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Hi all, please see this major site announcement: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058427594/boards-ie-2026

A global recession is on the horizon - please read OP for mod warning

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  • Posts: 12,836 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]



    Interesting to see what plans they come up with, will be the making or breaking of a few governments you'd think



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,479 ✭✭✭landofthetree




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,895 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Probably a bi-monthly bill?

    But what's the going rate per kwh for commerical customers? Electric car charging can be as low as 6c per kwh, electric suppliers making a loss on that?

    Seems commerical customers rates/bills are going up alot faster than residential customers.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,760 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    i think commercial rates are generally higher, may stand corrected on that though



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,274 ✭✭✭EOQRTL


    "Europe must brace for five to 10 years of hardship", said Alexander de Croo, the prime minister of Belgium, one of Europe’s major importers of LNG.

    He must be a doom monger also



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,760 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    ...or a realist, its clearly obvious the european model of a heavy reliance on russian markets is starting to fail.....



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,479 ✭✭✭landofthetree


    No doubt the fuckpigs of Ireland will emigrate to Canada,Auz,NZ etc and not to the great EU.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 644 ✭✭✭Darth Putin


    friend with a shop said 40c last contact two weeks back

    commercial rates are higher

    its still a ridiculously large bill and I suspect we are not getting full story



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,388 ✭✭✭UsBus


    Well hopefully the well run restaurants with properly trained attentive staff offering a good service at decent value will make it through this.

    There's a fair amount of restaurants out there though that have been offering woeful service the last few years with eyewatering prices that I wouldn't miss if they go to be honest.

    The amount of coffee shops as well on every street you walk down, all charging nearly 10 euro for a latte and a cookie....this carry on can't continue and rightfully so.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,760 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    fcukpigs, what the fcuk is that?

    think i heard commercial rates are generally higher, in order to maintain lower residential rates



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,635 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Yeah but if they had less money to chase it then they could not pay more and would have to learn to do with less , we will see this at play this winter when energy becomes unaffordable by the many all over Europe you cannot chase prices continuously and the printing of the money during covid gives more bandwidth so yes it is because of energy and food prices and because we printed too much money to chase that price.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,760 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    again, this is not demand lead inflation, but supply side, money printing has not lead to this form of inflation, as its largely due to supply chain disruptions, and now energy market turmoil



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 511 ✭✭✭Psychedelic Hedgehog


    Markets spooked by the prospect of pan-EU government intervention on energy prices. If this was purely a supply issue you'd expect prices to remain on the up:

    image.png




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,635 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Well we will have to agree to disagree when you print more money it means more money going after a supply that has been hit hard with scarcity. There are 2 sides to the equation and its basic economics. By throwing more money at the problem its not going to sort the supply side issues but it sure as sh1t will push the prices up further



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,819 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    bill is 9k ex VAT over 73 days, reported doubling in cost. For a cafe with ovens, fryers, fridges and more appliances its not surprising to have large enough bills, 3/4k for the summer months maybe. A doubling in cost is insane though - and I doubt they did anything wrong.

    We'll see many more reports like this coming soon



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,760 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    yes, and this is how the world of neoclassical economics sees the world, i.e. black and white, oh yea, its the same school of thought that didnt realise it was doing everything in its ability in producing a massive credit bubble, pre 08!

    again, global supply chains are in turmoil since covid, baring in mind, parts of china are still engaging in major lockdowns, and now we have an energy crisis, i.e. again, this is supply side induced inflation, i.e. nothing to be doing with money supplies!

    one of the main solutions is in fact increasing the public money supply, i.e. the deficit, but in how its used, i.e. it could be used in paying, or part paying energy bills, possible preventing business closures thus preventing unemployment, but dont worry, this is highly unlikely to occur, so.......



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,895 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Very hard to get current business rates, but according to Bord Gas Energy:

    Business electricity unit prices may be cheaper than domestic ones because of the amount of energy used, but most business customers pay a higher rate of VAT

    And from SEAI:

    image.png image.png

    Guess the public being paying more for electricity all the time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,006 ✭✭✭Nermal


    The explanation isn't complex: Ireland isn't run by a kleptocracy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,760 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,635 ✭✭✭fliball123


    Sorry but that option is not as cheap as it once was and its going to be a lot more expensive, how much more debt do you want to hoist on our kids and grandkids ? The can that has been kicked down the road for the last 15 odd years has finally ran out of road, the ECB printing press is not going to be turned back on and in order to dampen inflation we will see interest rates rising a lot higher which will lead to a recession, what your asking for is to temporarily stop this dynamic and force more debt on the next generation. Cant see it happening as we dont control the printing press



