Did you read that wrong? It's Ukraine repeating what the Russians said yesterday, only in reverse
Someone in Ukraine thinks sarcasm will help in this situation, at the end of the day Russia has shown they will target civilian shipping in and near Ukraine
They may do, even a few attacks would make insurance difficult for any ships involved.
Yea. You read it wrong.
Ukraine hits a civilian ship in international waters they risk losing more than they will gain ,they hit a civilian ship heading to Russia that will see Russia retaliate with more minefields and attacks on Shipping in Ukrainian ports, and that's before international backers has a say
That's not even what Trump himself is saying though.
This is the most recent interview:
He said he would tell Mr Zelensky: “No more, you gotta make a deal,” and Mr Putin: “If you don’t make a deal, we’re gonna give them a lot. We’re gonna give more than they ever got.”
Trump doesn't really care about Ukraine, he cares about winning the election. So he is saying enough to keep the pro-Russian conspiracy theorists onside without actually committing to a fixed position on aid to Ukraine.
At the same time he appeals to his base by offering to secure peace by being the strongman. He is claiming he will force a peace by threatening to give even more aid to Ukraine than ever before.
If elected, Trump could break either way. He could arm Ukraine or he could just ignore it completely. He isn't running on a campaign that he will stop aid to Ukraine. So for the Russians who think that Trump is their great hope, they are relying on a candidate who is behind (polls suggest a small lead for the Democrats excluding the swing states) bringing in a policy that he has never once stated, and which he has in fact suggested that he will do the opposite.
Meanwhile, if the US support stops, EU is putting in place long term structural funding for Ukraine:
https://www.politico.eu/article/eu-plans-e72-billion-of-new-common-debt-to-aid-ukraine/
I read it right ,
No. This is what you said
What civilian ships did Ukraine hit?
I was laughing at what you correctly identified as sacrasm when you said.
Your first response implied that Ukraine actually poses a threat to civilian ships when you said
Of course they do ,why do you think the international community has refused to get involved, they can do a lot of damage to civilian shipping in the area from they have already shown earlier on in the war they will attack civilian ships
You read it wrong.
That's what some of us were predicting since last summer but always the small crew in here telling us Russian ammunition runs out in two weeks, Russian defences will collapse like cards as soon as the counteroffensive starts, book the flight to Crimea for the big party when it's reclaimed in July....
The reality is still a bloody war of attrition with thousands dying for minor victories one way or another... I still say the only real hope is change from within Russia, but where it'll come from I don't know ...
What he's clearly indicating there is a negotiated settlement, which Ukraine categorically state they refuse. If they refuse, I'm sure he'll call them ungrateful and cut military aid immediately.
Negotiated settlement means Putin will keep part of the east and trump will call himself the great peacemaker. Trump will not tell Putin: get out of the country and give up all stolen territory. We all know Putin has dirt on Trump and that gives him leverage.
A Biden victory is vital for Ukraine
What do you want from USA? Send Superman in?
@jmreire "At this minute, I'm talking to a Russian friend, an the conversation makes for grim listening to."
Tell us more?
Ukrainians are resourceful. I'm sure they'll put them to good use.
Can Russia really sustain this war for several more years? While the propaganda of them running out of material looks to be wide of the mark, there is going to come a point where they are outgunned by Ukraine. Also they are going to run out of money to pay for the war at some point. My guess is Putin is hoping for a stalemate going into this winter and that the West will push Ukraine to start talking, If that's his calculation I think he's mistaken.
Not sure if this was posted already; A pretty negative assessment of the counteroffensive from an analyst who is one of a team of "experts" who are just back from the front lines talking to soldiers and commanders. While he doesn't rule out the possibility of a breakthrough, he thinks it's likely to remain an attritional conflict with little progress on either side. The main takeaway is that the faltering counteroffensive isn't due to a single problem like lack of ammunition or limited supply of NATO hardware, but can be attributed to a multitude of shortcomings on the Ukrainian side; "lack of progress is often more due to force employment, poor tactics, lack of coordination btw. units, bureaucratic red tape/infighting, Soviet style thinking etc. & ...Russians putting up stiff resistance."
Ruble is steadily sliding, sanctions are having a long-term impact, the effects of which are kicking in, their war-chest is heavily depleted, they have lost their most lucrative income (European energy market), their leadership (for the first time) has openly admitted having supply issues with material and munitions, their troops have low morale and are fighting purely for money, all with an economy smaller than that of the state of Texas
They can certainly keep going, possibly for years, but all the cracks are there and it's impacting them on every level.
I don't expect any quick end to this conflict, and I am fully aware of the massive challenges facing Ukraine, but the Russian military now is not the same as the one that invaded, and the Russian military in a year's time? They don't seem to be improving, put it that way
Depressing read.
Quit the bickering or threadbans will follow
Ukraine need to be careful on this one as Russia have no qualms about packing a boat full of passengers and sailing it out there to draw fire. Sinking a passenger ship would do some serious PR damage to Ukraine whilst if it happened the other way the Russians wouldn't give a toss.
nice
There's that alright. I wonder will the Russians carry out their threat?
Ukrainian troops are making gradual advances of several hundred metres to the south and southeast every day.
Source: Military Media Centre, quoting Colonel Mykola Urshalovych, Deputy Director of the Department of Application Planning of the Chief Directorate of the National Guard of Ukraine
Quote: "In extremely difficult conditions of mined terrain and enemy fire... our assault groups, supported by tanks and artillery, continue to gradually move south and southeast, pushing the occupiers out of Ukrainian land. Our soldiers and officers are literally tearing through the enemy's defences.
Every day we advance by several hundred metres."
Ukrainian troops advance hundreds of metres every day in the south | Ukrainska Pravda
Possibly just mine the area. If a ship did break the 'blockade' and hit a mine, Russia will just point the finger at Ukraine and the rest of the world won't say or do anything other than condemn it and more than likely wouldn't publicly blame Russia.
Kinda like the dam that was blown up etc..
Timed that well 😀
The British-born Ukrainian marine Aiden Aslin, one of the Mariupol fighters released in a prisoner swap has released his book "Putin’s Prisoner: My Time as a Prisoner of War in Ukraine".
He's currently doing promos for the book. Some harrowing stories.
Here's a a good overview from the Aus national broadcaster:
If you prefer a video, interview with the Times.
Will have limited Impact I'd imagine. Russian State owned ships just use Russian State owned insurance companies.
They also have a heavily armed navy who can protect said ships something Ukraine can't do
Lula in Brazil seems hopeful, wonder if Brazil is one of these countries he's talking about
Given Lula is one of those old Lefties who think it's all NATO's fault, I'm not sure Brazil would be an honest broker in any peace talks
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