They say - it's not John Wick. John Wick was the one sent to kill Baba Yaga. But he did not succeed as Baba Yaga is still posting on Boards
Maybe it was so simple that only a fool would try it?
Perhaps. But you're looking at only one side of the balance scale. Sure, the Russians are very good at keeping secrets, they were so good that they refused to even tell their own soldiers they were going to war and not a training exercise. How well did that work out for them? The US may have more leaks, but also has less of a problem with people who need to know things not knowing things
It's not like it was the nuclear code or something.
For a long time the permissive action link code in US nuclear silos was 00000000
It's not a 'launch code' per se but a number that had to be keyed into a panel during a launch sequence, otherwise the warhead would not arm. It was supposed to be a bunch of random numbers but the Air Force left it at the default 00000000 to make launches easier.
It's the equivalent of user:admin pass:admin which even to this day will get you into a lot of systems
And we have another resurrection from banned list....
do you know who the Baba Yaga is...?
Russia has shown no ability or wherewithal to just go around Bakhmut, so I don't place much stock in the idea that they will advance rapidly if and when they can fully take the town. In fact, Russia have shown little ability to take territory quickly since their opening offensive. Barring a Ukrainian military collapse, I must predict future performance based on past form.
Lots of posts about this
Ireland has previously done the exact same thing, several times (2011, 2018 & 2022)
Any chance of a timeline on the ‘about to burst’ opinion?
It was suggested that the revelation of Ukrainian supply tunnels to the rear (along with the sudden change in weather) disincentivised the encirclement attempt but I think Wagners could have been near culmination at that point anyway as they were attacking a front of 90 km in length.
All of the above no doubt played a role but the fact is Wagners are no longer noted to be predominantly present on the flanks around Bakhmut and in the last week more and more conventional Russian and special forces are being noted to be taking part in many of the assaults within the city.
In terms of attrition I don't think we'll hear as much out of Wagner after the battle for Bakhmut concludes. So, why did Ukraine continue to hold the city? I think it's starting to become evident.
But after Bakhmut as Francie says, can Ukraine then punch back? There will certainly be a counter offensive I believe, and they will try it at some point in 2023 . But they have to be seen to be successful so are understandably waiting until as close to perfect conditions as far as they see them. I remember how Ukraine were always "only 15 miles from Kherson airport" for what turned out to be months and the level of impatience that was being voiced at a perceived lack of progress. They want to be sure they are going to inflict sufficient damage or make gains to justify the swing in losses that occur when moving from a defensive posture to an offensive one. Can only imagine the amount of planning and scenarios being worked out.
Nearly every public security breach in the west in the last decade has come from US own goals. Assange, Snowden, this lad. Your lot are doing something wrong that your allies and enemies are not.
Here's looking at you, Kid...
There's an old saying that as soon as you tell someone a secret, it's not secret any more.
Having a level of clearance doesn't mean you have access to all the information classified at that level. It's not like you can walk from a "secret" computer network which has access to all the "secret" things in a big database and then if you have a TS clearance, walk over to a "Top secret" computer and access another big database with all the TS things. You still need to be given access to things. That's where the old problem of 'usefulness' vs 'security' comes in. Information which is too closely held is useless, and it's always a bit of a call as to who needs to have access to certain information. Someone decided that this information needed a wider audience. It's not like it was the nuclear code or something.
Another ship the Ukrainians put out of commission was an amphibious landing ship, so they did make efforts to prevent the scenario, which was very real.
Russia have made Bakhmut their top priority and because they are pushing so hard, Ukraine in turn have made it their priority to hold. Both sides have clearly been willing to commit a lot of resources to the city, so it's become symbolic. Zelensky himself said a few weeks ago that losing Bakhmut would demoralize Ukrainians and give Putin a victory to the world.
I think it's clear that this is a highly attritional battle. Not much territory is being exchanged, but both sides claiming the other has taken excess casualties. At some point this battle will come to an end, the real question is what happens then. Will Russia have the ability to secure the rest of Donetsk? Will Ukraine have enough in the tank for their counter attack to succeed?
Personally I am sceptical of either side producing a knock-out blow anytime soon.
Is this Leo Varadkar???
Scutter
Shame the west can't help Ukraine mass produce these. Hard to believe there was a slight chance that there was going to be a mass amphibious assault on Odessa.
Why would the Ukrainians stay in Bakhmut if they were losing so badly? They are not stupid.
Sure they do, and for good measure booby trap the hell out of them as well. The thing is that now any Russian controlled area is a free-fire zone, and the UA can bomb the hell out of it, no need to watch out for Ukrainian presence. For the Russian survivors of the assaults on Bakhmut to take it, their real hell is about to commence.
In other words, the "Need to know" principle.
Historical footage of the launch of the two Ukrainian made Neptune anti ship missiles that sunk the Moskva.
(That link contains another to an in depth article about the sinking thet is well worth a read.)
Had Ukraine not had these up it's sleeve, I think the course of the war could have been very different, with possibly a naval assault on Odesa. These have kept the Orc fleet well away, thankfully.
That is a terrible vista if it's true? And that's where I pause to ponder. It would imply that states all around the world whether friendly, neutral or hostile to the USA would have a good handle on their military & diplomatic intelligence. Is that credible?
Sure look….
The Ukrainians put explosives in buildings they abandon and when the Russians go in they detonate them remotely.
Don't believe ya. Show us some proof
Well, no, but I think everyone is well aware of your "schtick" at this point. If that's what you picked up, then you haven't been keeping up on the events and haven't been reading the thread, so any future posts you make won't be taken seriously.
Ah, but he looked really cool in front of his 12 yo Minecraft mates for a while. Not, I suspect, dealing with a major intellect here.
I had to sign the Official Secrets act when I was in the RAF, and it was made very clear how serious the penalties were for breaking it.
21 and you are likely to spend the next two decades in prison… what a waste of a life for nothing
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