The league is over and the championship starts in less than a week.
Major changes to the structure that I'm not going to explain but right now these are the teams, in not particular order making up the 16 for the group stages.
- Kerry
- Dublin
- Mayo
- Galway
- Roscommon
- Tyrone
- Armagh
- Donegal
- Derry
- Monaghan
- Cork
- Louth
- Kildare
- Sligo\Leitrim\London\NY
- Westmeath (2022 TC winners)
- Meath*
*Meath are out if someone below them in league standings, other than Westmeath\Sligo\Leitrim\London\NY, make a provincial final.
The provincial winners are seeded first in the groups, provincial winners 2nd and then it goes by league placings.
The group winners advance to the QFs and the 2nd and 3rd place teams play off to determine the other 4 QF teams.
Right now it's as open a championship as it has been in years.
Kerry were good last year with new management and a determination to get their first title in 9 years, but even at that they were run close by Dublin and Galway were in good shape for a decent periods of the final.
Galway themselves were seconds for being knocked out in the QF by Armagh.
Dublin had Kerry on the rack in the 2nd half of their SF but an monster free nailed it for Kerry.
This year Kerry have had a lacklustre league, but a lot of that is down to a lack of urgency after a very busy 2022 with club and county. But at the same time they are not playing well, and seem to lack depth in places.
Dublin won Div 2 but equally didn't exactly shoot the lights out in doing so, but still they are Dublin.
Mayo have been revitalized by new management and new players, they won the league and are in a much stronger position to challenge than they were in 2022.
Galway are so so, they benefited from the easy side of the draw in 2022 and seem to rely very much on a few key players. They had a great chance to beat mayo yesterday and could not take it
Armagh could spring a surprise, they should have beaten Galway in the QF last year and that would have put them in the final if you ask me. They will cause trouble in whatever group they are in and I doubt many would like to meet them in a QF.
Tyrone are hard to figure, they won an All Ireland with a team that was hardly "generational" and now it looks like they are very much middle of the pack
Derry just don't have enough to be serious contenders and I will also write off Donegal.
After all that I think it's really between Kerry, Mayo, Dublin and Armagh.