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I Love Punting , Providing Selections & Chatting Gibberish ; & I Intend To Do So On Hyah

[Deleted User]

As the thread title says, that is some of what I like to do on here, all in a sporting fashion 😊

Here be a good place for those of us who likes to bet the horsies and put our picks up. This thread is in the 'betting forum' specifically so as not to sully the once great forum that has now descended into [insert choice word/s here] partly, or so I'm led to believe, on account of me.

NO MORE...

No More shall I insert any of my ill thought out, aimless and wanton meanderings, into a forum where 'knowledgeability' is considered paramount 😏 ... I, for all those in tents and porpoises, #just like to bet, and mebbe have 1 or 5 (or any amount 😊) likeminded folks who also wish to post their picks/thoughts/whatever, without being ridiculed or denigrated by the "in the know/nudge nudge/wink wink/'say nottin to know one about that one i gave ya' /shrewd horsey types"

Another thing that I'd like to point out - no one needs to hang about, or be 'on-call' so to speak, to respond to other posters' responses etc,, That's my thoughts on that subjecto - others may differ.. If ya wanna say summit/put up a pick etc, and then leave thread off, dat's fine an all. I wouldn't expect it of meself, so yeah, my 2centivos. No fun in that - might as well be working if that's the case 😁

Don't know the difference between a Novice Hurdle or a Maiden Hurdle?? - Who cares? - Not no-one on here if the thread pans out.

Anyways, w/o further todo, a pick (or 5 😂)

8.55 Hamilton Friday 13th 2022

The last race of t'day and the first that caught me eye - if have any further thoughts on any other races, I'll duly share them - if I can find the time 🤣

Looks like it's raining in the Hamilton area of Scotland, and the going is currently soft-good to soft in places. That going will do for me, as that's what I'm basing my selections/picks on. For a bit of early doors entertainment, without being too scientific, I shall try to guess (dat's wat it's all about, this game) how t'race will pan out (softish is the going now, and am hoping it either improves a tad or even worsens a smidge; but as long as there's no heavy in description, then that's a start, as that could throw me logic intee a cocked hat, and dat will nae dee 😃)

All joking aside, I think this Class 6 5f. 7yds. Handicap will be won by one what leads early, or aint too far off the early pace.

QUANAH 15/2 This 6yr old can put in a decent showing on a going day, and is dropping down the weights. e/w potential. Needs a return to form, but Jason Hart takes the mount, and is a good man from the front.

SHESADABBER 13/2 e/w NAP (don't know what 'NAP' means, but it denotes a person's bet of the day) THREE times a CD (Course & Distance) winner. Not a bad run last time out (lto) after an absence of over four months, this mare acquitted herself well over track and trip, when coming third, on ground that probably wasn't soft enough for Mick Mullineaux's charge. I expect a bold showing.

One more 😊

NACHO 11/2 e/w Came 2nd the last time Paul Mulrennan was on board. That was at Chepstow over the same trip as today's one.

Last one 😄

THE GLOAMING 3/1 Could be the best one here, shortest price of all - just a win on her.

Of them four picks, I'm going each way (that's how I do 😎) on three of them, even though their prices aint 'massive' , just so as to give an added interest. Quanah and Nacho are more 'hopeful' picks than anything else, but not completely without a chance. This is a Class6 sprint race, so inconsistency is just as usual as the calibre of beast involved, is one of poor quality.

BOLD STATEMENT TIME!! I predict that the jolly (favourite) STRONSAY 15/8 NB (simple this one 'NB' = 'Next Best' , as in the second best bet of the day, or, if it aint so good of a pick, you might could say Nota Bean, if it don't oblige 🤣) WILL NOT even be in the first three here. I expect him to be too far back over this, the minimum trip, to have any chance of 'troubling the judge' here. Don't know what price Stronsay will be to 'not come placed' , but hopefully less than even money - all depends on 'The Market' / 'Liquidity' and the likes.. Usually the most 'action' on the 'betting exchanges' (or punters betting against other punters, and not with the traditional bookmakers) happens a few minutes before the 'off' (time the race is due to start)

# I don't "just like to bet" , but, whatever else I likes to do, is pretty much irrelevant to the thread.

So, that's ~~four~~ EDIT five picks here : three i'll back each way , and a 'place-lay' (not to come 'placed' - most races have three places, for 'place' purposes) recommendation - for anyone who may be interested ☺️

FIVE picks in ONE race is about as far as my lunacy extends, but just to 'show me hand' 'early doors' , I often like/have more than one selection in a given race. Don't expect to have that many picks in every race I have an opinion on - if I can average around 1.5 picks per race, that'll be acceptable (says me 😅) , but I hope to get this thread 'off to a winner' , so this race fit the profile, in that there's a few in it with 'squeaks' (chances) at decent odds.

