Russian heavy bombers and ships are on the move over the last while,
Expect to hear of a large attack on Ukrainan infrastructure and civilian populations by the morning
Scum.
The 14th is effectively meaningless: Wizz Air have to give cancellation notice so they're not required to refund passengers. The notice period happens to be a minimum of 14 days.
Bakhmut about to be encircled - why have the UA troops not been pulled out yet? Twitter is on fire with videos and reports from soldiers. Very narrow time gap now to get the remaining forces out and regroup further back. I can't understand the logic here, history shows time and again politics/idealism in situations like this only loses you your forces. Madness they haven't been pulled out already.
Hopefully they see sense and just get out to fight another day.
They're fighting to defend their nation and their people. As soon as they withdraw from Bakhmut then another string of towns, villages, and cities will become the front line.
Thankfully it's not the same kind of situation as Mariupol where they were surrounded with their backs to water and Russian ships.
I love when people start talking about encirclements and cauldrons.
Other than Mariupol at a very early stage in the war, when has either side managed an encirclement of any appreciable size?
The drone strikes are encouraging, I've always thought the only way the Ukrainians will get leverage is to strike Russia in Russia, the only way to create jeopardy for them. It was a horrendous disadvantage to have you own country crippled and living in fear while the enemy remains relatively safe at home.
Maybe they were, but it was the tank being described as a “symbol of the fight against neo-nazism in Ukraine” by the MFA of Russia that raised my eyebrow. Same reheated auld guff still being pumped out so that Russia can justify its war.
Does twitter account Russia's MFA in Crimea stand for Russian mafia in Crimea.
One of the biggest advantages Ukraine has at the moment is morale, every Ukrainian sitting in a freezing cold trench looking at photos of their loved ones knows exactly why they are there, the same cannot be said for the Russians. The power of morale in warfare cannot be overstated, it is not just a tactical advantage but a strategic one.
Ukraine has to be very carefull about what it strikes in Russia because (to use the technical term) "shyte happens", one thing the Ukrainians do not want to do is give the Russians a reason to fight, this would be a really bad own goal and could actually lead to them loosing this war.
Earlier in the war there were people here who couldn't really understand why the Ukrainians were treating Russian POWs so much better than their own POWs were being treated, again it all comes down to morale, you don't have to be a genius to understand the advantages in having your enemy surrendering rather than fighting to the end believing they have no other choice.
As it stands Ukraine are "playing a blinder" on this front.
What happened to the bombers and ships ?
Which is/was the first western tank in Ukraine?
From where?
I'm liking the big increase in ammunition dumps going up in smoke lately. On top of the Russians using a huge amount of artillery blowing up stockpiles will really help them running low on stock's.
Also Bakhmut made it to March. I never would have seen in coming. Let's see how long it lasts.
7 months and still in Ukrainan hands
Yes Ukr have the far better tactical plan and motivation. But Russians at home aren't motivated to speak out against this war, seeing their countries war related assets such as ammo dumps, manufacturing, jets, ships and tactical targets like fuel production won't drive them to go fight to the death, but might get some to start questioning putin. Once Ukr doesn't target civilians I think they are still playing a blinder, they should up the targeting of infrastructure, deeper into russia. Take out more airports, bridges, trains, power plants.
how many Russians have died for these gains?
Ukrainian agriculture is seriously damaged by the war and parts will take decades to recover. https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/soils-war-toxic-legacy-ukraines-breadbasket-2023-03-01/
But what about them bombers ?
A presidential advisor to Zelensky seems to think that the Belarus partisan attack is true.
orcs destroying whatever vestige of a fighting force that exists in suicide missions.
Everything plays into Ukraine's hands especially with the coming counter offensive.
How Bakhmut is going for the orcs 😂
I take those numbers every day of the week from an UA perspective...
Whatever you say comrade 🤣
Or if the Russians deny any damage.
There's a saying in chess, that "the threat is stronger than the execution". Translating that to the battlefield, it means that just threatening an encirclment can be enough to screw up the enemy's plans, and even cost them ground and losses because the best way to avoid encirclement when things are going against you is to withdraw from the threatened circle, and even that can be costly enough - as at Falaise in 1944. An encirclement doesn't have to be achieved for the gains to be big. No sane commander leaves units in place to get caught up in a "kesselschlacht". Stalin learned that lesson after 1941. Hitler never did.
Debaltseve in 2015 springs to mind.
Its clear though now - if Bakhmut isnt evacuated the garrison there will be fully encircled. Whether they can keep supply routed open long term is very unlikely.
Even soldiers on the ground acknowledge they are simply buying time for the next line of defence and the spring counterattack. The city itself cant be held.
Sounds more like a way to increase support for the war in Russia.
You aren't wrong, there's a huge sense of victimhood in Russia which is perpetrated and exploited to the maximum
This is why it's smart that the Ukrainians say nothing about their missions over any Ru territory, it forces the info to remain ambiguous, and since the Russians engage in so much propaganda and information warfare it always leaves room for doubt. Very clever by the Ukrainians.
Saying that taking out Russian infrastructure (airports, bridges, trains and power plants deep in Russia) would get people to start questioning the war is a gamble, wars are lost to gambles such as that.
The Putin regime would, without any doubt whatsoever, use such actions as a rallying call to the entire Russian nation, the consequenses of which could well be mass volunteering for the Russian army and the mobilisation of the whole nation to a war footing.
In war you can take risks but you shouldn't gamble.
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