Ask a western official how many tanks Russia have lost and they will literally give the Oryx number. That shows how much western officials know about losses. I'm pretty sure those further up the food chain in defence know more accurate numbers.
There's another article a month ago with experts estimating 270k Russian losses. Would be closer to 300k now.
One can literally pick numbers out of ones arse at this stage and write an opinion piece on it.
Not what most here want to read including myself, but a lot of that is coming from the frontline commanders themselves and is sobering reading. I truly hope its not a case of too little to late from the west.
It's a very grim read but it reflects the reality of the situation.
The Russians are going through a savage meat grinder but so are the Ukrainian forces and there is less of them.
Every day it goes on is a result for Russia.
The West has so run down it's defense industries, reality is coming to bear down on that.
Speaking of ammunition, the Orcs don't have much. Any is too much, but at least it's something.
Logistics is the biggest problem for ukraine and the West getting in what the Ukrainans need
Everything is fine? That's your Kremlin friends message to the meatnicks.
We've seen the same claims being repeated since Last year ,dire and critical situations ,no ammo ,no experienced soldiers,
But yet day in and day out the Ukrainians are winning and holding off the Russians, every fight bakhmut, kreminna, Vuhledar is turned into meat grinders for the Russians, the same people making the same claims on social media hoping something sticks,
We don't know when these vehicles were destroyed, and they all seem to have been pushed off the road to clear a passage, security permitting, its drivable.
7 months, 1 week, 6 days as of today.
Looks like another Russian retreat is in the works,funny it's gone from Ukrainans surrounded and cut off preparing to surrender bakhmut ,
to the Russians prepared to retreat from the rest of Kherson,so much for the predictions of WW1 casualties for the Ukrainans,due to the super prepared orc defenses.
What's going to happen when the big counter offensive begins
Well we know at least one of those wrecks was likely very recent because that female medic was killed in it, and when they say that the big cheese general was taken there and back via a dirt track that isn't the main road, it probably isn't a leap to think that was due to a lack of security on the main road.
Thats a possibility too,160000 mobiks,40 000 wagners,60000 seperatists DNR/LPR and 10000 Kadyrovites.but its just estimates
But whats for sure,is that Russia loses more soldiers attacking,than Ukraine defending,some say its 1/5 some say its as high as 1/7
No its not a waste of time, its very important that all war crimes are recorded and cases built, for when and if cases come to trial. Because with out it, you have nothing. There has been several convictions stemming from the war in the former YU, Slobodan Milosevic being the most prominent one. Another one was the trial and conviction of Charles Taylor, the Liberian warlord, responsible for the deaths of thousands.
It's always the same argument from the orc propagandists.
Best to lay down and let the rapist, stealing murders take whatever they want from Ukraine.
This orc propaganda has been very concerted in the last few weeks. I take it as an indicator that the orc position is actually much worse than what most people realize.
Yes most likely ( but not 100% guaranteed) Putin and his cronies will ever be put on trial, but without it there's nothing, no deterrent, and even now the Hague is getting mentioned in RT with Solovyov and Margarita. So its something that they are thinking about, and its worrying them.
Be careful with ratios, the 5/7:1 is specific to Bakhmut area, so may not be reflected on the entire Frontline. In the past week 1000 Russians were killed there, so potentially 140-200 Ukranians also. Bakhmut only accounts for roughly 20% of the casualty figures along the frontline.
In the real world of this war, orcs are complaining about 5 more tanks being destroyed in Ukrainian drone attacks 💣️
The real destructive NATO kit hasn't even arrived yet. The coming Ukrainian counter offensive is going to be a blood bath for orcs.
Those racing drones with the RPG charges on them seem to be highly effective. Think there was video footage of one chasing a Russian BMP that had the rear door open with soliders inside.
