A video analyzing the nature of what Military assistance will be given to Ukraine
You do realise that the Russian Embassy is actually in more affluent West London? Located nearby to local Russian oligarch owned properties & a football club with a prominent fascist following.
I doubt if the citizens of North London would travel all the way to Kensington with current parking restrictions & congestion central zone charges to dump some rubbish when local councils provide a collection service.
The term is about as legit as trump derangement syndrome which no doubt came from the same sources...
For those of us going on about a weak Germany,I reckon it could get worse if le pen gets into power in France ( which is beginning to look like a distinct possibility). That would lead to serious upheaval in the EU and Putin and his army could run rough shod over wherever they want. Some markets are already showing signs of nervousness. Long term, it could be a case of every country for itself....
There's no hope of LePen getting into power on France. Her connections to all of this far right nonsense is there for all to see. Including her praise for Putin on many occasions. No one's washing that off.
Once again. That's not happening. Where are ye lads getting this stuff from. Joe.ie equivalent..
I wouldn't be so sure. She is almost certainly going to go into the run-off with Macron and she's only polling 1% behind him in that vote.
Agree with this. It always looks closer in the polling that it actually is on election day.
A pragmatic vote should win out in France, especially in the current environment. The last thing we all want is political instability.
If I was voting right now, it pains me to say it but it would probably be a FG vote. *Shudders*
She tends to always underperform her polling. But it is definitely a possibility that she wins, if a small one.
Reuters
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe/frances-macron-says-he-entered-presidential-race-later-than-he-wished-radio-2022-04-08/
I'll eat a boiled shoe if Le Pen even gets within 10-15 percent of Macron in the final run-off.
This is how French Presedential elections work. Some head the ball does a bit of front-running in the first round, makes some noise and may squeek into final run-off, and then other candidates' voters break hard for the less insane candidate.
He wholloped her by 30 points in 2017 and things haven't significantly changed in France. He's not particularly popular, but the French public won't let someone that far right anywear near the Élysée.
How many ate boiled shoe after Brexit or Trump got in ? That's the world we are living in at the moment where crazy things happen. I wont pretend to understand French politics, but I do understand that nothing is certain when it comes to a public vote.
The biggest move for Germany was to lift that ban of weaponry they had sold being sent on to third parties. That was a 50 year old policy. The new budget follows on from that position change.
You can bookmark it. Le Pen is not getting anywhere near the Élysée. Getting withing 20 percentage points of Macron in the run-off would be a very good day at the polls for her.
I'm willing to take the opprobrium and mockery if I'm wrong, but I won't be losing any sleep about being wrong about this one.
People do come up with the most "brilliant" of ideas at times like these.
Well I'm including the West London luvvies as well. In fact all the posh nob areas of London, but I didn't want to type out every single one, clever dick.
France is toying with canning internal flights (except to places like Corsica obviously). They have a rather glorious train infrastructure set up to fall back on though.
That's what you get when you have a greedy geriatric smurf as a chancellor and Dolores Umbridge as minister for defense! Seriously, Christine Lambrecht is turning out to be the worst minister of defense in a long while in Germany, which is quite an achievement when the competition includes Ursula von der Leyen. From what I'm getting from German news reports, it appears as if she is extremely territorial, vindictive and stubborn and does not want any scrutiny of her ministry. There are indications that she is holding back deliveries simply as payback for criticism.
Having said that, even with that recalcitrant gremlin, there's quite a bit that Germany is doing nonetheless, beyond the thorny issue of sanctions, both with logistics and with direct military deployments.
Now, I'm German myself and I'm personally disgusted at the way leading politicians such as president Steinmeier, chancellor Scholz or ministers Lambrecht & Lindner are acting. However, given how run-down Germany's military still is in many parts, there's not really that much to give, especially now that Germany has stood up it's component to the NATO Response Force. Having said that, Scholz really needs to swallow his pride, cut the gas deliveries, and become much more proactive in addressing the needs of Ukraine.
Stopping the oil and gas trade with Russia immediately across the EU won't stop the war straight away either I think.
It won't make Russia's armies and their stockpile of Soviet weapons disappear in a puff of smoke when the European energy money stops. Unfortunately I think the peace talks are not serious on Russia's part. IMO, only
will end it.
If this is true, they're getting closer to Kherson. If they do manage to retake the city (the largest city the Russians have managed to take so far) I don't think they'll be getting across the Dnipro.
In terms of its effects, it's more of a future strategy and will probably ensure that Russia becomes a sort of backwater. As we move more strongly away from fossils anyway the scope for income on that front will become a lot more limited.
Yes, would agree with you. Made the post after reading some earlier I think which were suggesting this happening might end the war quickly (usual stuff blaming Germany for everything).
Sorry, I carried on working on that post after I hit "Post Comment" (a bad habit) and edited it a good bit after you quoted me.
The sanctions are unprecedented, now WW2 nor Cold War, nothing like this has been done before.
The only problem can be if we over egg the sanctions, cripple Euro manufacturing, shift more manufacturing to China and throw EU into a deep recession.
None of those things help Ukraine
Of course they're not. It is all a deep fake and Putin is in the Bahamas playing Ludo with Lukashenko.
Another russian war crime and another press conference to condemn it …..
Carmakers scrambling for supplies of Palladium in South Africa. Price up 8% today
It's all a load of shíte. Condemn it. What does that even mean. Do they really think Putin cares or is it actually their way of doing something while doing nothing.
The sad thing about this is that Putin has been proven right, the west is weak. It has no stomach and he'll do as he pleases. And he will continue to do as he pleases as no amount of raped toddlers, civilians butchered or humanitarian corridors bombed is enough to get anyone with the power to push back to even lift a finger.
We've become completely morally bankrupt, we stand for nothing only our own comfort and self preservation. And when he eventually points his weapons at the west we'll deserve everything we get for leaving these people to fend for themselves whilst we spectate.
One russian Rocket cost millions, Killing fleeing children in a bombing in a railway station in order to blame your enemy is worth millions in propaganda, to write 'for the children' on a clearly Russian bomb not knowing it would survive the blast priceless
QPR has a fairly broad range of support from what I have seen😉
Someone here did say at the start of this that these sanctions were a bit rushed and not thought through very well. I mean who would believe countries would actually sanction a country that it's whole economy depends on 🤦♂️
Now just on the exchange rate Europe will be paying 20%+ for commodities once they pay in Roubles.
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