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,760 ✭✭✭✭Wanderer78


    oh ffs, what planet do conservatives live on! you do realise, younger generations are already in deep sh1t by not making such investments, i.e. if we dont do this now, you can be damn sure theyre gonna be fcuked in the future, and the near future at that, i.e. the only way out of this is by widescale public borrowing at a European level. debt is how the whole world works, if nobody is taking on debt, everything stops, thats how the world works! the only ways of doing this debt/money creation is via the public or private sectors, via borrowing, and the private sector will only do this, when it suits, and right now, thats probably not gonna happen, i.e. thats where deficit borrowing comes in. its clearly obvious by now, that if we push more so towards private sector borrowing, methods such as qe etc, this money simply will not make it into the hands of average joe and mary....

    ...grand so, lets do it your way, lets raise rates, further increasing the cost of living, and probably force a whole pile of businesses to shut, therefore causing unemployment to rise, now that sounds like a great plan for your kids and grandkids!



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 644 ✭✭✭Darth Putin


    And yet we have posters in this very thread praising said kleptocracy and eagerly awaiting the “crash” which will turn Ireland into one

    btw you missed my main point in that post, saying energy is the main/only variable in what makes a successful economy is evidently not true



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,529 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    We have a record amount of debt per person in this country and your answer to that is just borrow some more?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 644 ✭✭✭Darth Putin


    Well the fastest solution to the energy problem here, would be to remove the retarded restrictions on gas exploration and exploitation in Ireland and the ban on nuclear power.

    Followed by reviewing carbon taxes until we are out of the self inflicted (by reliance on unreliable wind) hole dug by the greenies

    But there is nothing wrong with borrowing at zero percent to build infrastructure such as nuclear plants, especially if said infrastructure isolates us from energy markets and stops billions leaving country for hydrocarbons

    Once again the last few 10 year bonds from few days ago at zero, and 2050 one are 1.2% which is far far below inflation and our growth rate, we are literally being offered money by investors fleeing shitholes like Russia knowing full well they will receive less over time.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 176 ✭✭Eclectic Econometrics


    I will give Revolution 1917 his due here, it is going to be interesting to see how much support there is for continued military support around February when the public is being told current economic conditions may continue for 5 or 10 years, if that is what comes to pass.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,529 ✭✭✭✭tom1ie


    Yeah ok I get ya.

    Once the public spending is done on non inflated and properly designed public infrastructure projects that makes sense.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,635 ✭✭✭fliball123



    We have already borrowed 240 Billion after the last recession, at interest rates which were at an all time low. This is no longer an option, we really need to look at what we are spending our cash on in this country and deal with it that way there is way too much waste, case in point we could throw another 5 billion at our health system and it will still not solve it or make it any more efficient which points to a fundamental problem with how our services are delivered. At some point we as a nation have to say stop. If our interest rates go up to 5% which given the current Euro vs Dollar rates and the way inflation has been going and looking at other countries thorughout the globe its not beyond the realms of reality that it could go up to that rate, so our current borrowing alone (without more being borrowed which is what your looking for) will cost at some point after rollovers about 12Billion just to service, that is 12 billion out of our day to day spend and even with all of the borrowings we are still seeing p1ss poor services, the expression throwing good money after bad comes to mind. There should be a thorough examination of our spend and anything that is excess or not needed should be cut and use that money to fund areas in need. We pay more than enough in tax and we are already the third most indebted nation per capita in the world and no:1 in Europe. If anything your premise of debt creation and continued borrowing and the notion of this is how the whole world works has been proven to be wrong both in the short term over the last 2/3 years borrowings during covid was 30Billion its not an insignificant amount and yet inflation has kicked our a$$es due to too much money chasing inflation and diminished supply, then over the longer term the last 15 years we have seen our borrowings of 240Billion yet we will still see a recession in the next 12 months and borrowing on the never never just does not work when interest rates are on the up. So your solution is to borrow more? No thanks



  • Posts: 7,713 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    All the hard talk we've heard all year is going to look quite stupid and childish..



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,986 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Yep business is business and war is war. Mixing the two can get messy.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,986 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    How long are we talking to build a nuclear plant here? 5 years? 10?

    Just for planning alone !

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



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