Agree on the military intervention point, even if it's unlikely to happen at all.
On accession to the EU - if Ukraine cannot fulfil the membership criteria at this point, admitting them would prove problematic to say the least, as outlined in my previous post about this. The EU has enough internal arguments going on without adding another one about rushing through Ukrainian membership even if they are, by normal definitions, years (maybe decades according to some) off of being ready. Posing the idea that Ukraine should be admitted virtually immediately is a 'damned if you do and damned if you don't' type of thing.
Does anyone know the faith of the 2 million Ukrainians cleansed off to Russia??
How can this be allowed happen and just forgotten about in 2022????
They're not called surrender monkeys for nothing. They even surrender other peoples territory in wars they aren't fighting.
If the French occupied northern Ireland we'd have had a 32 county Republic by 1930.
If it was shot out of the sky like those poor souls on MH17 the big wigs wouldn't be long going to war over those 3 bastárds. But barely a peep about the ordinary people.
I don't know, but it's one of those things that happens and has been happening in various forms since we said 'never again' after the Holocaust.
The chilling reality seems to be that when it comes to genocide, you just have to hope that it never comes to your own door. If ye can stomach the thought of a close loved one being slaughtered in front of you, try to stomach the further one that no one will be coming to help you, and life is not like a movie where you'll avenge their deaths, but you'll get the next bullet. That's been the reality in Rwanda, in the former Yugoslavia and now in Ukraine, to give a few examples.
People aren't talking about it because it's just far too uncomfortable, I suppose....
Not a chance anyone will be able to browbeat Zelensky. He seems the most single minded politician in Europe. If they were to even try that with him, they would get nowhere.
Calling it now, the diplomatic language of support for Ukraine will run out of gas before Christmas.
The proxy war has failed.
Military Russia is so far behind modern Western States that it cannot be considered a modern Army.
In terms of defense spending America has only given a rounding error.
If it was a proxy war they could skin Russia and have change out of a days defense spending.
there is a green energy thread with an overwhelming sentiment that any support of green energy transition will go out the window when energy bills start dropping through letterboxes and grocery and fuel costs bite. And only leafy south Dublin will be left fighting the fight
I think the exact same will happen with our support for the war
WHO’s we? Is we Poland and a number of other Eastern countries, no. Never.
if you think the US in particular are going to let this opportunity slip to bleed Russia you are mistaken. The UK will continue to support the US.
Ukrainian orthodox…
Statistically highly unlikely.
Do they just send that oil money on the war or something? Do they not have a state to run as well? Social welfare (pensions at least)? Infrastructural upkeep? Civil sector pay? Education? Policing? Is that oil money making up for the GDP hit of heavy economic sanctions?
Instead of talking about what they're making off of oil, would it not be more accurate to talk about the +/- cash flow and what that means for sustainable running of Russia and, by extension, their war effort?
As did Russia and every other power in history.
They are not invincible but the scale of trained troops, equipment, resources, professionalism etc is so different to Russia.
Russia could have had a serious army it chose instead to have a corrupt one with little logistics and old equipment.
Other factors -
Mordor on fire!
Gasprom has officially entered the war.
Terrible news, although I suspect they were able to isolate it pretty quick. Might take a while to get it back into commission though.
Long interesting thread on the Ruble and size of German and French technological exports to Russia
‘One final note, Miley said Ukraine has received 260 artillery systems from allies, which means that a lot of systems are flowing in unannounced. Another 120 are on the way, but only 28 of those are U.S. and Canada, so again, lots more unannounced guns are on the way.’
If course there’s loads of unannounced artillery on its way, I’d say the information about what us sent there is quite carefully controlled.
All of the EU's top brass are in Ukraine pitching the EU
This could bring Italy into the war.
Hits a nerve doesn’t it? European leaders in Kiev which Russia failed to take in their 3 day ‘special operation’ 🤣
No but America has more than the rest of the world combined and it's not even an effort.
USDRUB has been awesome to trade last few months, takes the sting out of the rising costs.
Regardless of the ins and outs of whether or not the US "could" beat the Taliban, it is utter irrelevant to the current conflict as a comparator. The Taliban were an insurgency, Russia is nowhere close to even being in a position to deal with an insurgency because they can't militarily conquer anything - something the US did with relative ease in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Not only could Russia not defeat theTaliban the Russian invasion of Afghanistan precipitated the downfall and breakup of the USSR.
There's a lesson there for Putin.
Anyone choosing to trade in that shite have their hands covered in the blood of the Ukrainian people murdered by Putins facists.
They did defeat the Taliban and easily, they could not train an Afgan army which was capable of maintaining control of the country. It was the Afgan army that got its arse kicked by the Taliban not the US army.
Russia is getting its arsed in Ukraine in a hard fight for the Ukrainian army. Any Russian army setting a foot on NATO soil against any NATO army would experience 100% casualties in a matter of hours. We only need look at the Wanger groups experience against 40 US marines in Syria. 350 dead Russians 1 injured marine in a 30 minute action.
Now that’s a very very good point. History could well repeat itself.
It's really mad how things have ended up where they are with Russia. He was the great white hope of the Obama presidency "reset with Russia" foreign policy at one point if I recall (during period when Putin let him take over the wheel while he drove from the back seat). Now he's spouting this abuse/insults + nonsense like a good propagandist!
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