Can the EU dump a nation out for being a petulant cnut?
Uh...
Its a fair point, and one that should be considered in the context of admitting Ukraine. What happens if in 5/6 years the progress made in tackling corruption and bringing individual/ personal rights up to EU standards is undone by the election of an Orban Mk II? Whatever about attitudes towards Russia pre 2022, from casual observation there has long been unease at the prominence of right wing elements in Ukrainian society.
My point isn't to ignore the strides Ukraine has made or to suggest that they shouldn't be encouraged to full EU membership, just that in rushing to welcome new member states it is important to ensure that the foundations are there for a sustained membership. What's the point otherwise... you just end up creating a larger bloc of 'problem' member states who can start to exert greater influence and disruption over the direction the EU takes. Or more likely, stymie any progressive measures.
What should be keeping you up at night is what happens if Putin wins because that would have even larger consequences for EUs existence
If Putin wins and Kyiv falls to Moscow then we're gonna enter a Cold War II; I can't see any other scenario. it won't be forgotten who supplied Ukraine with all the armour and ammunition, while Poland and all Eastern EU states will need to have border forces and NATO patrols significantly ramped up. Good times for the military industrial complex, less so for everyone else.
The EU is not as far as I am aware "rushing" to accept new members. What I do hope and IMHO should happen as part of the process to accept new members is that there should be built into accession treaties guarantees on democracy and democratic institutions and mechanisms that allow the EU to punish states if they back slide on democracy a la Hungary under wannabe dictator Orban.
Another Irish lad killed in Ukraine Graham Dale from Dublin and a former US Marine who was living in Texas before travelling to Poland to help with refugees before joining a Ukrainian military unit
Tyler Durden approves this news
That was my first thought too!
I wonder how this affects the day-to-day of Russians.
Probably result in a draconian broad tax on everyone to balance any projections the gov was expecting. Gigantic headache for the kremlin if their claims are true but I have my doubts they got all the backup systems too. time will tell I suppose.
It’s worse than that defaulting on debt and taxes is enough grounds to endup in Putin’s slave army
The russian tax year ends December 31st too so good timing for maximum damage. I just realized it will be a perfect excuse to nationalise any remaining foreign companies in russia too. The spin from the kremlin will be very interesting on this.
The same way any kind of events or changes will affect Russians,,,,,Badly!!!
Happy Russian Constitution Day!
apparently he posted here, according to Reddit.
look at the comments under this, who are these Irish scumbags who post this crap?
Those comments are mental
Russian bot accounts posing as Irish to spread their pro Russian anti Ukrainian nonsense and then Russian paid RA accounts behind the nationalistic anti immigrant pro riot movement. Could be all from the Russian embassy.
That or just the usual Irish people with keyboards and a lot of time to themselves
Russians, they are Russians
Like every single one is a bot
People worrying about Orban and Hungary and creating problems for Ukraine eventually joining the EU.
Wry smile. One would be skeptical that most EU powers would ever allow Ukraine join.
It won't happen the next decade even with the best will in the world from everyone.
If the Eu keep harping on about Orban instead of saying let's **** fund Ukraine and it's army so they can win, it won't matter.
If plans aren't put in place to get all the refugees home, it won't matter, Ukraine will be an empty shell.
If Orban was all the Ukraine had to think about they would be fine.
That's what the Russians want you to think.😀
Spend enough time on here and you'll quickly realise Russia can't be blamed for everything
I just think it's the usual saddo anti everything Irish patriot brigade. Frustrated losers with far too much time on their hands.
I don’t think so, pick any of them at random and just see what else they comment on, we simply don’t have that many evil scumbags.
Anyways
https://www.wsj.com/world/russia/russian-has-lost-almost-90-of-its-prewar-army-u-s-intelligence-says-2e0372ab
” The intelligence assessment, according to a congressional source, says that 315,000 Russian personnel have been killed or injured since the February 2022 invasion, or 87% of Moscow’s prewar force of 360,000.
