I've said that before too, they'll definitely aim to keep going till the US elections next year knowing that if Trump wins he'll almost certainly abandon Ukraine immediately
Estimated date for capture: September 26th, 2022.
Wishful thinking much? American society and political culture is on a bumpy road but I very much doubt if there is any appetite among the majority of voters to have a repeat of the Donald. So in that regard, it would be a very shaky conjecture on which to base a war against your neighbour and the western world in general.
What do you expect? An inventory of what went up? I very much doubt if we'll hear, maybe when this is all over.
Why exactly wouldn't we hear being attacks are well documented,
The fact nothing has been said suggest this was an important site
Republican Speaker Kevin McCarthy dunked on a Russian reporter during a presser in Israel. The reporter tried to exploit McCarthys previous comments opposing “unlimited funds to Ukraine” McCarthy responded that he does support funding Ukraine, has voted to fund Ukraine, and he doesn’t like what their country is doing to children, basically that the funding is not “unlimited” - it ends when Russia Leaves.
Well the Russian state might be high on its own supply of propaganda. 8 years of touting their once business partner as the best politician ever etc.
Wishful thinking by Russia yes, but I wouldn't rule it out. Trump against Biden looks increasingly likely and we all know the Russians have some kind of dirt on Trump who anyway couldn't care less about Ukraine. Time will tell
If the war is still in progress by that election then Biden doesn’t care about Ukraine either. This talk that Ukraine is low on ammunition, if true, proves the west don’t care about Ukraine.
Geoconfirmed has done some good work on it already.... not official, but probably one of the better OSINT sources..
GeoConfirmed on Twitter: "GeoConfirmed UKR. The massive explosion in Pavlograd was in the Pavlograd Chemical plant and was not a train loaded with S-300's like so many claimed... And it's also very bad news. Grid of the site: 48.582440, 35.849209 GeoLocated by @OAlexanderDK and @Wolltigerhueter 1/9" / Twitter
Radio silence isn't always a bad thing and has happened a number of times.... I suspect it was the Chemical factory, but there was more than just old boosters there....
The power of a state to sell territory to another state is recognized by international law, so I think Ukraine should sell to the USA, for 1 Dollar, with a buy back in 5 years when the US clears its land of the invaders.
Everything has limits, the US isn't going to pay for everything, other partners have to commit. Other partners are likely embarrassing low on ammo but don't want to admit it. It's just reality
The US could supply the ammunition. Not doing so because Europe won’t support Ukraine is a weak reason.
This has been the case for years,since the end of the cold war the European military industry has been in decline,a massive reduction in spending and advancements over the last 30 years,
There's not huge supplies of ammunition and weapons and vehicles stashed away in a lot of cases some countries are emptying the cupboards ,and leaving themselves stretched , we hear from various sources how production of shells has been massively ramped up ,but for most part it hasn't ,the french are blocking production and purchasing,we had the president of the Czech republic saying that the Ukrainans are low on ammunition,
bureaucracy and Europe go hand in hand and nothing gets done quickly and unless everyone is happy,
We get posters throwing tantrums when they hear it , because they can't handle that they aren't getting the supplies they need, even now with their 3 patriot missles batteries they have very limited supplies,some experts suggest no more than 30 days supply of Anti aircraft missles in Ukraine,
Surely the Americans have the capability to supply Ukraine. The Russians cannot have more capacity than the US.
If they choose to yes ,
But it seems the plan is to degrade the Russians rather than defeating them in Ukraine, which if they wanted to they could do in fairly short order,
The only country in the world who can fight 24/7 any where in the world and drop bombs with pinpoint accuracy and yet they are giving the Ukrainans dribs and drabs, enough so they can say we're with you Ukraine until the end ,but not enough so this war can be ended in a few weeks or months
It's a very valid reason. The war in Ukraine doesn't exist in isolation. If the US give unlimited aid while others do little, then it becomes the status quo, everyone can sit on their thumbs because big brother will bail them out. Unfortunately they have to establish norms and protocols so that they are not taken advantage of by their "allies"
The problem there is they are all playing the same game,
We are with you Ukraine until the end but we're not going to the walls for you ,
More than 50% of the aid to Ukraine has come from European and other countries.
Americans just said the Russians have 100,000 casualties in 5 months in Bakhmut. Maybe 30k dead, 70k injured???
And that's just to take 90 +% of bakhmut bar a few streets,
Hopefully the Ukrainan casualties are know where as bad,
So 50% US, 50% rest of world then? Is this war taking place on the north american continent?
Nonsense.
decoy rockets used, explains all the reports of large # of launches
Russia has suffered more than 100,000 casualties, including 20,000 killed in action, since December in the stalemated fight over Bakhmut in eastern Ukraine, US National Security Council spokesman John Kirby told reporters.
20k dead, 80k+ wounded in the last 4 months according to US intelligence estimates
Kirby attributed the estimate to “information and intelligence that we were able to corroborate over a period of some time,” while continuing the US policy of refusing to estimate Ukraine’s casualties in the war.
It'll be quite funny when the Ukrainian counteroffensive pushes straight past Bakhmut and maroons whatever Russian orcs have expended so much energy trying to occupy the insignificant bomb site, on their way to Severodonetsk.
Speaking of support. China and Brazil voting against Russia in the UN now.
https://twitter.com/metesohtaoglu/status/1653048677831770113/photo/1
The US has a 'minimum holding'/war reserve below which it won't go. It created excess that it didn't need in order to keep production lines open, it was that excess which got donated to Ukraine initially. Anything since is stuff which has been sourced with replacement or new production. It's fine for Ukraine to ask the US for help, but if the US finds itself in its own shooting war, there's nowhere for the US to go to.
No, but then neither was the cold war, Vietnam, Kuwait, Iraq or Afghanistan. And It's significantly more than 50%, not close to it.
This is the point I've been making for months there's not an infinite of of weapons, ammunition and armoured vehicles that can be given away with little or nothing in return,
I seem to remember they ran pretty low on hellfires and precision guided bombs after the initial Iraq war (2nd) which had to be sourced or wait for production to catch up ,
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