All pro Russian, either overtly or subtle (see Francies post above) posts won’t get support. I know you know this, but let’s keep playing the game.
This is great news. It’s as good as sinking 2 Moskavas at least.
Cheerful
It's difficult to have balance when one side is cynically undermining truth at every turn to the point that nothing that they say can be believed.
That is why any pro-Russian content is questioned or even scorned.
It's a real shame because it makes it almost impossible to determine when the Russians actually do make gains.
That’s same river Russians so spectacularly failed to cross
Looks like it,ill give it to the russians they never give up as long as they have enough canonfodder
My "expert" assessment of the current situation in Kherson.
As far as I can tell, the main bulk of fighting is currently taking place in the middle of the Kherson front around Adriivka. Both Russian and Ukrainian sources seem to corroborate that most of the fighting is taking place here. See here on Google maps -> https://www.google.com/maps/place/Andriivka,+Kherson+Oblast,+Ukraine,+74101/@47.1886616,33.1061036,12z/data=!4m13!1m7!3m6!1s0x40c43b99507c7e79:0x4417619e00fb2540!2sBlahodatne,+Kherson+Oblast,+Ukraine,+75011!3b1!8m2!3d46.7885099!4d32.342677!3m4!1s0x40c48d3ad01bf54b:0x8b1eb03e08e75d5a!8m2!3d47.1787748!4d33.0472183
I think the immediate aim of the current offensive is to take the town on Bruskynske (where the blue arrow is pointing in the map above). This town occupies a key point on one of the main roads that's used to supply Russian troops (red line signify Russian positions) further north. If they secure that town, a lot of the Russian held territory further north (such as Davydiv Brid, also in the photo) will be partially cut off from supply. They won't be completely cut off, but they will be under pressure.
If Bruskynske is taken, and with Russian lines of communication already being disrupted in the rear, Russia will be forced to supply quite a large amount of troops over a large area via a single poor road (see the black oval in the map above). I think the ultimate goal of this offensive will be to cut that second road off. If they can do that, a large swathe of the settlements in the red circle will be totally cut off from supply. They will either be forced to pull back or be surrounded.
One step and one village at a time
I believe Germany's gas storage system is in much better shape than they had previously realised and they think they should be able to get through this winter without any difficulty.
I’d like to think we’ll see a far more supportive Germany once they are independent of Russian gas.
They’ll suddenly ramp up weapon supply to Ukraine, and say something like, ‘it was in Ukraine’s interest for German industry not to collapse.’
Russia is there for the taking now, Ukraine needs more weapons to clear their land of every invader while Russia is in such a weak position.
Also Zelensky has every right to target Putin, he's a legit target, and I hope it's an ongoing operation, that it just hasn't happened yet, he needs killing.
I suspect the Ukrainian's have weirdly wonderful weapons nobody even knows about. They were on the back foot for a long time but something has dramatically changed in the last week or so.
Looks like Ukraine is offering electricity in return to Germany,so i guess maybe Germany will give some more support now
How dependant is that on them getting their nuclear power plant back ?
I suppose most of their industry and commercial sector is off line ,so that's not using power ..
The bottom of that article shows that Enerhoda accounts for 6 of the 15 reactors in Ukraine. The other 9 are further West in Ukraine, well away from the front line. Enerhodar itself is only 50km from the front line, or 5km as the crow Common Buzzard flies across the river.
I doubt they will use the ones Russia is playing russian roulette with
I wonder are these lads still laughing...
They can offer all the electricity they want, there's no way to get it out. Currently limited to 300MW export due to transient instability on the grid and oscillations with generators on the Iberian peninsula. Not likely to be solved this winter.
What is putting Putin off permanently stopping the sale of gas to Europe instead of indefinitely suspending supply under the 'maintenance' pretext?
It's a two way transaction. Europe needs the gas but Russia also needs the money.
Not in Russia's interests to make things too difficult.
we will see,they have solved bigger issues before,i am sure they will find a fast solution again
That was a project in planning for the last 8 years, regardless of the spin. Its one thing to connect the grids (synchronisation was the biggest issue due to the difference in phase angles) but power system dynamics issues aren't easily resolved.
Cool
Ukraine power grid is to be connected to the polish power grid by end of the year.
Germany is already connected to the polish power grid, Germany could be able to get the electrical power by start of next year.
Hopefully no-one wanting to buy it any more.
As predicted no one will freeze, Russian economy will continue to be strangled
governments are doing what governments meant to do and step in as they done with covid
If he cuts it off and says the reason why is Europe supporting Ukraine then there's no going back. If they really need the gas revenue down the road, there's no going back without loosing face. Something I doubt he could do as he would appear weak etc...
If however they make up some silly maintenance excuse and down the road they need the gas revenue, he can just say the maintenance issue has been fixed.
And at his latest rally he is out telling everyone what smart guys Putin and Kim are.
Fair play to Trump for calling it correctly when it came to europes reliance on gas from Russia, but as they say even a stopped clock is correct twice a day.
Still at it
It still doesn't fix the stability issues. Best case, they can increase the export from 300MW to closer to 1GW. It still won't unlock the 15-20GW that Ukraine aren't using at present.
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