In this kind of situation, there's no such thing as a 100% safe road, just some that are less dangerous than others. I remember travelling on roads in Syria and Libya that were for sure not guaranteed 100% safe, but were thought to be "inactive", so that was about as much of a safety guarantee as you were likely to get. But they could and sometimes did turn "Active", without any warning. Like the two British volunteers travelling in and out of Vuledar, and who had done it many times, yet got caught. That route was considered safe.
It was Bakhmut i was refering to and thats also where most casualties have been taken by both sides the last few months
Overall history always shows the attacker losing more regardless,from atleast 3/1 and up in the bigger picture,but that doesnt take into account artillery duels and human wave attacks,so again only estimates
A year long fight against Russia will do that to you. There is still no other option than to fight the Muscovites. It's not a case of, 'we're running low on ammo, best to surrender to the Muscovite animals.'
Meanwhile the Muscovites busy on the front line are not being forgotten by the elite... such is the consideration of Putin for the love of culture he knows his front line troops enjoys, as they cannot get to visit museums back in Moscovy, he's bringing the museum to the front line... namely 1950s and 1960s tanks and BMPs. Well done Putin. Next he'll be so considerate to send hussars on horseback.
That's exactly what it looks like, we've seen the same repeated on other temporary roads,the majority of the vehicles I've seen look to have been pancaked by tracked vehicles, very little evidence of strikes on vehicles from air or artillery strikes,
As for war crimes tribunal... If you think Putin gets to travel freely you'd be mistaken - he for one wont travel to non friendly countries. Instead, he can go glamping (a toilet per one hundred people) in North Korea.
Also, don't forget it allows the orcs to have a bargaining chip in the future. For example, once the orcs turn in on themselves they'll offer putler and co. to the ICC in exchange for the dropping of some sanctions.
Putin will retire to his multibillion compound and will live out his days in comfort,the only other option is death,he would never be handed over to any international court
Yea, I would be surprised to see him ever travel beyond the regular cohort of Russia-friendly nations in the future. North Korea might be the furthest he'll ever get from home.
Assuming he even survives the decade or this conflict, I doubt he'll be given to The Hague unless Russia takes a serious 180 in their governance, own up to their sins and surrender him as part of some future peace deal with the rest of the world. I'd love to see it of course, Putin would have to answer for his crimes and that hypothetical Russia I described would be a nation that has some hope of getting its act together.
However, in reality, I suspect he'll dig in and much like his gripping of tables he'll grip onto power as long as he can. One day, after a couple of bloody years of civil war in Russia, he'll probably be cornered in some drain-pipe like Gaddafi was and shot by a fellow Russian. Likely a Russian who's gone though a hell of Putin's making in the hollowed-out remains of what used to be his country but had been destroyed for the ego of one man.
I much prefer the first option. But that is down to the Russians themselves.
I'm okay with either option, although preferably over a shorter timeframe.
For starters, a police investigation. The way the article is written, it could have been a bar fight. It seems to indicate the hotel staff denied him entry on dress code grounds, things may have escalated from there.
"we already had a US president who tries to dismantle NATO"
He was attempting to get NATO to properly fund its defense departments (whilst at the same time increasing the US's forward presence in Eastern Europe and the US Army's operations in Europe as a whole). His first National Security Strategy was a change in focus on his predecessor, specifically calling out Russia and China. I would submit that on this issue, at least, he was entirely right.
President Trump's new National Security Strategy (NSS) deserves careful attention, particularly by America's allies and strategic partners and by those who deal with everything the President says or issues in terms of knee jerk criticism. It is a document that President Trump reviewed and altered in some depth and that represents his views—rather than a bureaucratic compromise. At the same time, it both expands on the classic themes of U.S. strategy—rather than rejects them—and commits the U.S. to playing its traditional role in leading the free world.
Well that yea, ending this nonsense sooner is in everyone's best interest, not least of whom Ukraine. If they could just get their act together and feck off home, it would be great.
They still keep forgetting about Ireland,allthough their 300 meter tsunami waves are russian fairytales