Above all else, will hope there's no 'agg' on here or anyone having a go at other posters (he says - might could be no one cares about this thread at all, which is all good, as I like talking to meself anyroad ™️) . Almost as important as trying to find them elusive winners.

™️ Talking/typing/whatever in a Northern England ahksent aint my 'Trademark' , but it show do amuse me, so if ya don't like it, then tough 😂

I have thoughts on betting (or 'punting' as we likes to call it) being an art form, and I may expand on that at a later stage,,, but that's all for now,,,

Good Night and Good Luck :) :)

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[Deleted User]

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119292951#Comment_119292951

WD j@u with Lampang 👏 ☺️

would nae have backed that Lampang (on a/c of price/open race) ,,, "good draw" = nice one 🙂 hard to find 'draw data' when me was "studying" hehehe 😄

Asadjumeirah - no good for me there :(

thread winner is thread winner ats 😊 🤣

j@utis

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119291558#Comment_119291558

3:45 Ponty - why not Lampang? He's good a handy draw 1 to jump into the lead, only ran twice in class 3 winning one of them, has so called "stiff" course form, not without a chance imho.

j@utis

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119289907#Comment_119289907

Poets' Dawn was backed into favoritism only to finish 2nd, no good.

j@utis

Morning, not saying good - lack of sleep, I'm on 3rd cup of coffee - still no good, so don't pay much attention to my ramblings...

2:00 Wolves, PP is paying 4 places - PORTELET BAY 7/2 is in my notebook, he's got a good draw, he's a distance winner, ran well twice etc etc, he's the favorite at the moment, so all punters think the same about that one, where the value in that; the other one I like is YOULOVEMEWHENIWIN 15/4, he's drawn the widest but seems to have ability to bounce out the stall quickly, so it's not a big no no, he went very close over CD three runs back in slightly stronger race, today he's -3lb in rating and jockey is taking off another 5, BUT Callum's strike rate in Wolves is total round ZERO out of 60+ rides here, I can't take that one too, so annoying.

[Deleted User]

evening all 😊

Tues 5th July '22

thoughts for today = tricky as a mofo 🙂 😂

given as me first port o' call nowadays is tee luuk for lays/plce-lays, i have had a look and two fit the bill as being meritorious of a look,, they be:

6.00 Uttoxeter ~~Mandocello~~ 4/6 & 2. 8.20 F Las ~~Al Agaila~~ 6/5 (#tho best price 6/4 - a difference of opinion with t'layers, but as far as that goes [in da round ] 😆 , it don't make me no nevermind insofar as my opinion/conclusion, on that 8.20 race, goes 😪 )

had a look at just these two horses mentioned above, and both look likely winners; so will p'raps *swerve both races - they're too short to back tho; and, for that reason, i'm not even trying to 'get em beat' , cos dat would require me looking at all the rest; and, if i did, i might decide i'll back one or both o' them shorties; and i def do not want to back 'em - mebbe a small win double is all - just for a hinterest 😃

#think actual 10/11 gen jolly in Al Agaila's race (8.20 F Las) must be well regarded, as 3yr old colt Caph Star for 'Rodjah' is a newcomer - must be well thought of; tho that don't mean he'll put up bold showing on his fto run (pretty sure he's unraced) ,,,, don't know nor care to know about why he was 'unraced at two' 😃 'nd #boffins on TV likely be scratchin' they heads as to why that's t'case, or offering up reasons given by trainer like how he's taken a while to 'come to hand' ,,,, Fk that! punters only wanna hear Varian talk about trees being 'pulled up at home' , and not a rat's could they give about anyfink less,, doubt many ornery Joe/Josephine Soaps be interested in backing a newcomer at evens or less

# it's on SSR , nd 'boffins' (generally speaking) are less up their own a$$e$ wen it comes to wasting time waxing lyrical on such things - compared to their RTV counterparts 😆

*Will do small win double on Mandocello & Al Agaila , so i won't have to do medium singles on them both hehe ,,,,(not even gonna bother looking at opposition) , and zero place lays or any kinda lay/s...

