No, for absolute certainty, you have to wait until the Kremlin denies it.
Makes sense as there have been very few cruise missile attacks lately. I'm going to be so pissed off when they start hitting Ukrainian power plants during winter and killing civilians and the West announces more air defence in reaction. Just send everything possible now and limit the damage.
Bit of a clickbaity headline, but shortages in esential components for manufacturing and fuel are gonna dissrupt their war effort, and phone service issues will piss off a lot of people.
Have we not being hearing these stories since a few weeks after the invasion started. I sincerely hope its true but won't hold my breath still think he can keep this going .I just hope the Ukrainians can keep plugging away and they can get the supplies needed to make a serious break through and kick Putin back and out .
Sanctions will no more win this war for Ukraine than any one weapon system could, but it's the combination of many different "angles of attack" that will, sanctions are just one of the prongs in a multi pronged attack on Russia's ability to wage all out war in Ukraine.
We've been hearing them for over a year now. A lot of it is wishful thinking. Hey look it it makes people feel better then what's the harm?
If Russia manage to ‘overcome ‘the technical/logistical problems of setting sanctioned supplies would the following not be the case - if RU manage to get sanctioned supplies from a ‘friendly country/via the ‘tourist route’, I assume that it pays a premium price. It might also be the case that the goods supplied might be of spurious quality. And sanctioned exports leaving Ru are exported at a very significant discounted price. And such goods are more expensive to ship because of ‘current markets’ being further away and this price would be factored into the export price
so the sanctions have a ‘Tourist route’ way of impacting. Negatively on the Ru economy
Spot on, plus as the article I linked above mentions, concealed transactions are fertile ground for theft (even the scrupulously honest Russians might be tempted).
They are having an effect on Putin's ability to continue the war. Falling cash income, increasing prices, shortages of manpower etc. Ordinary Russians, the ones who never saw a bottle crystal champagne in their lives, never mind drank it, are suffering badly. And on top of it all, new mobilizations on the cards. 700'000 the figure being mentioned. Despite all the laws and decrees Putin has signed, trying to prevent military age men leaving, you can be sure that its still going on. Its turning into catch 22 for Russia. Transport grinding to a halt, because of diesel shortage's. But what ever diesel is being produced, most of it is been sold abroad for higher prices, which in turn is needed to pay for the war. Vicious circle. And now, the harvesting / planting season is starting, but its threatened by fuel shortages. See what Russia will be like next year if this years sowing fails.
If the sanctions are not working, why are they the central demand of Lavrov whenever he is discussing any kind of agreement / threat etc. The sanctions are working, and working very well and need to be increased, with any Country found to be helping Russia evade them, also sanctioned. The Russian war economy with anything even remotely connected to the military arms etc needs to be throttled to death.
...
Don dons last goodbye???
Fake news
You there Donald? You wouldn't be out of place there.😉
To Ramzan,
If he does die..... I'd love to know what the Chechens will do. RuSSia is fucked with Ukraine, RuSSia is fucked economically, politically, socially, militarily. Now would be the perfect time to have another go at a separation.
This illness seems to have taken a while to run its course, as I think I remember there being rumours of his ill health from a few months ago. I think it's likely that Putin will try to ensure as seamless a transfer of power as possible. If the illness has been incapacitating, then maybe Kadyrov hasn't been running much, and it's his successors who are already in charge.
Like Prigozhin and the disguises. You'd wonder how many clips these muppets have pre recorded..and for every eventuality.
The social media world of Putin's Russia.
Guess Kadyrov's public relations team hasn't the full grip on all Internet postings though.
Internet is full of gullible people.
Kadyrovs son Akhmad, was married last march when he turned 17, and has already been intoduced to Putin. So, according to Chechen custom, he is his father's heir and replacement.
Who is don…..? Putin…?
It’s a nickname for Kadyrov.
Comes from a Chechen term he uses a lot, which fulfills a similar function to “you know?” or “innit?” in some dialects of English. Or maybe even the “like” a lot of Irish people liberally use in speech
Good article on BBC about where counteroffensive is at now. Cuts through the hype but still gives grounds for cautious optimism
If the Ukrainians get lucky with the weather they might have an extended window to press their gains. Also seen some suggestions that their greater reliance on infantry based advances may give them some additional time.
Very little information flow on this thread now. Been throttled to death. Time for a new one?
Nah, lets stay in this one. If a new one is made, all the banned bots and pro-ruSSian useful idiots will be infesting thread again.
I think that reflects the very little movement of the front lines compared to a year ago. Like it or not, we're in a static, attritional phase of the war now. For this year most of the posts in this thread have been opinions and general discussion. There is the occasional development, like Crimean S-400s being destroyed and Prighozin being killed. But these don't immediately translate to gains on the battlefield. It's much harder to visualise the slow effect of sanctions than the Kharkiv/Kherson advance last year, although the sanctions will be much more significant in the eventual Russian defeat.
Also, it's worth noting that both sides seem to have turned up their OPSEC considerably. Even beyond this thread, the amount of posts on social media from the front lines has dropped considerably over recent months. Where once, there'd be tons of drone footage, helmet cam videos, etc., nowadays, it's mostly commentary, agitation and attempts at political analysis. I'd say that we're simply not seeing a lot of the action on the ground.
The counter offensive has stalled and let's face it has been a huge disappointment, not Ukraine's fault but that's the reality. A lot of good knowledgeable posters who said it would where ridiculed and called Russia bots etc... for bringing up the mere fact that Ukraine hadn't got the backing it needed to succeed and it seems they've just got fed up and left the conversation.
I myself posted an X link to a military guy a few weeks back who called out the lack of backing from the West for Ukraine and pointing out the needlessly huge numbers of Ukrainians who are dead bravely trying to retake positions without the proper equipment whilst that very equipment stays in storage in German/French/American etc... warehouses. Some here suggested he'd "gone over to the other side" or some such tripe. With this level of "discussion" is it any wonder the thread is more or less dead?
And less media attention and posters here too. Used to be 300 posts a day, easy. Now it's 50 to 100 depending on what's happening.
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