So even Wagner calling it a Civil War?
A word that sounds like it's been plucked right out of a The Day Today script.
This is a huge column,seems this was in the planning for a while, how they kept this away from Russian military is a mystery
I think a lot more could be involved in this than just Wagner
Reports of fighting between RU air assets and Wagner on the M4 highway.
interesting alright.
Reminds me of Boycies quote "B&Q will be selling a new door".
Its an easy out for Putin. He recalls his troops to defend the motherland calling an end to the SMO due to internal security issues. Appears strong in crushing Wagner force and brings the country back from the brink of civil war. Wagner leadership who see their lambs slaughtered, ride off into the African sunset. Putin try's to maintain control of Crimea and whatever little ground he can with his reduced force and calls it a victory against the west. Agreement between PUT & POG that when PUT expires through natural causes, POG takes the lead, regroups and goes again.
Uk ministry of defence think Moscow
Two implosions in one week. One near the Titanic, another near Moscow.
The fact that they are cutting through Russia so quick is looking ominous for Putin. There seems to be a lot of defections, will Putin's loyal units stay loyal or will they stand down.
Ha, there was me thinking they’d just take Rostov and make a stand. But no, it’s a proper stab at a Civil War with the whole area being taken by Wagner. I very much doubted Ukraine’s war ending this year without a spectacular collapse of the Russian Army…but it looks like this might be happening.
We might actually see the end of the war in Ukraine this year, but the War in Russia is something we’ll need to keep a sharp eye on. There’s no guarantee that a defeat of Putin will result in a friend to the West.
.........
To say that I am shocked by the events is an understatement of emotions. But to say that they are very unexpected would be a big exaggeration. Because I warned (https://t.me/Hard_Blog_Line/8939). But, objectively, did Prigozhin's personal ambitions lead to this? Of course no. Is he alone responsible for what is happening? Also no.
It was your "skillful" leadership that led to the rebellion. Your arrogance, self-confidence and inability to compromise. First, you drive people to despair, and then you say that it was personal ambitions that pushed people to treason. Oh is it? Didn't you do it yourself, treating the heroes and your defenders like dumb cattle? Haven't you swept problems under the rug? Haven't you ignored people's feelings and emotions? Who brought the situation to the point that now military personnel have to choose between loyalty to the oath and justice?
It can be said that Prigozhin misunderstands the interests of the country and the people. Can't the same be said about you? It's not too late to make things right. But you and Prigogine are jointly leading the country to an internal conflict. It was possible to solve the problem by simple conversation and solving acute problems. But you didn't want to talk. I do not justify Prigogine. But do not hesitate - I will never justify you either.
And when everyone turns to the Wagnerites with calls and requests to stop, I turn to you. Stop and you. Learn to hear and listen to your people. Otherwise, he will simply stop hearing and listening to you. Fear the wrath of a patient man. But more than that, fear the wrath of a patient people.
Thats an interesting map.
Claimed that his family fled to Turkey last night, not sure about him though.
Talk that Luckashenko has fled Belarus
The oligarchs will try to get someone in so they can get their yachts back
The Wagner column confirmed to be in Voronezh.
It's 460km to Moscow.
Very clever
In fairness the Russian public are irrelevant and will just get behind whoever comes out on top in all of this.
Will Putin jump onto a tank & inspire the people to fight like Boris Yeltsin did, or will he flee the Palace just like Ceausescu?
The top military brass, secret service, oligarchs & other power brokers will be looking for a way out of this whole conflict, taking out both Putin, Prizoghin & the other madmen would be at least be a start towards an eventual peace.
Lots of leaders of various regions coming out with statements in support of Putin.
Head administrative head of North Ossetia, Mayor of Sevastopol, head of the DPR, etc. All the military bloggers making the same statements.
It's hard to see where Prigozhin goes from here.
Also reports that the MODs own prison brigades 'Storm-Z' have released a video claiming their backing Prigozhin. Also reports of various Russian armed units just letting Wagner forces pass through and refusing the engage them.
There it is
He has more to worry about than exiting Ukraine. There is probably a sledgehammer with his name on it.
Could be….assuming those RosGuard troops on the way south from Moscow don’t get their arses handed to them by the Wagners. Remember, a lot of the decent troops in the Russian army are either dead, defected, or in Wagner itself. If this goes very badly for Putin you’ll have Wagner in control of that chunk of Russia south of Rostov and possibly in a position to wage war on Moscow.
That’s all assuming they fail to talk Wagner into standing down.
What a spoofer, likely story he was on the front lines and has been anywhere near those occupied cities he mentioned.
They appear to be taking over all of the South
GGWP
According to a Russian Telegram channel closely affiliated with the Russian airfroce they can confirm that Wagner did indeed shootdown 2 Electronic warfare MI-8's and a MI-35
All in all. The Lesson we can take away from this is that you need to keep PMC's on a tight leash.
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