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Government's secret plan to block repayment of illegal nursing home charges

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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,147 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    The key question here is would the people here who are piling on the 2010 government have accepted that all their EBS, AIB, TSB and BOI savings be written off Argentina style if the government allowed all of the €12 Billion in claims and litigations to go ahead without challenge in 2010? Every family in the country with a tenuous connection to a nursing home since the 70's would have stuck in a claim, bankrupting the countries banks.

    There is no magic money tree in the back garden of the Ministry of Finance.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,287 ✭✭✭keeponhurling


    Of course there is no magic money, and the job of government is to make the hard choices. Knowing that you can never please everybody.

    It still stinks though and it feels like a huge lack of transparency here.

    If the strategy used was a sound and legitimate policy (Leo's words), or even just a defendable one, why is everybody washing their hands of it and saying they cannot remember a thing?

    Or if it's true that a whole series of Health Minsters and Taoisigh were kept entirely in the dark (notwithstanding their bad memories), does this mean that the civil service is then driving government policy on such a huge decision ?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    Every family in the country could make a claim as it was.

    But the strategy they chose was to settle with everyone, and just make the process to get there more difficult.

    So in all likelihood it was wealthier families less likely to deserve a payout that got it.

    And again 12 billion was the upper estimate.

    With a redress scheme they could have paid less to genuine claimants over several years.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    I appreciate there was no magic money tree back then. But they were still able to funnel plenty of money in those times to their cronies in Siteserv and Rehab.

    And FFG governments since then can hardly claim to have been prudent with public finances.

    What have we to show for the last few strong economic growth? Other than an endless bill for a childrens hospital and f**k all houses.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,147 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    € 12 Billion was the upper estimate? What was the lower estimate?

    We were so fcuked in 2011 that Britain had to give us a €3.8 billion loan to save the UK branches of our own banks.

    We needed an IMF bailout to stop the Irish branches of those banks closing down.

    They wouldn't have done that if Ireland was in hoc for another €12 Billion.

    Everybody's savings go poof.

    I have never heard so much faux indignation in a thread here.

    Short sighted idiots who can't or pretend they can't see the big picture as to what was going on in 2011.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    Actually the 12 billion figure is b****x now that I look into it more.

    12 billion was the upper estimate for public and private patients affected. 7 for private, 5 for public.

    A redress scheme was brought in costing just under 500 million for public patients.

    By the logic the cost of what's under debate now would have been 700 million.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,147 ✭✭✭10000maniacs


    You really think that when everybody saw there was money to be had by putting in a claim, the figure would still have been under a Billion?

    No. Every Tom, Dick and Harry with a tenuous link to a nursing home would have been in.

    As Roy Keane used to say, cloud cuckoo land.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    But anyone of that mindset could have put in a claim anyway!

    And anyone with a tenuous link to a public nursing home could make a claim. The cost still came in at 10% of that upper estimate.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    So for the public portion of this 12 billion figure that's been bandied about quite happily by FFG.

    The upper estimate for this part was 5 billion.

    A settlement scheme was introduced in 2016.

    Cost to date is 453 million. 35,000 applicants, 20,000 deemed eligible.

    A further 1.7 million expected to be paid out this year.

    It looks though that some of those deemed ineligible were actually eligible.

    The government were also aware of this and still tried not to pay out, successfully managing it seems in some cases.

    This is for patients in public nursing homes who had their pensions taken away.

    This part of the rip off occurred since 2016.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/nursing-homes-simon-harris-5985463-Feb2023/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,990 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    The optics on this are terrible. The perception that citizens live in a fair country where they will be cared for is shattered. Especially for the vulnerable.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,975 ✭✭✭jmcc


    FF and FG now face losing a lot of their older voters and even some younger voters who have seen their parents and grandparents ripped off by FFG/Lab governments over this matter. It has become a multi-generational vote loss issue for these parties. If there are Motions of No Confidence over this, every FF/FG/Green (and Labour) TD that votes for the government will risk losing their seat at the next GE. FF and FG might be lucky if they both return about 20 seats each. The Greens might return 2 seats. Labour has pre-existing problems. For many FF and FG TDs, the choice will be between having a future as a TD after the next GE or supporting the government in an MoNC. It is going to be a rough time for FFG/Lab supporters watching their party's support drop as people get angrier about this issue.

    Regards...jmcc

    Regards…jmcc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,677 ✭✭✭Floppybits


    The optics are terrible and how some people can defend I just don't know. This is not a fair country unless you are Well off or connected with these parties, I am thinking that is why they are defended to the hilt by some because if both are removed from power at the same time then those who back them are going to lose out. This week we have had the government colluding to block repayment of illegal nursing home charges for vulnerable people and on top of that we have Eamonn Ryan thinking it was for our own good for us to supplement big business energy bills and people said of Donohues election expenses, its only a €1000, but it is the access that this €1000 euros buys and we are seeing that in spades this week, where they screw over anyone who is not well off or connected.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,990 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    I don't know how people can accept the mediocre so readily. Imagine how good our public services would be with better management and a reformed political system. The money we get from MNCs will not last forever.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,990 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Completely agree. They have pissed off every cohort in Ireland at this stage. The handling of nursing homes during Covid also needs a thorough review.