______________

now to try find a winner 😊

3.45 Pontefract - a lotto imo

Looks as tho the average time [on good ground an' all] for the 6f trip here is ~1min16s 😲 there be class 5 'andicappers what can win at tracks like Brighton, Hamilton And F Las in 1m10s, or less even 😌 ,,, point is it's a strange enuf track/trip, so hard to know who'd be gud enough to prevail here,,

,,,, Dream Composer is clear fav @ 2/1 here,,, H J Evans's horse come 2nd over CD lto - that's how much the layers must give credit to 'course form' and that was merely a Class 3 (Class2 today) - and there's plenty of horses here (although, they're mostly out of form tbf) who would have way better 'overall form' , ie winning better races off higher marks, than what jolly has done,, On the flip side, jolly is consistent and in-form, and is still only four; but he aint never won a race in better than Class 4,,, One to watch/overlook/not worry about if yis wanna back summit else, imo [jus me opinion is all - if ye fancy jolly, don't let me put ya orf 'im 😃 ]

have a plce-lay #potential (#will offer up x, and if x aint matched, then no layee 😃) , and a speculative ew poke here:

3.45 Ponty

Place-lay prospect is Recall The Show @ 4/1 to win,, thinking is he'll try make-all, and fade - could be wrong, but dat's my guess here... also don't think slight 2nd fav Lampang @ ~7/2 to win is guaranteed to be in first three here,, think a stiff 6 is also unsuitable for Tim Easterby's nag,, #~~chance~~ 3-plce lay ~~on 'im an' all~~

#changed me mind on laying Lampang for places - has a bitta 2yr old form o'er 6f (very close to it @ perhaps ~30yds shy of 6f) at Carlisle , which is enough to put me off laying this fellah for place

put up Recall the Show @ ~ evs 3-plce lay , and ~ 5/8 4-plce lay

ew poke:

ASADJUMEIRAH 14/1 EW (...ervation 😅)

reasons: is a colt , is only 4yrs old [flip side - is out of form],,, dam da 'flip side' !! ,,,, last three races were over 7f (1) - too far likely, and 2 Class2's (over 6f) , which were likely too hot,,

reason/s to be cheerful: has won twice over 6f on both the AW as well as the turf, has no turf form on any 'stiff' 6f tracks , like (guessing here 😊) Catterick/Carlisle - only ones i can think of 🤗; nor indeed the course itself 😋 ,,, So it's 'lack of no poor form over stiff 6f tracks' that gives him t'nod,, he's 14s , so not concerned about any lack of 'positive form over 6f tracks that are considered stiff' ; but happy that he's bereft of any poor runs over them track/trips, and can thusly give him t'benefit here 😃 ,, if that makes sense 😁,,,, dinna really care tee mutch tho cuz i is numero oneo 😝

that's all , g'luck all :)

[Deleted User]

Marbuzet only ~~4th~~ in 6.45 :(

musta been an off day - there goes me ew acca; fell at t'first 😓

ah well 😂

edit - 5th [still rubbish] ,, might as well been last :( winner looked well 'andicapped tho tbs

[Deleted User]

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119289907#Comment_119289907

Next I like 7:15 Ripon - Poet's Down 10/3,

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119290132#Comment_119290132

7.15 POET'S DAWN 3/1

SNAP 😂

[Deleted User]

Take a notion Lucky15

Morning all 😊

a lot did nae jump off page - ah see Rupon is on this eve,,,, sez I to meself [cos name just jumped off me mind] : "if D Allen 'as any mounts 'ere, i'll back em all " 😁

.... and so he has, and so i will (back em blind)

Ripon - Good (or so sez "t'formguide" 😁 )

EW Lucky

6.45 MARBUZET 7/5

7.15 POET'S DAWN 3/1

7.45 MYSTIRICA 3/1

8.45 MATTY TOO 3/1

short enuf to be fair, but fekkit, i wanna be entertained 🤣🤨

all picks are trained by Tim Easterby - jockey and trainer in form

will do win singles as well - mebbe an ew acca an' all

g'luck punting fans :D

j@utis

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119288779#Comment_119288779

I went with the wrong one... so typical me. Giselles Izzy came close 2nd, 9/1.

Next I like 7:15 Ripon - Poet's Down 10/3, he went very close last twice, today could be his day. The fav was tipped by HughATR this morning, -25% in odds.

j@utis

3:00 Ayr - I'm split between these two: Giselles Izzy & Communion, the later is more interest only having a 2nd hdc run, he couldn't show what he's made off last time when stuck behind the wall of horses, 6/1 with PP. Giselles Izzy went very close in Lingers, today she's only 1lb higher here, possibilities...

j@utis

My notebook has nothing for today which I'm totally surprised with because I have over 250 nags saved in it.