Russia has also lost nearly two-thirds of its tank force, or 2,200 out of its 3,500 preinvasion stock, the source said.”
Really?
I saw one of the maggots under the tweet proudly flying the tricolour that claims he's a Dublin "crypto professional" who "questions everything" (i.e. the Russia Today [RT] tag line)!
If it is not actually a Russian influence account (aka a bot), it is kind of sad. Only a sample of one now though...
No, Hungary is quite a problem for the EU and the members and Ukraine. The EU is the main mechanism for cooperation among them.
"Brussels", "Berlin", "Paris" do not call all the shots, they cannot say jump and everyone else says how high or whatever (the EU should somehow, no matter what Orbán has to say... "just f-cking fund Ukraine").
Hungary has a veto on the European Council. By itself it can warp the Council's agenda, block stuff from being done collectively, force countries that want to fund Ukraine to do it alone or else go around the EU and cooperate bilaterally or in small groups etc, make cooperation slower + cost more + more difficult.
The best way to deal with it would be if all other members could agree and complete the Article 7 process on them, and stop Hungary from voting any more (disarm their veto weapon) or receiving any more money.
If that cannot be done (?) they are going to have to find another way, but its been years now and the problem just keeps festering and getting worse, the EU members don't seem to want to tackle it + have preferred paying Orbán off and giving him various concessions when necessary. They may be (finally) running out of road on that.
As regards Ukraine joining the EU, when (being optimistic) that happens expect it is probably the member states that receive a lot of either the EU structural funding (Like Poland) or the CAP funding (so I suppose Poland, France, likes of us...without checking who gets what) that will find the process most disruptive + will be arguing strongly over details of it and how it works out financially.
Either decision making mechanisms or the structure of the EU are going to have to change too if all or most of the countries that are in the accession "lobby" right now join. It will have to or else the EU could become a kind of regional UN-like talking shop that cannot decide anything any more.
Most of the world's problems stem from the Kremlin. They've had decades now since Putin is in power paying the various terrorist regimes in all the countries that are not Russia. The internet is no different. It's way simpler in fact. You could have anyone in Russia pretending to be from Ireland, UK, any european country, the US, Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, you name it operating over elon musk's X and the other forums.
This is what Putin's Kremlin does.
Have you heard of the far right in Ireland? No.
Well now thanks to Putin you have. First it was the shinners activists who stirred up who under orders from the Kremlin made a far right in Ireland. SF officially have nothing to do with this. This is all the government at fault. Some Enviros at the same time slipped the far right wording into the frame to attack farmers. Under orders from the Kremlin again. Farmers were wtf where are you coming with this from? Gradually it became seeped into the concsiousness that there's a thing called the far right in Ireland. This was no different how Putin and the kgb fermented a far right in western germany.
Cork university has their share of Putin apologists. Professors and academics from there have written about fairness for Putin and Nato encircling Russia and the greatness of Russia. The Kazakhstani student with russian roots, educated there and worked in work experience for politicians in the dail and only found to be a russian spy by the australian secret service when applying for work in their space agency. The Russian submarine anchored 12 miles off Cork harbour for the sightseeing. All interesting in Ireland.
So no they can't be blamed for everything but can be blamed for lots.
I'm not quite getting you. Putin is behind the Irish far right, Sinn Fein, and cork university professors that are against Irish farmers?
Pretty incredible for a leader of a country that is bankrupt, out of soldiers, out of ammunition, using washing machines as drones, who has cancer, Parkinson's, and how many heart attacks over the past two years?
What can I say. I enjoy the scattergun approach. Some may be true. Some may not.
In ten years time maybe we'll know.
Edit: don't forget the submarine powered by Zanussi.
Even recently we were warned of a massive increase in Russian spending on propaganda worldwide, and I guess we are seeing some prime examples of it now even here in Ireland.
Anytime they start trotting out “Irexit” my antennae twitch.
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