It's not going to happen. Use or threat of use of nuclear weapons would oblige both the UK and USA to directly defend Ukraine bring both the UK and USA into direct conflict with Russia. Russia will not want to provoke that into happening.
Highly unlikely. There's been no change in the posture of the strategic missile and bomber forces. Whilst some land-based mobile ICBM units recently conducted exercises, this is nothing out of the ordinary. The same goes for the ballistic missile submarines, at least those operating out of the Kola Peninsula. There's been no reports from reliable OSINT accounts that would indicate an increase from their usual peacetime operations. It's a bit harder to keep an eye out on the subs operating out of the bases on the Kamchatka peninsula in the Russian Far East, given that there are no handy Nato nations nearby, but there's no reason to believe that those boats are operating under a different state of readiness to their Northern Fleet counterparts.
Also from "nobody" to "1 in a hundred"? I reckon there's been a fair few recently of that view.
And why not bring it up? Afaik you said you didn't disagree. So what's the problem? If you're just looking for an argument for nothing, Id say don't bother.
I imagine Solovyov and Skabayeva will have a lot to say tonight about Macron & Co's visit. It will be interesting to watch the clips.
Is the threat of a nuclear ☢️ strike from putin still a possibility ……haven’t heard much of his ‘trash talk’ lately…..?
airwolf has been downed
Not just by train. It's a six-hour drive, motorway throughout, there are numerous long distance coach operators operating between the border area and numerous German cities. So it's really a surprise that not more have come there, all the more so since some Polish cities are apparently at capacity, or at least they were a few weeks ago. That might have eased a little, given the number of people who are heading back to Ukraine.
Yeah there's maybe 1 in a hundred even here who's blaming NATO or saying Putin is great but why even bring that up? Just for the sake of disagreeing on something?The overwhelming majority of us, for all our other disagreements, agree who started this and who's to blame.
That sounds plausible, for obvious reasons. Germany is easily reachable by train, UK is awkward to get to. Also much closer to Ukraine. There are very few arriving here who aren't leaving a son or brother or partner or father behind, people don't want to be too far away.
I don't see anyone saying its "not a f*ckin horrendous waste of life"
You also said
"Nobody's disputing who's responsible for all this"
Nobody's disputing who's responsible for all this
You absolutely sure about that? Tbh there's the faux excuses being pushed about Putins invasion of Ukraine and its everyone else's fault but his own and that includes this thread. Then there's some hand wringers who seem to think its the Ukraines fault 'cos they should just acquiesce to Putins demands or wtte.
There is not much in the news about the other fronts so here a few map of battles to the west of Severodonetsk
Izium,
Sloviansk and Lyman area have fierce fighting everyday
It is what he originally said. But I've just seen the other posts and the "interesting" logic he explains: because he doesn't believe the Ukrainian numbers he figured he'd lie about the Russian numbers to counterbalance it.
Fair enough. Not much point engaging with that type of reasoning.
I'v already explained it.The fantasy figure comes from the fantasy that 1000 Ukraine soldiers are being lost every day
In fairness that is not what he said.
Track mounted Harpone missile systems to target Russian 'vessels' in the Black Sea. Now there is an interesting statement. Vessels could be anything from warships to tugboats or anything in between, even barges or freight container ships.
Nobody's disputing who's responsible for all this. We're just saying it's a f*ckin horrendous waste of life
If Russia was losing 3000 soldiers a day that'd be 90000 a month and they'd have none left by now. What fantasy world are you pulling that figure from?
I'd say significant reconstruction contracts for the likes of Siemens, ThyssenKrupp, Hochtief and so on. Never miss an opportunity to increase the profits of your buddies...
That goes back to a quib by a British officer in WW2.
'' when we fire the Jerries duck,bwhen Jerry fires we duck, when the Yanks fire we both duck''
Ukraine have hit Nova Kakhovka,Kherson again.Ukraine behind the front lines strikes are increasing
Tranlation: Khrustalny, A Russian warehouse with ammunition is on fire. Reported around 7:00 p.m. today
Your second paragraph was not worth reading let alone responding to.
This is from your link:Mark Milley was asked about the rate of Ukrainian casualties on Wednesday and said it was difficult to estimate but previous media reports of around 100 killed and up to 300 injured each day had been "in the ballpark of our assessments....."Milley also said Russia had taken "huge" losses and Ukraine was fighting effectively"
The number above is 400 not 1000 a day.
Up to 1000 a day is what an official has said but that still doesn't add up to 7000 Ukraine losses a week unless every day is a bad day.You multiplied my 3000 russian casualties by 7 which is wrong because not every day is a bad day for the russians either.20k is your figure not mine and my point is russia have higher losses than Ukraine,"huge" as Mark Milley said
Lavrov has given an interview to the BBC's Steven Rosenberg. 'Hostile and belligerent' would probably sum up the tone of this clip (full interview will be shown on Saturday).
Yes, but what do they want from Ukr in return? No such thing as a free dinnern
They probably only use the ones that are guaranteed to work?
The EU could revise the entry rules to make it ‘easier for The Ukr to become an EU member. Eg create a ‘junior category’ - only certain benefits would be available to it and progress towards full membership would depend on how the Ukr is improving on relevant areas
So you're standing over 20k casualties per week for the Russians in the Donbas alone? Good to know you're not worried about having any credibility.
I stand over my foul language. If someone starts on me for no reason I will defend myself vigorously. Though I'm genuinely sorry that I caused you to crush your pearls into dust with my horrific language, I hope you can recover soon and argue nonsense with people and accuse them of lies and not back down when you're shown you're wrong having done the Big Bollocks I'm So Smart dance. All the best, and I wish you a speedy recovery.
As ridiculous as it may sound - there's few holes barred for Russia under a KGB style government run by Putin and his cronies
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2014/jun/19/russia-secretly-working-with-environmentalists-to-oppose-fracking
I can see that the 1000 figure was not your figure but my 3000 has to stand to match that because of tactics and ratios.Other posters are throwing around 1000 Ukraine soldiers are dying so I have being hitting back at their nonsense.
You can consider my comment withdrawn the moment your foul language comment is withdrawn.
Just for those interested, the FT is now providing free-to-read online content regarding the Ukraine.
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