Let's see if something catches my eye in Ayr or Ripon.

j@utis

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119284672#Comment_119284672

I dunno what sort of trip she wants, stayed one paced throughout... What I find more interesting is that a small, by the looks of it, owner is paying expensive fees to the big trainer (Haggas) to train her to win a meager class 6 handicap 😄 she's probably the lowest rated horse in his stables 🤣

j@utis

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119285633#Comment_119285633

Great write up leff, but we'll forget that shortly, guaranteed 🤣

Aussie Warrior went into my notebook from that race. He was quite keen earlier on but stayed on all the way to the line. I just wished he finished close 4th or 5th instead of 3rd which means he's gonna be short nto.

[Deleted User]

Monday 4th July 2022

Happy Birthday Tom Cruise 😀

Worcester - Good-good to firm in places

1.00 Worcester GAME SOCKS 13/2 ew NaP

3rd chase run - 1st run was poor, 2nd one a lot better; should go v close with more improvement on the cards today.

Wall Of Fame 8/11 Only 2nd chse run; first two weren't great, nd likely wants soft ground - placelay

1.35 Worcester SHENTRI 5/1 ew

Went well at the course lto (in a hurdles' race) over the same trip,, looks to be a hold-up horse, or needs to be, to be seen to best effect,, Worcester appears to be frontrunners track, so will have to hope he's near enough to mount challenge come t'business end.

De Barley Basket 7/4 ,, best price atm is 5/2 with 365,,, has only had si6 chase runs in total - winning four,, a serial winner tbs; but is up a touch in trip, and also appears to be a frontrunner, or more specifically, likes to make all,, this here race be Class 3, and so far Ben Pauling's gelding has won twice in each of Classes 4 & 5,, there are a few likely wannabe leaders here, including, possibly, a few of the first time chasers,, could make the jolly vulnerable here, & with a lot of good horses in line-up, looks a plce-lay potential to me

Roscommon - Good

7.00 Amir Kabir evs ,, first run over hurdles,, worth a lay on that reason alone

8.00 Alfieri 11/10 is topweight, has amateur jock atop,, won easy lto when upped to 3m,, this looks a better race tho,, lay

Some books going five places in this,, have gone for three each way here:

GETAWAY MILANI 11/1, DALILEO 11/1, MISS US O 5/1

8.30 two ew picks here : PHILS CHOICE 5/1 , ELLARIA MOON 15/2

Ahfuhgeddaboutit 6/4 prolly looks the best form here - but didn't manage better than third in her three bumpers thus far; doesn't look too good to me,, has probably the best jock up in Miss J Townend, but hard to see Hogan's filly win this,, was 17/2 prior to her last outing, which is the shortest she's been sent off - until today, where she's likely to go off a lot shorter,, trained by Hogan the crook,, can't see her win,, worth a lay

[Deleted User]

5.40 Chelmsford - observation(s) - had bet(s) , but "no joyee" , so "no aftertimee" 😆

#BOLO

laid jolly for 2, 3 & 4 plces, but Enshrine comes second :(

# Be On t'Look-Out , or BOLO , as the Five-Oh say for short 😂

have noticed that these ULYSSESEEEEESSSSSESSSSESSSS 😃 (progeny of Ulysses) often look like mustard winning o'er a mile (small sample size mind - Cheveley Park & Willie Haggas ones spring to mind) , but are far from invulnerable when upped to 10fs

Just keep a note (that's why am writing/typing this shoy8 out 😄) on the next time a Ulysses (providing it's fav/v short price) steps up from winning over 8fs, and is upped to 1m 2f..

he's only nine is the sire, so likely Ulysses aint got too many "crops" thus far; and they aint incapable of winning at mid-distance trips, but only one winner from last 15 runners inside last ten days, and that was over a mile on turf..

Enshrine had run of race today (an easy lead for most of t'way) , but was no match for winner (a newcomer) who came late,,

look like dubious stayers imo,

that's all 😊

[Deleted User]

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119285312#Comment_119285312

easy game for short odds backers ,, not for me tho 😋 jolly wins by ~ 9lgths - was a speculative one alright, so not 2disappointed

[Deleted User]

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119285278#Comment_119285278

😁 😁

winner at last 😊

GWAN Jess & Pateeeeeennnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn !!!

