That would be up to 1 million truck trips and 220,000 cargo plane flights.
Logistically and financially unrealistic.
Getting the grain to where it's needed would be worth the extra cost, wouldn't it?
Because of course he is. Tyrants are always the same and always follow the same patterns.
Just on the third point - Putin withdrawing troops wouldn't have any effect on whether Finland applies for Nato or not, the Finnish parliament will vote on it on Tuesday. The only way Putin can have an effect on this is military action, or trying to influence countries like Hungary or Bulgaria and get them to vote "no" on Nato expansion.
Stalin invaded Finland in 1939 and again tried to occupy the country in a 1944 counteroffensive, so he didn't exactly let them be. Nowadays I don't think Russia views Finland as anything important, it's just a small country off their northwestern border - but obviously they wouldn't want foreign troops or weapons stationed there.
Or 2 to 3 thousand trainloads (1,000 if you go all American or Australian)
All doable but need lots of bogeys.
Be wary of information tranquilisers indeed. I'd call him a true Russian patriot. A man who knows his nation's onions and isn't afraid to cut them, no matter how many start crying around him because of it. A sure sign of a patriot.
I would think that if he appears again with the same opinion, without being arrested in the meantime, we can assume he had official blessing. It makes sense that Putin would want to change the narrative gradually so as not to appear to do a complete volte-face. This may be a sign that he's indicating to change lanes for the off ramp.
Yes, he doesn't actually criticise the Russian military. It's more that he is bigging up the Ukrainian military and NATO (which is not quite the same thing).
One way to stage the war is to put the leader in control of the map. The cancer is a bonus.
He did big up NATO and even Ukraine in various ways, but also said Russian conscripts wouldn't be as good as Ukraine conscripts as they were fighting for their homeland, plus the Russians hadn't as good weapons.
It was further interesting that the banshee didn't simply shut him down. She did try and counter him, but half heartedly.
I'd say that was the most interesting video of this whole thread.
That was incredible to watch. A definite change of treatment from the State Media. I've watched it a few times and my thoughts are that they are preparing the Russian people for the worst. His comments, level-headed and in touch with reality as they are, focuses on two key points.
1. The whole world is against us
2. Ukraine, with the help of US and European Lend-lease, can mobilise and arm 1 million people. Russia cannot. His comments about the difference between Russian and Ukranian forces is the drive, high morale and desire to die for their country of Ukraine. "We need to get out of this", as he sums up.
His comments are either hinting at a massive Climbdown of Russian forces or the detonation of 1 tactical nuke.
My fear is that if Ukraine pushes Russia back to borders or even begins to push towards Sevastapol, Putin will be overwhelmed and will order the detonation of one tactical, low yield nuke on land, or one larger one under the sea off the coast of Odessa.. If Nato's Signit drones over the Black Sea suddenly see the Russian fleet clear the area or all point in one direction, the latter is about to occur.
This is of course if Putin still has complete control and there isn't a coup. That's a whole other conversation.
You're probably looking at 25 million lorries!
What's interesting to me, is that if the whole world is against them, and they are trying to get everyone back onside, detonating a nuke is not the way to go.
He made a very clear statement that this isolation ‘thing’ is a big problem for Russia and MUST be addressed. This would indicate to me that the firing of nukes are out. His only mention of nukes was comical - a big dig at somebody- but at the same time very
profound. He - overall was basically saying ‘ stop this pointing the nuke noncence and get around the table. We are not as big as we think we are”
you're talking about someone with diminishing mental capacity
My only disappointment is that he made no reference to peace ‘breaking out’, he was hinting at the requirements needed to build up a strong army - for WHAT???
He also quite cleverly paid homage to Marxist-Leninist thought on the subject, but of course communism was just tapping into existing knowledge. Over 200 years ago Napoleon said "The Moral is to the physical is three is to one", but he didn't come up with that by himself either. His teachers were Frederick, de Saxe, Gustavus Adolphus, Caesar, Hannibal and Alexander.
The technology changes. War not so much because armies today are built with the same raw material as was a Macedonian phalanx, a Roman maniple or a French attack column.
There honestly are not enough lorries in Europe to move the volumes involved. (or road infastructure)
I imagine what what he was doing was sowing the seeds of a new idea. Russia is like a supertanker that can't just do a handbrake turn and reverse course because of face-saving and internal propaganda considerations. My suspicion is that this guy has been added to the bridge watch with orders to just start that turn. He my have said nothing explicit about peace, but he did identify Russia's isolation as being a big problem. The way to cure that is not more war.
2, 3, 4 mile trips 3 or 4 times daily by local delivery trucks and tractors, not 1,500 kilometer 4 day deliveries across a continent on roads that have not been designed to cater for that volume before.
Probably bit by bit. Harvested and some taken, majority stored on farm or in central depots. Then once harvest was done moved daily to ports/wherever wither via trucks or most likely train.
There has already been talk about re-opening some Soviet era train lines into Moldova, Romania and Bulgaria but even with those re-opened it is only part of the capacity issue. The Azov sea and Black sea ports will need to be opened or the world will lose 10% 20% of its grain supply this year. Bad news for Europe, Famine for Africa. India has already banned grain export for the first time ever.
We'll see based on what happens to him. I'm not doubting for one second that he believes what he says - and is right, but we've seen on these "analysis" shows how dissenters get shouted down. Note how the anchor lady in blue was the only one to disagree with him and the best she could muster was a pretty feeble strawman. I suspect his outburst of common sense had the imprimatur of the Kremlin.
'Realpolitik' is OK when we engage in it, right?
Yep. In ireland for example we can ship a months worth of food, over hours and days and weeks. If we do it all at once, and to the other side of europe, then there's huge bottlenecks.
I'd love to see anywhere in Russia where Morale is high
Back of the notepad working, 44 tonnes per lorry transport capacity. Ukrainian wheat exports, 20 million tonnes. 20,000,000/44 = 455,000 4 day return trips. 1 cargo ship = 10,000 to 60,000 tonnes or if average is 20,000 = 20,000,0000/20,000 = 1,000 ship loads.
That is why the road capacity does not exist.
euronews- Russia about to call it a day in its fight for full control of Donetsk region and instead settle for full control of the full Luhansk region
Are they allowed carry that weight there? In Ireland it's around 44 gross including the lorry and trailer
It's better than it being shipped to Syria which is what's happening to Ukrainan grain stolen by Russia
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