Yes, if anyone can be bothered investing 10 minutes to get informed rather than relying on twitter, the Economist podcast "Ukraine's bid for Kherson" explains how complex the situation is, possible aims and things Ukraine may NOT seek to achieve, and how whatever the outcome is, success or failure, it will be slow and brutal:
https://www.economist.com/podcasts/2022/09/01/theyve-been-emphasising-that-this-is-going-to-take-a-long-time-ukraines-bid-for-kherson
IAEA inspectors asking for an explanation as to why it looks like artillery shells have come from Russia controlled areas .
The shells spin 180 degrees before landing to make it look like it came from Russians occupied areas.
Holy Kool aid batman
Actually now we do know for certain, because they've said no chance, which is what everyone here apart from you predicted:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/sep/02/germany-rejects-polands-claim-it-owes-13tn-in-war-reparations
You can get calls for blood donations in Ireland... does that mean I should expect Russian troops on our streets any time soon?
Besides, had you EVER an increasing sense that that things were going well for Ukraine?
What would one expect a Putinbot to say? Hmmm...
"Oh, and before anyone accuses me of being a Putin Bot (I'm not, I am for Ukraine)."
Think it could be similar to what happened in Luhansk and Severodonetsk but with the Ukrainians attacking. Slow grinding progress but progress nonetheless.
Seems like a good judgement of Ukraines plans
they are certainly not in a hurry to take on the russians,if they continue to isolate the russian forces by destroying bridges,pontoon bridges,barges and ferries crossing,and continue to take out supplylines,ammo depots and command centres,the russians will break eventually without to many shots fired.
The last few days offensive was done because the russians lines was weak in a few places,and i think they have plugged the gaps by now.
I am getting an increasing sense that things have not gone well.
There are reports from Ukrainian sources that today has been declared a day of mourning for the Transcarpathia region of Ukraine, declared in honour for the local unit which sustained losses in this attack. Another Ukrainian Facebook post from a hospital published a note asking for blood donations, and it's clear from the WSJ article that the local hospitals are under a lot of pressure due to casualties.
Today is the first day I've seen the liveuamap move (which has generally been very accurate). The advances made have been very small, a few km's here and there, a few tiny settlements taken. Some will say there's a media blackout, but if things were going well, you'd have to think after day 5, Ukraine would want to put out some positive news on the attack.
Oh, and before anyone accuses me of being a Putin Bot (I'm not, I am for Ukraine).
Could be,its either what you said or a mass surrendering from the Russians
We will see,its still to early to make any conclusions
Decent take on what has probably actually been happening in the Kherson region for the last week. As he suggests, it could take many weeks in fact to establish how much the counter offensive has achieved (or not achieved).
I notice the anonymous Putin bots are out in force on social media this week (none ever seem to post under their real names....I guess they don't want their friends, colleagues and neighbours knowing they have a Putin supporting fanatic in their midst).
Not all reports/accounts are created equal.
Exactly. I'm just pointing out how many numbskulls post "reports" from Twitter as some sort of gauge of events.
Given that the counter offensive is expected to last for many weeks, it would be some bizarre turn of events for it to 'fail' after 2-3 days.
If this data is correct (could still be misinformation designed to hoodwink the Russians) and they are trying to encircle them, a dream situation would be the Russians detecting this, panicking, trying to "Bug out" and then flee down to the Dnipro river crossings. If the Russian's discipline is bad enough, a big enough bug-out might trigger a mass flight of conscripts from Kherson to south of the river.
Yeah, it's a very large area - the Ukrainian attack might fail, or the Russians might run away, but none of that is going to be decided decisively in just a couple of days.
Looks like Ukraine made some gains in the last few days in their offensive,must be planning to encircle the russians in the north east
Russian Base destroys missile
🤣
So far the only thing I seen potentially approaching reality was NASA firms satellite pictures showing fires advancing towards Kherson day after day
tho it’s overcast now, not sure if that makes difference
oh and one tweet video from Russians that was geolocated to about half way between front and Kherson
Bs and bs
Nobody on the ground it's saying either
Lots of reports on Twitter this morning that the Ukrainian offensive has failed and they have taken massive loses and likewise the Russians are in full retreat and the city will fall by as early as tomorrow. Just shows the utter toilet that Twitter is when it comes to "reporting" facts.
You really have to be very thick indeed to believe anything you'd read on there.
They'd have been able to track all of his movements via his passport and payments card. Every time he stays somewhere for the night he'd have had to give his passport details.
As he said himself "they never miss an opportunity to shoot themselves in their own foot".
That's one of the reasons why Kherson is so strategically important. It controls the fresh water supply to Crimea.
That canal was constructed to supply drinking water to Crimea. Ukraine closed it after the 2014 invasion, and the Russians worked to reopen it when they took Kherson. Regaining control would certainly give them an edge.
He has (or had) an alternate channel "Daily Bald" where he'd put up quick updates and shorter videos of where he was at any given time. Based on his feed you could tell where he was in Siberia, that he was travelling by train (he always does), and that he was on his way to a port city on the Pacific coast. I'm thinking as soon as they realized he was back in the country they aimed to boot him out and used his own feed to find him.
Would be interesting to learn what it was about Bald that got them pissed. You'd think they would like what he was doing.
I was looking at a map around the Kherson region I see north of the city there's a canal that comes of the Dnipro river that runs right into Criema. It would be quite significant for the Ukrainians to retake this point
Thats journalist makes assumptions on 3 pictures from a video of Ukraines counteroffensive and says its a failure.
You would expect more casualties now in the attack role regardless,but its far from over yet.
Bald & Bankrupt's videos were great. You could tell that he just really had a passion for the country and especially its Soviet glory days. He has a great way about him as well - he really immersed himself with the locals. I'd love to hear more details of what actually happened to get him booted out. He's already been denied entry to Ukraine since the war kicked off since his passport was full of Russian stamps. It's odd that the Russians didn't just deny him entry in the same manner but instead ended up arresting and jailing him when he had been inside the country for some time.
Anyway if that was his last time in Russia then I'm glad he got to cover the Jewish Autonomous Oblast as part of it. That name always fascinated me.
😂
Regarding the Buran maybe Kazakhstan (or Ukraine) should demand them back, who made Russia the successor to USSR? UN Security Council seat too imho!
After all Kazakhstan was last to leave USSR after Russia
In a very sorry state alas. Really should be cleaned up and put in a museum.
Reading that there's apparently some kind of dispute regarding ownership of Buran that might be part of why it got like this. That, or the Russians are just so crap at maintaining stuff....or both.
One of the things he got blowback on was that he was putting out Russian propaganda, although it was mainly on his Instagram, I think, although I never look at Instagram so I could be wrong - it was just screenshots of Insta stories that I had seen. One thing I did see, though, was him posting a comment under one of Russell Brand's videos agreeing with Brand who was regurgitating a piece of Russian propaganda about bioweapons facilities in Ukraine. Brand, if anyone has not been following his 'journey', has gone from advocating for political change on a grassroots community level to full-blown conspiracy theorist who posts videos with the cheapest sh*tty clickbait titles you can get, i.e. "You won't believe THIS".
Anyway, Bald and Bankrupt does get a bit of criticism for being too pro-Russian at times and there are other accusations that paint him as a creep, but I have seen nothing that firmly alleges anything criminal. He may be a bit of a cocky dickhead in real life, perhaps, and I may not agree with him on some things, but his travel videos are undeniably excellent, so I can separate the art from the artist.
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