100%. They are going to make this as difficult as they can for Russia.
but Russia refusing to export(and ukraine unable to due to fighting) to the west results in the west seeking grain from other sources, pushing up the prices for all including Egypt and Nigeria. Expect to see knock on effects in the price of meat and dairy as the price of animal feeds explodes. Just think about the chicken fillet roll, the staple of a large part of our society. The bread roll will cost 2 euro and the chicken will cost 2 euro, before it is even served
OK, so according to the predictions made a few days ago, Russia should run out of financing for the war in a little bit under (checks watch) seven hours, at the latest. Actually, I suppose five since Ukraine are two hours ahead.
Wonder what the revised deadline will be?
Yeah, you're right, it's too hard so let's not bother.
And after they refusing to condemn Russia fir invading Ukraine......that's some payback!!
It's fine. We'll all just switch to jambons.
Ukraine will fight to the end. Who really knows what Russian forces can even achieve? 11-12 days in and they have captured one town of note. In this war game of yours how do you imagine it ends?
Russia doesn't export much grain to the West (Ukraine is still currently exporting despite the conflict)
Russia is very reliant on revenue from exports, it wouldn't make much sense to stop exporting in normal circumstance, let alone in a war under severe sanctions.
Regardless of all this, prices are going to rise due to the war, etc.
Moving forward is momentum. Ukraine have not won 1 inch of land in 10 days. In another 10 days if Russia keep up the push they will have cut Ukraine in half. All forces directed west. What can Ukraine do about that. They are winning the media war but losing the important one.
I hope the civilians get to evacuate these area's before that happens.
Just idiotic to be relying on large levels of good imports to feed your population and population growth.
As for possible migrants, there won’t be any mood to take them in in Europe particularly with all our own resource issues. Europe’s borders are going to be a lot more fortress like after this
There needs to be a fundamental change of outlook. I'm not sure who Australia would be pointing their nukes at.
I'm not at all sure about the 'inevitable' part. By all accounts, the two armies are evenly matched at the moment and the Ukrainians have the advantage of having something to defend. It's far from a given that the Russians can take Kyiv.
They don't need to win anything for now. The Russians are the invaders and are barely doing anything at all with that invasion.
Unfortunately, if things escalate and the west gets involved, it doesn't end very well for anyone.
And by now, its an illegal organization in it self, AFAIK.
God, if this is true then the it seems that the writing on the wall, with regards to the Kremlin’s endgame…
So escalation is your theory/wish?
A ratio is of little value because the Ukrainians are not using vehicles in any great quantity. Their air force is already destroyed, all their mobile SAMs etc are destroyed. They possess armor but are not bringing it anywhere near the Russians currently.
They are engaging Russian vehicles with man-portable weapons - and indeed having success with them. But the ratio of kills will thus tend towards infinity because you destroy a vehicle with a javelin and there is no vehicle for the Russians to shot back at, only a man. That's not to say they are not having success, just that the ratio is not meaningful.
I don't think any of the numbers coming out of the region are accurate, neither the Ukrainian nor Russian. The claims of Russians running out of fuel "in the next few days" etc are dubious also. Regardless of whatever logistical problems they are having, they can resupply at a higher rate than Ukraine. Look at the length border that they control and all the potential supply routes it gives.
1/4 of Ukraine is in Russian hands already. In 10 days half?
We yield some of the highest in the world- sure the rainfall adds fungal diseases (you get different ones in drier climates too) and pressures from insects we wouldn’t have but it also makes us less vulnerable to droughts.
Barley and oats can be grown more widespread but we are definitely not in a bad place overall for grain production if it needs to increased- but fertiliser and input costs/availabity are going to be a big constraint
Ham(meat), cheese(dairy), Pastry(wheat), all reliant on dirt cheap grain.. it will go up too. Oatmeal, ryebread, barley loaves are the way to go(with a game filling). Reminds me, the world is too reliant on the big staple crops such as rice, wheat, maize (over 2/3rds of world rely on these). There are well over 80 regional stable crops for carbohydrate, think lentils, tapioca, cassava,sorghum, plantain, potato. This wiki sums it up
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Staple_food
But no major cities, so not much control of anything. They can't even supply what they have captured so if they extend to half they'll really struggle to keep it and be at risk of being driven back. Don't forget how big the place is, Kharkiv-Lviv is over 1,000 km and even Kyiv-Lviv is 500km.
A rifle in the hands of someone who hasn't had extensive military training has questionable value.
There is more aspects to combat and defense than having a gun.
The Russians aren't attacking with bows and arrows, despite what many here are alluding to.
Excuses to give Vlad what whatever he wants, brough to you by the sneaking regard fellow travel agency:
Reason No 45 in a never ending series: So he might stop killing civilians
Isn't Australia under the American nuclear umbrella via defence treaties in any case? Similar to Japan?
Would you stop peddling this nonsense. No-one, literally no-one, has said or is saying Ukraine can win a conventional war. The dogs in the street know this.
The Ukrainian plan is to hold fast and inflict crippling losses on Russia until they withdraw due to attrition, inability to continue logistically/financially, and crippling of their economy with escalating sanctions.
They're obviously not going to be launching big ground operations and grand counter-strokes and essentially throwing away resources when there's zero prospect of victory via that method.
The Russian invasion has gone as bad as it possibly could have, and worse than anyone would have predicted.
They also don't have anywhere near enough men to conquer Ukraine or to occupy big cities, let alone get involved into a meat grinder battle for those cities in the first place.
I don't know what their end-game is but it's not working. They can cut Ukraine "in half" on a map but they have nowhere near enough resources in the country to achieve anything meaningful on the ground.
The only way that fundamental change of outlook happens is if the entire world somehow starts to get along with each other.
I'm no expert in much of anything but I can't even begin to imagine what such a world might look like; let alone how we might actually get there.
ARe main crop is grass. our climate is most suited to grass production
"Their air force is already destroyed" - Source for this?
"I don't think any of the numbers coming out of the region are accurate" - Where are you getting your information from?
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