It could also end up with Putin uses his nuclear weapons
Something needs to done with Hungary
Remember the Ukrainans had little or no airforce at the start of this ,yet they are carrying carrying out CAS (close Air support) missions during the counter offensive, while the Russians are struggling to get into ukraine,8 years ago this was flipped ukraine lost a good few aircraft after the Russians brought buks and manpads into east Ukraine, pretty much grounding the Ukrainians are they were afraid of losing very valuable aircraft,
Both sides are lobbing unguided rockets in volleys from helicopters at each other,not the most effective use of rockets and helicopters but seems to be working to a degree,
@Bass Reeves The Russian were depending on artillery to win this war. They have used up much in the attack. The Ukranian's with precision NATO munitions have nullified what is left.
It's seems the russians have always believed this was the way to win wars , large artillery bombardments and airstrikes until there is nothing left to defend then send in armor and infantry,
But it's the the 1950s anymore if you can't control and dominate the skies your artillery and vehicles and logistics cans be observed from drones or other aircraft and then targeted by counter strikes and and armor and infantry movements .
We were talking about how many tanks the Russians have, even if you have 10,000 available to move into ukraine tomorrow the Ukrainans have over 100,000 anti tank missles and launchers,the same applies to artillery systems they need maintenance and a near constant supplies of shells and crews to keep them firing, the Ukrainans are degrading their ability to feed those guns ,they must have lost thousands of tons of shells from HiMars and other strikes, along with other vital supplies,
150,000 russian troops went into ukraine we've seen figures of ,50,000 killed and god knows how many injured or incapacitated alone with 1200 + tanks lost along with a similar number of IFVs and personal carriers , along with a sizeable portion of their entire airforce and helicopters.
It's has to be the biggest military failure in the last 60+years
As the war progresses , surely Ukraine will have to consider occupying actual Russian territory. It's a huge disadvantage that the enemy knows you are constrained to Ukrainian territory, in the end a negotiation could come down to a land swap, "you get yours back , we get ours back"
As I said 8-10 weeks back the offensive by Ukraine would be slow at first but the Russian collapse would be rapid when it happened. The Ukranian army are creating a salient into the Russian held area. This would normally be a high risk strategy but because of poor moral and training the Russian army is unable to defend where the attack is taking place.
As an American military commentator stated a while back the abandoned Russian positions are a signature of poor training and moral. Materials strewn all over the place.
The Russian were depending on artillery to win this war. They have used up much in the attack. The Ukranian's with precision NATO munitions have nullified what is left.
If they can defend and pin down one side of the salient they can encircle the other and overrun the army there. They may even use an armoured attract to take this area around Kherson.
That might be the get-out that Vlad needs. Withdraw his trained forces. Put them in northern Georgia for a "Special Operation". And when Donetsk falls, he can blame the leaders of the newly formed Donetsk Peoples Republic.
This does appear to be a very carefully crafted plan where the Russians appear to be completely caught off guard and cannot work out where the next strikes will come from.
They are completely unbalanced and internal disputes and mistrust between Russian forces has totally played a role.
The Kremlin will need to urgently reinforce all major choke points or risk total collapse across multiple front lines. I wonder if they have the balls for mass mobilisation or if the luxury enjoying people of Moscow would enjoy accept it.
Im hoping the Georgians decide to get some payback and take back South Ossetia once and for all ,
Methinks the Ukrainians are now forcing the Russians to play whack-a-mole and have stretched them so thin that they can no longer respond adequately.
All this, plus the heavy gear is still being rolled in by the West. The schoolyard bully is down and many former victims will be gleefully putting the boot in.
Perhaps a freefall is possible, surely the Russian state can't afford to lose ALL it's equipment currently in Ukraine and none can be saved unless rolled out.
Other regions may now cast off their chains and chant "nuke us or fcuk off".
People believing stuff they read on Russian Telegram channels 🤣
That's the 2nd reported foothold they've gained on the other (North) side of the Siverski Donets in the past few days. Ozerne is about 5km to the east.
Hopefully we'll hear about Dibrova soon and they'll be able to establish a viable bridgehead.
Russian Telegram reporting this town as being taken by Ukraine. They are particularly furious because after being taken, a volunteer LPR unit was sent into recapture it. The entire unit was destroyed, except for the camera man. Russian Twitter accounts are in a meltdown.
I have huge respect for these fighters.
Seem a lot of dead orcs wearing basical uniforms and trainers,can't imagine trying to stay warm when your kit doesn't involve multiple layer systems and insulation
A village called Staryi Karavan, this time near Sloviansk looks to have fallen to Ukraine this evening.
The same Wagner that got anilated in syria.
Paid better than conscripts doesn't make them super soldiers .
Three of the four lines providing power from Ukraine's grid have been put out of action during the fighting and on Saturday the UN watchdog said the last line had also been disconnected, leaving just one lower-power reserve line from a nearby thermal plant.
Ukrainian officials said on Monday that the last working reactor was disconnected from the grid after the last main power line went down.
-not if but when the nuclear reactor loses power a calamity awaits
Balaklyia being reported as being encircled by Ukraine. Under attack from many foreign mercenaries, many of whom are speaking English.
I doubt Wagner units were in these towns. They are expensive and experienced mercenaries, very unlikely you have them defending a sleepy part of the front (or at least sleepy until now). Looks like the Russians (and everyone else) has been caught off guard.
The only guy who has come out and said that is a bog standard MP. Is he doing some sort of a solo run?
Russia have about a month to do something. Those nights are starting to get cold. Luhansk tonight is 5 degrees, Donetsk 6 degrees, Kherson 7 degrees. That's cold when you are sitting in a damp trench all night. They are sending out local conscripts, in random gear, no fires to keep warm. Imagine what it will be like in a month's time when they don't have cold weather gear?
Seemingly Zelenskyy is going to make a statement tonight about the offensive at Kharkiv.
Scroll down to the grey box Ukraine LIVE: Liberation of key checkpoint shows Putin's forces are being pushed back | World | News | Express.co.uk
Which means the Wagners got their ass blasted.
The Kharkiv direction became more active much earlier than today. Preparations for the offensive were carried out for at least a month. Now we see what we wrote about earlier - a counteroffensive has begun.
In addition to what many channels have already circulated about Balakliya, I would like to say about the intensification of missile strikes. Over the past week, dozens of missiles have received: Izyum, Kupyansk, Shevchenkovo and other places. Just yesterday, more than 30 Hymers rockets flew over Izyum, I will not write about the results.
I also want to turn to various channels - do not rush to give unverified information about Shestakovo, Peremoga, Bayrak, for now you are drawing too optimistic pictures.
We wish good luck and strength to our warriors. Victory is forged by the enterprising and resolute, there is hope for them.
From the Russian Wagner Telegram channel.
I believe it's more of a case the German government didn't respond to the request from the company who makes them
To close the thread, this Russian commandant has died.
Yes, that tweet was ridiculously oversensitive. The fact that many Eastern European countries are ex Soviet states is precisely why they are so anti Russian and supportive of Ukraine. It's not belittling their identity at all, it's giving historical context to their current stance. Just another idiot on social media getting offended over nothing
The Germans were slow to start but they've improved a lot, the Ukrainians themselves have said so several times now and I don't see Germany turning back at this stage.
Also, while people on this thread often see weapons as the only measure of help, it's worth noting that Germany has given a lot of humanitarian aid, taken in a lot of refugees, and all aid combined as percentage of GDP is still above what Ireland has given.
They have consistently faired better when they have stretched the Russians, who seem to only prosper in a concentrated artillery battle. So would be great if this is true basically
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