    I can see FFG getting less than 45 seats in the next election. Less than 40 is a high probability. The key factor will be Transfer votes. FG in particular is too toxic for transfers. Even from FF voters. They will be scrambling for the last seats. It will be fascinating and more to play out for sure.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 28,132 ✭✭✭✭Larbre34


    Combined? 🤣🤣🤡

    The current polls put them on 75-80 between them! Do you even know how the PRSTV system translates into seats in Dáil Éireann?

    40 seats, oh dear, that gave me a giggle.



  • Posts: 15,801 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Here's the link

    and the relevant paragraph

    In February 2005, the court ruled those parts of the Bill seeking to have the State avoid paying compensation to medical card holders over being required to pay nursing home charges over some 40 years without lawful authority for such charges was a constitutionally impermissible attack on property rights.




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    This is complete fantasy.

    Dail will be heading for 175 seats. Less than 40 seats would put the three parties together on less than 20% given the way the seat bonus works for parties with more than 5%.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    Apologies you are correct, that redress scheme was introduced in 2006. But yes only after the supreme court challenge.

    I believe it stands up that the 12 billion figure related to incorrect charges to public and private patients.

    7 billion for private and 5 billion for public. And again that was the upper estimate.

    https://www.thejournal.ie/nursing-home-charges-controversy-5983345-Jan2023/



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Will be forgotten about come election time. This is only the latest in a long list of "crises" that you have predicted will end the government.

    It is quite hilarious at this stage.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo


    There was, and there remains some legal uncertainty over what obligation the state had to wealthier patients with medical cards.

    FFG are trying to spin it that this uncertainty applied to all these cases. Knowing full well it didn't.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    Micheal Martin is taking the exact same line as me in the Dail this afternoon.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,266 ✭✭✭MegamanBoo




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,975 ✭✭✭jmcc


    And you don't understand that these are opinion polls about First Preference choices and that most TDs depend on transfers (lower preference votes) to get elected. Varadker was only elected on the fifth count. Hardly the performance of a popular politician.

    Regards...jmcc

    Regards…jmcc



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    I can't believe this.

    You really don't have a clue how the system works.

    If Emer Currie hadn't run as the second candidate, Varadkar would have been elected on the first count.

    Most TDs don't depend on transfers to get elected. Look at that Dublin West example again. The first four TDs in terms of first preferences were the four TDs elected. It is much harder to come from behind and get enough transfers to pass someone out. When it happens, it usually is because of poor splitting of the vote between candidates of the same party.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,975 ✭✭✭jmcc


    Haven't seen you refer to any seat "predictions". Opinion polls, by definition, are snapshots of opinion at a particular time. They are not predictions. The typically ask about a voter's first preference choice if a GE was held the following day. It is quite a simple concept.

    Regards...jmcc

    Regards…jmcc



  • Administrators, Social & Fun Moderators, Sports Moderators, Paid Member Posts: 78,543 Admin ✭✭✭✭✭Beasty


    Apologies, but I meant to post this after posts were deleted earlier

    The Site Copyright policy permits no more than one paragraph to be quoted and a link must be provided



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 33,195 ✭✭✭✭blanch152


    This is an excellent website for looking at predictions of seats.

    Government parties are on 74, Sinn Fein on 62, based on current polls. Adding in Labour and Social Democrats gives them a workable majority.

    On the other hand, Sinn Fein would need Labour, Greens, Social Democrats, PBP/Solidarity and half of the independents to get a workable majority.

    Even at this lowpoint for the government, the numbers do not add up for Sinn Fein.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,727 ✭✭✭skimpydoo


    There is no way Labour will vote with the government in any no confidence votes, they will be trying to keep and also gain more votes..

    And this makes it right?

    As I have said before current polling not future polling. If a new poll comes out over the next 2 weeks, the polling results will be much different.

    Current polls are no longer valid after what has been released over the past week. Future polls will rightly show that FFG will be lucky to get 40 seats.

    How do you come to this conclusion Einstein? This has effected a lot of their core voters and their families. Let's remember what you have written after the next election as you will be eating lots of pie, humble pie.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,737 ✭✭✭✭bucketybuck


    I haven't been keeping up to date on this story, but which spin did the government decide to put on this?

    • It didn't happen/we didn't know about it
    • It did happen but it was the right thing to do because we were saving money
    • It was Sein Feins fault

    There may have been other options but I suspect I'm safe enough to assume they ignored any of the honourable options.



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