider with no retribution on russian districts.
Instead we're left with Tucker who was amazed by shopping trollies.
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