The problem with doing that is that it also cuts off the water supply to Crimea https://goo.gl/maps/g3bZVvsZtsWepMe58
beautiful!
Emperor Palpatine would be going, "....Ooook. Would you like to dial that all down a notch?"
I know those guys say some crazy stuff but surely this cannot be an accurate translation? Some of the words seemed to be accurate but I mean....come on? He's basically one step short of throwing on a swastika armband there.
...
Reservoir attacked
The question is (and this is one for military analysts to pour over) - supposing Ukraine could push Russian forces out of the rest of Ukraine, how tough a fight would it be to take back Crimea? It that's going to be a tough slog, I think it's better off being a bargaining chip for Ukraine in one final attempt to negotiate, because their forces have taken losses as well and would probably like a breather to rest and regroup. If Crimea looks likely to fall with minimal resistance, then I don't see a problem with going in, except that it would likely force Putin to get even crazier, but that in itself asks the question if he has anything realistic to get even crazier with.
Going into that region must be a calculation made calmly and logically with good intelligence backing it up.
I think I read somewhere that there isn't that much Russian hardware in Crimea right now. They moved a lot through there but it's up in Kherson now. If the Ukrainians can sever the land-bridge from Donetsk and then incapacitate the Kerch bridges (railway and road) then it would be extremely difficult for the Russians to defend it.
If Putin (or any other Russian leader) loses Crimea he's done so, yes, if they think it's under threat they will likely rush men and hardware into it.
It would be quite symbolic if that was the final battle of this war, since that was the first place to be annexed back in 2014. Unlikely to be bloodless this time though.
Yes, he says that Ukraine entering Crimea would likely send Putin into meltdown, as that would be perceived as Russia itself being invaded. He thinks at that point things could get a bit crazy, with pressure on Putin to ramp up the war and perhaps introduce mobilisation.
This would also be the point where Putin was more at risk of a heave against him.
Russian aviation destroyed transport and critical infrastructure in Kryvyi Rih including hydro technical infrastructure with Kh-22 missiles
How effective would mobilisation be, I wonder? It's one thing having a million extra men go to the front, but they presumably need effective tools to fight with as well. In mobilising, Russia would also presumably have to pivot towards a full wartime economy with any available factory being repurposed to pump out all those weapons of war. But getting to that point would hardly be instant. If his military is getting to be as under-resourced as rumours are claiming, his military needs a lot of fresh weaponry yesterday.
Is ramping up the new nuclear threat?
I'm very unsure that Russia can mobilise or ramp up anything.
Their ships might as well be on tour in another ocean such is the shortage of long range weapons and genuine fear of Harpoon missile strikes.
Their aircraft keep getting damaged or shot down. They are travelling so high up in the sky in some cases, they might as well be cosmonauts
Their soldiers are running out of basic suppplies, field hospitals are a joke, and Russian units are fighting Chechen units. The commanders abandon their own, the vaunted Russian Military tech is a joke.
The only thing they seem to be able to do is random artillery strikes at civilian structures.
Don’t know what to believe, there was at least one spoof translation. I’m guessing that is as well.
As it stands I’m not trusting the translations.
It seems that now when they are losing the war their aim is to do as much damage to Ukraine as possible. Grotesque.
Yes. I just saw another video of him being very easy on Ukraine. Russian tv seems to be softening - preparing for a big change?
And when the run out of Guidance systems ? Cant see the chinese giving that to them.
Not very - they don't have an effective system, so anything with regards to mobilisation would take months, if not years. And who's going to train the new recruits, and do they have modern equipment for them?
I think they might just be upgrading the Special Military Operation to a Very Special Military Operation.
Professor Michael Clarke, excellent as always, providing an analysis of the Ukrainian counter-offensive.
I would thermite the load bearing steel arches.
Thanks. I'd be interested to see it.
@Brussels Sprout I think I read somewhere that there isn't that much Russian hardware in Crimea right now. They moved a lot through there but it's up in Kherson now. If the Ukrainians can sever the land-bridge from Donetsk and then incapacitate the Kerch bridges (railway and road) then it would be extremely difficult for the Russians to defend it..
It's also very flat and open plain type of terrain for most part, which is very hard to defend and hold ,if your enemy has the ability to accurately strike your positions 24/7 ,
And there's not a lot of hiding places for munitions either
Reports say UA are only 6 miles from Kherson airport
The Ukranians have over 4,000 dead so far in the Kherson attacks and apart from some territory gains around the edges the Russians have stood firm. General Mud and General Winter will probably see this fizzle out over the Winter to trading shells. Here is the description from a local Russian commander in Kherson. Another source is Andrei Matyuanov who spent 30 years in the Russian military so he understands the mindset and thinking better than any western analyst, he writes at this blog and has a youtube channel. An American analyst Scott Ritter provides his views on the recent events and how things could pan out.
The Russians preparing defence in a much smaller area bit is probably true.
@Pa ElGrande The Ukranians have over 4,000 dead so far in the Kherson attacks and apart from some territory gains around the edges the Russians have stood firm. General Mud and General Winter will probably see this fizzle out over the Winter to trading shells.
Your talking out of your hole .
They haven't even pushed to take Kherson yet ,4000 dead according to who exactly,
Russia has lost hundreds of vehicles and thousands of men in their unorganized retreat to the russian border,
Chechens who idea of fighting is posing for their TikTok video.
@Pa ElGrande
Ukraine has no real answer to Russian air power.
Doesn't seem to have done too badly so far.
Anyway, if Russia have all this great air power, you'd think they'd have leveraged it a bit better, unless they're just holding back on it because they think that letting it rip just wouldn't be sporting to Ukraine.
They have mig 29s ,27s and su25 and su30s .
Pa is just **** stirring
Russian propaganda and an American convicted sex offender ..... Great sources
Are there any facts in this post?
He talks about the destruction of the 1st guards tank army, but I'm looking at the numbers and that does not sound right.
According to the newspaper Izvestia, the 1st Guards Tank Army will be composed of “not less than 500–600 tanks, 600–800 infantry fighting vehicles, 300–400 field artillery units and 35 thousand–50 thousand soldiers” (Izvestia, February 23). The press service of the Western Military District provided further details: “This unit will be armed with T-72B3 and T-80 main battle tanks, BMP-2 infantry fighting vehicles, and over 130 items of military equipment of other types and modifications” (Mil.ru, February 1)
source
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