Germany will phase out Russian oil within 6 months. A few smaller countries (Hungary, Czechia, Slovakia) will get a short deferment. And that's it - no more Russian oil imports to the EU.
The NATO argument for non direct intervention is to avoid a nuclear war.
Also is NATO did intervene directly the situations for civilians would be worse not because NATO would target them but there would be more intense fighting.
Someone needs to remind lushenko that he was Russian made weapons and vehicles ,the same burning vehicles currently littering the Ukrainan countryside .
I mean the eu has made great strides socially and economically since inception.
But it is not a superpower, there is only one superpower both economically and militarily and there is one challenger to economic superpower in China.
The EU is not a sovereign nation either, under stress, there would be large divergence between east and west within the EU for example. Mark my words, you will see the French and German's pressuring Ukraine to accept negotiation terms with Russia before the end of this.
If Belarus attack Ukraine I'd be fairly certain of one thing... Putin MIGHT survive this, but Luke wont be long for this world.
Britisn is doing exactly what Germany is doing stopping shipments but buying gas from Netherlands and o and btw Ireland is connected to the British Gas supply via the interconnector.
It could split the Belarusian military into for/against Ukraine. They are already split to some degree but it could get more serious.
It wasn't green energy as such, that was the problem, it was the Russian order, acted on by Merkel and others to ensure that other alternatives to Russian energy were quickly removed so as to ensure energy could be leveraged over the continent.
That was the real kicker.
Apparently the Wagner group posted a report on it social media page saying Russia needs to mobilise 800,000 troops to take Ukraine. Given there contection to the Kremlin reality may be dawning on vlad, perhaps this is an early sign that a withdrawal may be on the cards.
Back in the 90s one of the American think tank companies, I think the Rand corporation did a study and calculated the number of troops required to take a country. There’s a ratio something like 20 “professional soldiers” per 1000 civilians and that’s only to take a country not to hold it and def not against a proactive resistance.
American commentator well informed,
And it was stated what exactly was going to happen over a 10 year period ,and people laughed no Putin won't do this and Putin won't do that because the Germans and french are too powerful politically and militarily ,
But putin Played a blinder
He did, the foreign politics and development of assets at the top of European politics wasn't even achieved in the heady days of the Soviet Union.
The EUs thinking is the solution to their shambolic reaction is as always, even more EU. Yep, remove mational vetos and let the EU make decisions for nation states via edict. The whole problem is that the EU has removed the ability of individual European nations to act themselve in key areas
Meanwhile the Germans talk in the future tense and do nothing in the present, and Macron does his utmost to undermine the Anglos by currying favour with Putin.
Look at our own history. 40k crown forces of one description or other in the North of Ireland and at that with the Irish identifying population at under 40%.
I'm glad to see these videos especially if clearly successful, but some, while giving a nasty shock, wont knock the tank out. This video might be an example of this type, mores the pity.
Yeah, despite the bluster Luke isn't doing this for any reason other than he's been ordered to by his overlord... he has been reluctant for the very reason he knows it's not going to go down well.
its exactly what your discussion is. You said NATO are engaged in what aboutry with regard to direct intervention. If you would be happy to take your chances during a potential nuclear war or just even a few strikes why dont you inlist in the Ukraine foreign regiment and do some real warrioring instead of the key board stuff.
it must be difficult to read or remember what you posted with all the knee jerking, careful or you’ll do a cruciate.
👍
He even got former chancellor Schroeder on his stipend list.
Last week he said on television the war wasn't going the way it was meant to and that it was going poorly for Putin. This is the result a display of solidarity or apology for that.. Nothing more and nothing will come of it.
Or because the Americans sent him a very threatening note. America can still attack Belarus in a non NATO capacity.
As mentioned before, Lukashenko just doesnt have that internal sway to be able to pull off invading Ukraine. Otherwise they would have done it by now.
They may act the maggot and make minor border incursions, to keep the Ukrainians tied up.
But again, that may split the military and Lukashenko needs the full arm of the military.
Fighting in Mariupol https://twitter.com/CanadianUkrain1/status/1524078497832083459?s=20&t=oy0QhbYo2xmSykRx2xp12w
btw, it just dawned on me recently why they would not let the civilians out of the steel works - they will consume food necessary for the remaining soldiers.
Makarov still intact? A Journalist Just Spotted Russia’s ‘Admiral Makarov’ Frigate, Intact And At Sea (msn.com)
And would very definitely split Belarussian public opinion. Most people there have no issue with Ukraine......this is all Putin's war.
Lads, there's zero chance Lukashenko is going to send in Belarusian troops into Ukraine. The Russians have already left, they'd be going in alone against battle hardened Ukrainians. They'd be turned to mincemeat.
My guess is this is a ploy from Putin in the hope that Ukraine divert troops from Donbas
Its possible Putin will get him to drive troops and equipment towards lviv in an attempt to cut the supply lines from Rzezow , which in turn would pull troops elsewhere in Ukraine to protect lviv
John Kirby is fielding questions about UFOS, this is ridiculous.
Im watching Ukraine in the Eurovision, they are encompassing many cultures in their music, might have been worth translating it into English though
If Belarus tries that shite then dropping a couple of strategic weapons on them and then blaming the Russians should do the trick. Especially considering the Russians are blaming everyone else for inflicting all and any damage on Ukraine that is except themselves - despite their "special operations" involving large numbers of Russian soldiers and huge amounts of weapons deployed by said same Russians in Ukraine. Two (or more than two) can play Putins little games for sure.
Drop strategic weapons and blame the Russians, thats Trump style stupidity. Maybe they could paint the planes and nobody will know the difference 🙄
Careful those clangers don’t land on your foot.
Tough spot for Lackey Lukashenko. If he doesn't hop to where and when Putin comes calling for aid, he risks weakening Russian support for his own tin pot dictatorship, but if he does ever order his army into Ukraine, he faces pushing his people into a general uprising against him.
That said, Putin would not be keen to lose Belarus as a vassal and Lukashenko is handy as puppet to exert control. I would say it's political inertia and his mild usefulness which allows him to balance between the two scenarios outlined above.
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