[Deleted User]

speculative one - laid Easy Game @ ~2/5 for 5.30 Tramore.. only 4-horse race - hoping he don't stay, or falls 😂

[Deleted User]

go win PATEEN 6/1 5.20 MR,, 10yr old is former CD winnr

[Deleted User]

^^^

as expected - no joy 😌 😅

well back me pick were - going wide prolly didn't help much, but likely Lordman is just nae good,,

good jock Marco Ghiani - nice price if ya fancied Shifter - won at 9/2

[Deleted User]

4.30 Chelly

was tempted out of retirement when i saw yer post j@u 😂

not so sure about PM (tho i hope she gives a v good a/c for ms j@utis 😊) , and nt so sure about any o' t'rest ov 'em either,,

pen landed on LORDMAN #12/1 ,,, don't look a definite stayer, but she ran ok (on her only other run on AW) over 7 at Wolves in April of last year, when she came 5th - tis moderate form at best, but I've backed him ew @ ~ 30.0 (29/1) & 25.0 (24/1) to win on exchnge,,, and a lil @ ~ 3.0 (2/1) to finish in top 4,,

has little to no chance going by the sire (guessing here 😃) El Kabeir & Dam Sire Dandy Man over a mile - so at least I know what to (likely) expect, and disappointed is expected, so i've reverse psychologised meself, and, cos i expect to lose, i won't mind too much 😁

#plenty of 18/20s about for the pick atm,, 12s was a bit skinny alright

could pick four here (along with us pick) nd not back winner, so no harm having a go here on a double-figured one - race looks that tricky/open

j@utis

4:30 Chelly - Punda Maria 2/1 to save the day 😅

j@utis

Shocking shocking! Reluctant from the gates, always in rear... Not her day.

[Deleted User]

no joy in 3.20 (didn't see it) , as International Angel ended up nowhere :( ,,, wasn't even in top 4 - stone last i think 😃

a sign to give up 🤣

[Deleted User]

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119283871#Comment_119283871

Delboy Trotter 4th :(

Too far back most of race - was 10/10+ lgths off the lead most of race,, 5/6f out, or so, 1 or 2 had stolen a bit of a march on the chasing bunch - still Brogan keeps his mount out the back until ~2out; made a bit of a move then - when almost too late 😴 any mistake at all and there were zero chance of DT winning 😒 not fluent at 2nd last - was pretty much all she wrote; race was ran in slow enuf time too, and about 9secs slower than the horse's lto CD victory under exact same conditions - horse did have more weight today, but still, i think he should have done better,,

thoughts - Brogan is a 'crook' (have thought that for a while) and another 'young jockey' , but this time on the flat; Darragh Keenan would be simiar imo,, esp when one considers the outfits they ride a lot for: Brogan - Haslam/J O'Neill ('gambling' stables) , and Keenan (D Evans)

Still an all, i wouldn't have backed the winner (Mac Suibhne) even if i spent 1 1/2hrs looking at race (tho a place would've been ok ish 😋 ) ,,, just looked at jolly nd figured his previous would seen him bang there 🤗

fk horsey puntin ,, watch t'GAA nd Wimbledon instead, and see how IA goes for J C-h @ 3.20 Chelmsford

doubt i'll look at any more for 2day,,

#hate putting up shorties (that end up losing) 😓

there be other days 😊

🤣

j@utis

Hughie ATR is on the Internationalangel too (-15% of the price gone), let's get on regardless.

[Deleted User]

have done INTERNATIONAL ANGEL 5/2 3.20 Chelly who's undefeated over C&D, but is up in grade here today

DELBOY TROTTER 1.50 MR @ 7/5 ,, looks a few ticks too big here - rate him a 5/4 shot me.. won his last two, both over CD, with the same jock on board..

singles + ew dble

j@utis

All adorable Internationalangel is back in action in 3:20 Chelmsford tomorrow. Opposition is quite strong and with many uncertainties surrounding them. Not sure if I'm gonna back her or not but I'll be watching with great interest.

j@utis

https://www.boards.ie/discussion/comment/119281188#Comment_119281188

Strange race. I'll keep that one in the notebook till the next time, got forever to get going, 3rd.

[Deleted User]

7.00 Nott DEFINITIVE FORCE 14s,, will go ew here

Helvetique improved considerably when winning lto,,, has a lot of weight tho and will chance a place lay @ ~4/5 nd 4 plce-lay @ ~2/5