If Russian losses are the same everything is equal but Russia does seem to be taking territory in the Donbas. Another week will tell a lot.
Edit; just got that bit on 'colossal' so...
Russians are no doubt loosing a lot of men but I’d say Ukraine aren’t far behind.
I saw it in the guardian earlier. He said heavy losses but the russians are losing more.
"We have serious losses but the Russians' losses are much much bigger...They have colossal losses," presidential adviser Oleksiy Arestovych said.
So it is both sides with losses!
Where did he say that?
The battles in the east much be just brutal right now. They described their losses as heavy and the Russians as colossal.
He can fancy another invasion all he wants, but he's running out of tools (in multiple senses of the word) to fight the first one, never mind another.
It's a 'she' by the way 😊 I'd say her opinion is very popular among the three Baltic states, Poland, Czech Rep and Slovakia for starters - anything that leaves Putin claiming he won the war would be very bad news for them (he might fancy another invasion pretty soon).
Zelensky admitting today Ukraine are taking heavy losses in the east.
First time I’ve heard him speak like that.
Very fair point and I agree. I would think that having cast iron clauses in an accession treaty on democracy and not allowing the kind of back sliding we are and have seen in both Poland and Hungary would be very much part of any country be it Ukraine or someone else in Europe joining the EU.
Dunno about that. Whatever about Crimea, the LNR and DNR have been shelling ukraine for the last decade. I'd say they want Russia out of there.
As for Crimea, most of the population, that are left after the Russian take over, appear to want to be ruled by Russia. Plus Russia's black sea fleet are based out of there. I can't see Russia returning it without a huge fight. And it would be no holds barred. I'd say it would be like trying to take Kaliningrad.
I would absolutely agree with her there. Wonder is she saying that publicly just out of hope for an idea scenario outcome or does she have some intelligence that suggest that is actually an attainable goal for Ukraine.
I think they can take donbas and a good part of Crimea especially if he's losing the numbers being reported 20,000 + dead and another 40,000 casualties that's a fair chunk of the Initial 100,000+ he invaded with ,the morale of the Russians is falling on a daily basis and they don't believe they are there to save Russians from Nazis , where as the Ukrainians and fighting to save their land and peoples from foreign aggression and oppression again ,
Their backs are you and as seen previously with the Minsk and Minsk 2 agreements Russia will break anything agreed on and try to sieze more land .
There can only be one outcome ,the removal of all Russian forces from Ukrainan territory including Donbas and Crimea, otherwise this will be a never ending conflict
Did you ever stop to consider that you're just so biased towards Ukraine you can't approach anything in this thread in an objective or impartial manner?
The video you posted as "evidence" is literal false Ukrainian propaganda; it's from a training exercise in Germany and was copied from this source video:
It is entirely possible to fully support Ukraine and at the same time do so without just immediately believing every bit of positive news whilst claiming every bit of negative news is made up and spread by Russian bots.
And you know what comes after Skynet 🤖 ☠ ☢
The comment about airlifting was primarily about ammunition; but also relevant further down the supply chain and not just in terms of getting the ammo near to Ukraine but transporting through Ukraine.
Here's a bunch of artillery shells; with one "pallet" consisting of 8 shells. Granted these shells also need propellant so for the sake of argument let's say each "pallet" could consist of 4 shells and 4 sets of propellant.
And here's a single 227mm rocket pod containing 6 rockets:
A very rough guesstimate might be that you could fit about 8 pallets of 155mm ammunition into the same amount of space as a single 227mm rocket pod: so that's 6 227mm rockets versus approximately 32-64 155mm shells depending on propellant needs.
And there are other considerations such as it being possible to move artillery shells by hand and load them into any manner of vehicle; but 227mm pods require cranes or modified forklifts and large flatbeds for transport; dedicated loading and transport vehicles etc.
Anyway I'm not saying it's a deal breaker by any means; just pointing out it's one of the arguments that could be used against supplying NATO MLRS systems such as the M270 or M142. Especially if we consider Ukraine are running short on 152mm shells and its crucial they start building up stores of 155mm shells around the country in the near term.
If Putin was to make a trip to the UN in New York then nobody would be able to touch him.
A trip to Indonesia though and shouldn't be too much trouble to get something arranged via The Hauge and an arrest warrant of some kind for him. Either Indonesia would have to follow it, or the plane taking him there has to be very careful on exactly which airspace he flys through on the way or the plane would be forced down.
He'll appear via zoom though, and various people will walk out of the room when it happens.
The thing of it is that Putin is not that worried about ordinary people, generally, so humanitarian actions wouldn't be that appealing. The idea of Ukrainian forces entering Crimea or LNR/DNR he'd just see as a handy excuse to escalate things. Zelenskyy, for his part, is not so maniacal. I think he'd be happy to even push Russia back to the lines of control prior to Feb 24 and negotiate from there.
If he's that worried he could welcome the Russians into mother Russia as refugees to keep them safe ,the donbas region should be turned into a Mariupol ,and think about it the Donbas region had no history of wanting to break away until Russian military forces moved into the areas and the original leaders of the region were all FSB agents sent from Moscow , while there is a large number of Russian speakers not all of the population claim to be Russian
you mean their opposition to LGBT stuff ?
vast majority of people dont give a sh1t about that , those are luxury beliefs which get relegated when real problems arise like the Ukrainian invasion
By rights, Russia should get off every bit of land that is internationally-recognised as Ukraine. However, I don't know about LNR and DNR, but I would say that a lot of Russians regard Crimea as an integral part of Russia. 'Who cares what Russia thinks?' - yes, but Putin could use entry of Ukrainian forces into Crimea (or maybe even LNR and DNR) to say to his people, 'Russia is being invaded by Nazis!' and use that to stir support for god knows what.
So, yes, in principle I support the idea of Russia being driven right out of Ukraine, absolutely, but in practical terms I would say that the Ukrainian government would be pretty happy just getting things back to Feb 24 in terms of who holds what territory and then negotiate from there.
Just regarding your airlift argument, they might not have come directly from the US. The US Army has several large depots in Germany, including Coleman Barracks in Mannheim or Germersheim Depot outside of Mannheim. Both are close to major highways and railway lines. I wouldn't be surprised at all if the US were beginning to dig into these for heavy equipment. It's easier to ship replacements from the US to Germany via sealift ships than it would be to fly M270s into Rzezow or other staging areas.
Putin's daughter (albeit no Ivanka) didn't lick her fancy dance moves off a stone. The Putster was "KGB funky-style" champ for 3 years running. It's also the most important class they have in their training so the competition is fierce
To be honest, I'd love to see Zelensky climb into the ring with Putin. I'd say he'd give him a right hiding.
Just on a point of order: we shouldn't give Poland a pass on all of the frankly awful stuff the PIS government have been doing to undermine the rule of law in the EU recently.
I know all posts on here are full of recency bias but the POles have been pretty bad EU citizens in the last few years before this war kicked off. Second worst after Hungary.
Ammo is bulky but comes on pallets that are easily transported by heavy lift aircraft( C17)along their launchers much like all of the heavy artillery currently flowing into ukraine via Poland
That Estonian PM actually comes across very well. Very calm and collected, conducted herself very well from what I have seen.
Putin claims to be the hard man.. black belt in judo etc
klitschko should challenge him to a UFC fight. I wonder would Putin's ego let him ignore the invitation.
Estonian PM Kaja Kallas says that in her opinion Russia should be driven all the way out of Ukraine and right back to the Russian border - otherwise they will try and spin things as they having won the war and their aggression will have paid off.
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