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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,512 ✭✭✭Tipperary animal lover




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 805 ✭✭✭Relax brah




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Sounds like OPEC's 2 main exporters cannot increase capacity. Also many OPEC members are unable to reach it's quotas for oil production, so now the G7 are proposing an oil cap on Russian oil we could be in for oil shortages coming up soon and a higher oil price across the board.


    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,232 ✭✭✭riddles




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Macron dropping the news to Joe. You would of thought these leaders would check on what capacity is available before sanctioning Russian oil by ship.


    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,646 ✭✭✭✭Vicxas


    So going off that the Saudi's cant get oil production up any higher this year?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,819 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    Unless they get the Iranians selling theres next to nothing to offset sanctioned Russian oil

    Almost 50 years on since 1973 it looks like a new oil crisis may be on the cards



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 15,004 ✭✭✭✭Cluedo Monopoly


    Sorry I amn't great technically. What does a firestick give you exactly? I thought it was for Amazon channels/content. I have a Chromecast device for Netflix etc.

    What are they doing in the Hyacinth house?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,712 ✭✭✭✭rob316


    Morons. Shouldn't we have secured extra supply before banning Russian energy? I can only see huge pressure from the West to agree to a large Russian annexation of Ukraine. Europe is screwed this winter otherwise.

    All the talk of green this, green that is fantasy policies, shut down this etc when all it took was one country to invade another and the world will come to a halt.



  • Posts: 617 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    It would be prudent to stock up on long life foods now as they will get more for their money than when prices shoot up.




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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    It is far worse than that. The other OPEC members cannot even hit it's targets never mind produce the extra quotas they have been allotted. Added to that Libya has shut production 90% and closing ports for export. Also looking like Ecuador is shutting production totally.


    And now the idiots at the G7 are planning on telling Russia they will only pay so much for his oil. Just a matter of time before these idiots lead us to war i reckon

    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Spain hit 37 year high @ 10.2 % against a forecasted 9%

    Core inflation now 5.5 %

    spain.jpg


    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,381 ✭✭✭Yurt2


    The BRICS forum usually consists of the leaders turning up at a conference centre somewhere, a press call with them linking arms, platitudes about deep unshakable relations with nothing concrete underpinning it. A few press releases with boilerplate anti-whovever statements, and then the day-to-day economic and political relations revert to their transactional basis.

    Sounds about right that Iran would join.

    Fundamentally, none of these states really believe in multilateralism and maximalisit sovereign interests always prevail.

    The reason why NATO or the EU boils the piss of countries like Russia, is that they couldn't dream of the level of formal coordination and rules bound relationships that makes the EU for instance tick. It's an anathema to how they like to do business. They believe that power should be concentrated as narrowly as possible, and dispersed among as few people as is possible. BRICS is an expression of this mode of thought.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 97 ✭✭ZenNature


    " .. they couldnt dream of the level of formal coordination and rules bound relationships that makes the EU for instance tick "

    cough cough . 2008 EU Soverign debt crisis , so much for coordination and rules.

    The EU motto is create the problem , sell the solution , rinse and repeat.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 97 ✭✭ZenNature


    Libya is an interesting case to watch, one could liken it to what the west is attempting in Ukraine and Russia.

    Went from being North Africas largest oil exporter to a basket case all thanks to US backed interventions.

    Libya - Western interventions including NATO, led by the US , destabilise a nation, overthrow the leader , send the nation on a path to self destruction, and then swoop in a few years later under the guise of the UN taking control of their energy reserves claiming corruption requires they manage it for the Libyan people, giving control to western corporations to manage claiming its a temporary measure until they stabilise the country they de-stabilised.

    Talk of energy cap on Russian oil by the G7 is another cheap virtue signal, the minute they announced that oil would spike $15 dollars and global recession and inflation are locked in for another 12 months.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    It is beyond stupid. 40 countries say to Russia we are only going to pay x for your oil or we won't buy it. What if Putin says ok, i will reduce production by 3 million BPD and you can buy from someone else. Then the price goes up because it can't be replaced. So instead of paying 70 / barrel they have to go and pay the market price which will be double that.

    Then the countries who will be happy to pay 90 will buy it, refine it into other products and sell it to the west for a big profit. All it means is more inflation for those paying extra.

    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 888 ✭✭✭bb12


    Isn't this what is happening at the moment. India is buying all the RUssian oil, refining it and selling it back to the west? I think they're trying to get around this by threatening to pull the shipping insurance on these ships, as all naval insurance companies are based in London



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 327 ✭✭ltd440


    Yes,Libya was always a beacon to the world as a well governed country



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,235 ✭✭✭Pussyhands


    Another record for inflation. But the ECB still with their fingers in their ears.

    Also thought it was interesting the comments Leo made yesterday that this high inflation could last years. I believe this indicates the ECB are not going to raise rates enough because of the runt economies like Spain and Italy. They're throwing the whole EU under the bus by not increasing rates substantially!

    RISE RATES NOW



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,261 ✭✭✭Gant21


    They are talking 9.6% by June, we are touching cloth.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19 ticktickboom


    Excuse my ignorance, is there any scenario possible where they would just let inflation keep going unencumbered?

    Could they effectively do nothing and see the eurozone debt inflated away after covid? Letting citizens shoulder the the brunt until salaries are forced to rise to meet new COL?

    I'm aware hyperinflation is a serious risk but they appear to be doing sweet **** all and it seems intentional.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,819 ✭✭✭timmyntc


    If they dont address the causes of inflation then hyperinflation is a very real risk.

    Either we see an inability to retain staff because the work simply doesnt pay enough to live anymore, people going hungry/homeless etc. Or wages rise to meet inflation, which can add to inflation and has potential of a wage-inflation spiral. Letting inflation run riot is incredibly risky



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Lithuania hit 20.5% inflation and today it was announced by The press service of the State Council for Energy Regulation of Lithuania that gas will increase in value by 27.5-41.5%,and electricity-by 40%.

    Mainly due to ending all imports of energy from Russia and buying far more expensive LNG which they never needed to do straight away. Could well be looking at 30% inflation within 3 months.

    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,146 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    This is really worrying, they have to get a handle on it and I think the only way now is to cause demand destruction by causing a recession and quickly. The longer Lane and Lagarde let this **** go on the more entrenched and harder to solve it will become. ECB only cares about core inflation but that core inflation has gone from 2% to 4% in 2 months and with extra wage increases coming and raw materials going up it only going to get worse. The ECB are jokers



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,669 ✭✭✭brickster69


    Wait until you find out how fucked the banks really are

    Niccolò Machiavelli :

    "To ally with great powers to defeat your neighbour is a strategic trap; if you win, you become the slave of the greater power; if the allied power is defeated, you remain alone and defenceless against the angry neighbour, and you are destroyed." - Niccolò Machiavelli



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 14,666 ✭✭✭✭machiavellianme




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,146 ✭✭✭Jonnyc135


    I'd keep an eye on the American reverse repo market, If that start to fall that means the banks are rushing back for more money to smooth things, until I see this I would not be too worried about the banks but If this starts to fall then I think we could be getting it from all angles.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2, Paid Member Posts: 19,955 ✭✭✭✭ELM327


    Same here. 4 colleagues laid off as a 5 person org becomes one (me). Linked in is full of people confirming layoffs in similar industries. I work in credit risk.



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