Purely from a reporter point of view, and the fact that everybody knows everyone in this part of Ireland, it's hard to imagine that Bailey didn't notice her.
However if he did kill her, he'd have done quite a bit of sports exercise that night. Not driving, hiking to her place, after a night out in the pub and more then a few drinks, killing her and hiking back, all beyond the notice of his partner....
That's probably what they will be doing.
However, I think this will either clear Bailey or convict him, - all the others have already died.
Not true.
Even when Jules Thomas had been turned against Bailey while she was in detention on 10 February 1997 she did not retract from her previous explanation as to him being scratched as a result of cutting the tree.
See Section 10 from the DPP report for the different evidence about the scratches.
Plus if he was scratched at the scene, where is the evidence? See Section 1.
the scraps to his hands and mark on his forehead that Jules said( i think) wasnt there the night before.
Lets say you add up the percentages on bailey
Not strictly scientific of course
Gardai think bailey did it - 30%
TV shows show bailey to be highly sus- 25%
Everything else known about bailey -25%
That's like 80%
I reckon there's a lot of hyperbole theories about hitmen and randommers and French lovers flying in ? Wtf like?
This was someone local who had an interest and called on the nite with alcohol taken
My gut from watching the docus is that that person was bailey, he was hiding things in the shows
Did he deny ever meeting her
yes he denied meeting her. said he saw her at a distance once
and there was physical evidence that in isolation doesnt prove anything
what are you referring to?. I agree he is the most likely candidate...
My 2c is he did it (I know)
He's be the type that would have spotted her and taken an interest
Omg 😳😳
Yes i agree 100%.
Bailey was probably the most violent known person in the general vicinity that knew the way to the house ,that does not make him guilty but does make him a person of interest.Now if nothing else of interest has materialised about Bailey we probably would not know his name or even know he existed.Posters who suggest he has absolutely no connection with Sophie are very one eyed in my opinion.He may not have done it,but he confessed more than once ,he changed his Alibi ,and there was physical evidence that in isolation doesnt prove anything and lots of court testimony in the civil cases that contradicted his,which suggests to me he is the mostly likely to have carried it out.
For the sake of it... Let's just assume that Ian Bailey is totally innocent of this horrendous murder..
That being the case, for nearly the last three decades, he has been vilified nationally by the general public. He has had his life threatened on a weekly basis. He is publicly scorned, confronted and abused..... (For nearly thirty years now...)
He states he is innocent, the murder investigation found no grounds to charge him (and the Lord knows they tried..), and not one iota of evidence was ever found to link him to the bloody gruesome crime scene.
So, if he is totally innocent, and there is no evidence to suggest otherwise.. Then his life has been totally destroyed beyond recognition by the stigma the whole case has had on him.
If I was an innocent man, and endured just one week of the treatment Bailey has, I too, would be inclined to stick the two fingers up at every opportunity I got..
Don't judge Bailey as a guilty man - He has been convicted of nothing with regards to the SDP murder. Judge him as the innocent man that he is, put yourself in his shoes, and see how you feel being treated the way that he has been treated.
We have a legal system in this country that entitles everybody to the presumption of innocence, until proved otherwise in a court of law.
Jaysus he's some narcissist
Would make me suspect him more the way he goes on putting up 2 fingers
A fair chance that they did wear gloves at that time of year, although Irishmen usually don't. Also their skinor blood might be there?
Possible it could belinked with a dead personor linking the DNA with a 'family' from a database
Ah not really true
Solicitor will negotiate deal not her and gardai would jump at the chance to nail Bailey
They're not interested in her
Jules knows more than she's letting on but is never going to talk and risk incriminating herself.
Licking up to the French, what else? If it was a poor person with no govt contacts they would be forgotten
You'd wonder about Michael Martin wading in on this
His stich is just parroting whatever the public wants to hear, is it any of his business to be commenting on it
Finding a DNA sample will be one thing, but matching it to somebody who is sill alive, is most likely going to be the next challenge. All or most of the suspects are actually dead by now.
One of the only things they could do, is either clear Bailey, or finally convict him.
Stored in a back room In bandon most likely. Could be interesting!
The Mvac machine looks like the best chance of catching the killer (if still alive).
You would have to ask the question... How many different people have handled the block since it's recovery?
Maybe the murderer worn gloves?
It's a long shot too be honest. Be great to put it to bed, and get justice for Sophie and her family.
Looks like it’s not just lip service. Come on though lads would ye not buy your own Mvac machine instead of borrowing one from the Dutch 🤨
https://www.independent.ie/irish-news/sophie-toscan-du-plantier-no-stone-will-be-left-unturned-in-finally-tracking-down-killer-says-taoiseach-41812603.html
Her story didn't change. She changed her story. which is what i said. The bigger picture is irrevleant as is France and her purse. Jules changed her story.So she lied when she said he did not get up and it's wrong to say she still stuck to the same story, never waivered, never changed her timeline .
she still stuck to the same story, never waivered, never changed her timeline
Yes, her story did change (direct answer)
Look at the bigger picture. Look at her situation that night. How many people are aware of their partner visiting the bathroom during the night??
Once you combine alcohol and medication together, you're not likely to remember too much afterwards.
Jules Thomas had an horrendous time with Ian Bailey, the photo's of her beatings are sickening.. She must have nurtured a deep feeling of resentment against him, but still would not free herself of him when given the golden opportunity...
She didn't, because she had nothing on him.
Sophie never went anywhere without her diary, she updated it religiously every day. - Her diary was never found at her holiday home? Her purse with a considerable amount of money in it, was found to be untouched?
Before coming to Ireland, she had been assaulted by an ex boy friend? She was known to bring lovers to her holiday home..
Before coming to Ireland, she was practically begging people to come with her.. She was bothered about something.
People should really look at her home life in France before looking for a culprit in Ireland.
Jules wasn't scorned - She threw him out.
are you saying jules did not change her story?
Respectfully disagree... There are no safe bets here.
when she was being interviewed by the guards she was going to stand by her man.
hell hath no fury like a woman scorned... 😉
All she need to.do is say, no, he didn't kill turkeys to get a scar on his forhead, or no he didn't cut himself cutting down a xmas tree, or no she doesn't remember him coming to bed. Any simple change of mind (genuine and honest or malicious lie) throws it wide open again.
Jules didn't know he had got up during the night (as in, shortly after going to bed)
They were just back from the pub, no doubt half boiled after celebrating the run up to Christmas. Jules took medication for period pain which combined with the booze knocked her out almost immediately, she wouldn't have been aware of Bailey not being in bed until the following morning.
He brought her up a cup of coffee in the morning, so logically, would she not just assume that he had risen early?
Bailey used to work in the studio which was an independent building away from the house he shared with Jules. Surely to God, even the village idiot would change out of his blood stained clothes there, and not in a fully occupied Family home?
Sometimes, commonsense doesn't prevail ..... To think that a person who had just brutally slain a young Mother, would return to the Family home, disrobe his bloody clothes and soak them in a tub in the bathroom.... Take a shower, and pop up to the bedroom with a cuppa for the Mrs.... Knowing full well that this was going to be a major incident reported nationally & internationally...
Oh yeah.... And then without tripping over the tub with the blood soaked garments in (for all the world to see), he gets his Mrs to run him over to the crime scene to take some snaps....
Bit of a stretch isn't it...?
