You say firing a nuclear weapon at Russia is WW 3…..surely the same applies to Russia firing one into Ukraine……?
I don't know, I swarm of drones hitting the Kremlin sounds like a very "elegant" message to Putin.
Completely correct analysis sir\madam.
Notwithstanding the temptation, I doubt they will target Russian civilians as of now. Too much to lose in way of support from ‘the west’. Have to stay above that sort of terrorism.
I can guarantee that, even if they had the capability, the Ukrainians are way too smart (as are the Americans) to even think about aiming a missile at Moscow.
Any thoughts to the contrary are pure fantasy.
I'd assume they will have already been producing them. Moscow might be about to get some overdue payback.
..or they have been supplied with longer range munitions by a partner and have created a narrative to mask them with a home produced weapon.
Anyway interesting evenings for Moscow soon I reckon.
...
I'm surprised they announced this as I can see various Ukroboronprom facilities becoming Russian targets, I imagine these would be produced in the Artyleriyske Ozbroyennia Design Bureaua in Kyiv?
The big question of course is how quickly can they be produced and how successful they will be, if 1000km is true it makes Moscow an easy target (if not shot down beforehand).
They only had about 140 to start with and they have lost a fair few over Ukraine
This could be interesting if they get them to the Ukrainian military.
New Ukrainian drone 1000km range carrying a 75kg explosive warhead
Another SU-34? Between war losses and crashes, the fleet numbers for that type must be dropping noticeably at this point.
Another $36m gone up in flames...
On the Twitter link in my post you can see a flash before it crashes. There is another angle too, I think. I’ll try find it
Yes, clearly something causes the pilots to eject, but the Russian MoD claims that the engines were on fire doesn't seem to stand up.
About 16 second you see a flash,it's possible it was hit by something,
It certainly didn't look out of control or on fire
Begorod is taking so much damage of late the decision has been made to colour it in pink on https://liveuamap.com/
Surveillance camera footage doesn't appear to show any sign of the aircraft being on fire before it hit the block of apartments
Interesting tweet on why what's happening in Belarus is just more military bullshit from Putler.
Crimea River
You see the pilot eject in this one.
Entire apartment block on fire.
@Strazdas
They weren't meant to let the mobilised lads fly the planes
Incredible. You can clearly see the parachute in the picture. Dunno if it's perspective or what but he's so close to that explosion - wonder if he survived
#BREAKING #Belarus says it preserves the right to take "preventive measures" against threats on the country, amid Russian troops deployment on its border with #Ukraine
*Narrator: “No one is actually threatening Belarus.”
Russian Ministry of Defense confirms loss of Su-34 in Yeysk. 2 pilots survived, one of them reported that “engine caught fire”. “At the site of Su-34 crash fuel caught fire in residential yard”
Military aircraft crashed In a residential area of Russia
France has a nuclear deterrence for France or for NATO. Not for external countries.
So if, for example Putin fires a small tactical battlefield nuke at some fields in Ukraine, no countries are going to press any nuclear buttons to launch nuclear weapons at Russia.
That obviously doesn't mean nothing will happen, there are other options. Also intl. powers like China/India/etc could react very sharply to such an escalation by Russia (interestingly China has a nuclear pact with Ukraine, meaning that if Ukraine is attacked it must intervene, although in reality that would be very unlikely to happen)
FYI Nuclear missiles firing at Russia is WW3, end of the world stuff and we're all pretty much dead.
The attacks on Irish fans in Moscow were widely reported at the time - fans said it was the worst and most dangerous place they had ever visited in decades of away games. Lots of Russian neo-Nazi skinhead types on the rampage.
Another possibility, Russia don't like Lucky Lukashenko anymore and do not care what happens to him. Also, if a civil war started up in Belarus it would be a welcome distraction for Putin as the media would be all agog and stop reporting on dead Russian soldiers and of course the Ukrainian counter advances. Russian politico rule no1. Distraction is essential when you don't like what the papers say.
That's what I meant. the Rafale/ASMP combination doesn't really have much value as either a counterforce (against military facilities, command centres, land-based ICBM silos, etc.) or a countervalue (against industrial or population centres) option. It's by its nature vulnerable to air defense systems, slow (I don't think the Rafale is able of attaining supersonic speeds without afterburners) and limited, with roughly 40 aircraft between the two squadrons I mentioned. They're not much of a second strike weapon either since their air bases are prime targets for ICBMs during any preemptive strike. Granted, you could probably get a dozen or so of these aircraft onto the Charles de Gaulle, France's only aircraft carrier, since the Rafale was designed as a carrier aircraft from the outset, but while the ocean may be big, it's not Douglas Adams style big and a carrier battlegroup is still easier to locate than a submerged nuclear submarine.
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