Elon Muskovite showing his Russian leaning tendencies again?
Defenses and trenches aren't much use when you can't supply your forces across a river. I don't doubt Ukraine's ultimate success, but it is fundamentally different.
The Russians left Kherson without a real fight... Those predictions were made assuming Russia would actually defend the place.
Define real please? Those dead RuSSians might disagree.
If true then Russian air attacks are getting to the point of complete ineffective , at least on Kyiv itself
I suppose a Bakhmut type fight would be what Weisses had in mind. Kherson wasn't an easy win, but it was obvious even to the laymen on here that by restricting the Russians limited supply lines across the river and being patient, that even the Russians would eventually see the futility of their position. For 2 whole months before they withdrew, they could only supply via pontoon bridge across the Dnipro. Which limited the quantity and type of supplies they could being across. Kherson was a logistical victory, brought about faster by the Ukrainian advances along the Dnipro right bank back in September.
It won't be possible to cut off Melitopol's supply routes to the same extent. At the moment Melitopol could even be supplied via Crimea since the Kerch bridge is operational again for road traffic. Whether Russia has the arms to resupply their troops is another question. Ukraine could in the coming months try to push south along the left bank of the Dnipro through Kamiansk and Vasylivka. Use the river to protect their flank again. With the added potential of attacking across the river this time so that the Russians have 2 flanks to defend or are at least distracted. But this time, there won't be any element of surprise and the Russians have had all year to prepare at what is an excellent natural defensive position. https://goo.gl/maps/TsLsdx9jkNzgBwej6
A Russian style frontal assault with massive loss of personnel isn't something Ukraine has done up to now and I don't expect them to do it either. They probe and seize an opportunity (relatively) quickly if it presents itself. They will defend staunchly but won't throw away lives in frontal waves. But in the same way that most thought they needed to take Kherson before winter, I think they need to take advantage of low Russian morale during the winter months to retake some further ground.
Those Russians really are an embarrassment to the international terrorism brotherhood.
Russian missile attack on the very center of Kherson
This winter will be cold, next winter excruciating
sure, sure...
Yes it is, but even so plenty of Russians are believing it. I spoke to a Russian friend last night,,,,all the wests fault. EU are only slaves to America.Etc. Russia has not even started serious fighting yet, but are now preparing for one big push, and they will wipe out Ukraine defence's in a week or two. And so on and so on.
I agree. Which is why it seems inevitable that all Democratic nations must provide as much military aid to Ukraine next year as they possibly can
How much can we collectively manufacture in the next few years?
I believe the Ukrainians are using between 2 and 4000 shells per day.
From here it looks like the US plans to scale up from 14000 a month currently to 20k/mo next year, and 40k by 2025
20k a month is a start, but it will take a lot more production elsewhere also to keep Ukrainian artillery supplied
This guy is usually not far off the money, he reckons Ukraine are gathering stocks for another major offensive.
The Ukrainians are not resting on their laurels winter or not...
Ironic that the Russians would be fans of a bi-plane.
Would have thought they'd be against that type of thing!
Ukraine are at the point of ramping up their own production of artillery shells.
Production of 152 and 122 mm caliber shells established in Ukraine Secretary of National Security Council of Ukraine (yahoo.com)
Fighting has now apparently reached the outskirts of Bakhmut.
Fighting reached the outskirts of Bakhmut 2 months ago.
Yeah there will need to be a lot more. The EU countries will have to ramp up production
More orcs vanquished by HiMars
Theyre a pretty unlucky bunch, they were also fully destroyed in May of this year:
And again in September:
Check the pin, it's never been this close before.
I'm a bit confused. The 58th army should have at least 20,000 soldiers ?
But there's no way a HIMARS strike killed that many soldiers? What have I misunderstood? Was only part of the 58th deployed? Something lost in translation?
The command part.
Video is in the comments below that tweet which I won't post. Apparently, it was the Georgian Legion that conducted the ambush.
Sorry Francie, it seems like wishful thinking. Maybe not on your part, but if not, then from wherever you're getting your information. 1000m to the east of that location is at the end of the yellow line.
That in turn is only 1000m from the acknowledged Russian-held territory, so it would make complete sense that that's the contested ground where their cannon fodder encounter the Ukrainian grinder on their daily.
Below were the positions on the 20th of October by the way. Do you still think the Russians are progressing well?
Bakhmut reminds me of the early stages of the battle of Kursk. I think the UA is draining the capacity of the more elite/ better equipped parts of the Russian Army. As it is depleted of functioning resources it will become more and more vulnerable to a counter-offensive.
Hearing informed US military sources saying that the embargo on long range attacks on Russia are no longer in place may indicate that the Himar's rocket systems may be reconfigured for longer range attacks.
More and more I think we will see a major offensive early in the NY when the ground hardens
Slaughtered .
But remember kids the important thing is.
I believe the original source was actually Russian and we all know people have a habit of actually believing Russian sources , remember it was claimed by some Ukraine were retreating from Kherson due to huge losses according to russian sources on social media and parroted elsewhere including here
Because the cold only affects one side, apparently 🙄
Anyway, moving on, a good analysis of the winter situation by William Spaniel
One side is better equipped for it than the other.
So yes the cold will effect one more than the other
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