It will be interesting to see how long that pontoon bridge remains in place. Operation Allied Resolve is not due to end until February 20th.
Also there is a road a few km south of that bridge giving much easier access to the border.
I see Iraq is still being brought up ......
I wonder how many days can we go before certain people bring up comparison's
I'm quite happy there wasn't an invasion, I don't want one and never advocated one... no one wins if there is, so I don't get what the whole "I feel sorry for you" crap is. To believe a specific date is silly also. Anything I've tagged you in (and you've refused to respond to) is not US intelligence based. But I didn't expect you to either or @BluePlanet @BurgerFace for that matter. As, with the above post, you'll gaslight your way out of most questions.
I follow the OSINT, and that is still indicating there is invasion level troops on the boarder. The main exercises are due to end 20th so we'll see what leaves the boarders, and even more crucially, what leaves Belarus then.
I also follow Russia 1 TV, which at the weekend was openly discussing how Ukraine should be partitioned up, and with linked FSB agents on prime time TV saying that Donbass is close to having concentration camps where Russian's will be gassed and its time for Russia to step in and end the conflict..
The fact you think this is all finished with is even more hilarious.
Why? He's just repeating gossip in a breathless style to keep fuckwits excited. Absolutely no real information.
"People are still living", he excitedly announces, while his camera pans round an entirely empty space.
Worth keeping on a eye on this guys posts IMO
There is a sideshow to the antagonism between the US and Russian governments, the Magnitsky Act of 2012, paid for by Mr. William (Bill) Browder and supported by US senators Benjamin Cardin (D) and John McCain (R). Who is Bill Browder and what the hell has he got to do with Ukraine?
Nothing to do with Ukraine but much to do with Russian and American government relations. So much so that, that Russian president Putin bought him to the fore in front of the press in a meeting with US president Trump. Mr. Browder once worked for Robert Maxwell as an investment manager, that did not harm him and he eventually made his way to Russia via New York, running a firm called Hermitage Capital Management in Russia. HE fled Russia and took up UK citizenship. HSBC was fined £17 million by the Russian government for their part in the tax evasion.
Here is a review of the film The Magnitsky Act behind the scenes.
There is nothing to be won or lost on this thread, no special combination of words that will save a life or win an opponent to your cause, so I don't see why posters can't accept this and be civil to each other. Alternatively (and despite being anti-militarism myself I don't say the following ironically) some of the more excitable among ye could join some military somewhere and a) get some discipline and b) the ability to have an intelligent conversation about a topic without resorting to juvenile BS.
We're like the folks in Plato's cave; partially informed, looking at shadows on the wall, while 'messengers' whisper in our ears offering their interpretation of the shadows. And because this is our primary source of information we end up inflating it out of all proportion and --when it suits us-- mistaking shadows for reality.
Fact is, even if you were on the ground, even if you were embedded with military units, even if you were 4th in the line of command, even if you were in the Ukranian or Russian cabinet, you don't know whether the reports you are getting are true, what is left out, and whether your real enemies are 'themmuns' or your own.
Bickering about whether Russia/U.S. is stronger or more virtuous misses the point that ethics is a matter of personal responsibility and that the most important battles are internal and personal. Grandiose public shadow boxing displays are just that.
It's also a problem that small, civilized countries like Ireland have to navigate a world with giant trolls like the US/Russian/Chinese/UK/Et al. MICs in it. Surely what we should be doing is deconstructing MIC narratives wherever they arise, not lining up to wave flags for one or the other.
You should read about satelitte orbits,maybe you learn something
“I'm not a military strategist but I understand strategy”
Apparently not very well. You don’t hold an initial defensive line with tanks. In fact, if you have space to trade, you have as little as possible up front. It’s impossible for a defender to be strong enough everywhere to defend against even a smaller opposition striking at specific points of their choosing, so you keep your mobile forces further to the rear in order to react against such moves.
The timing of bringing up reserves is always tricky. It murders an economy, so the trick is rapid mobilization with time bought by units further forward.
Why can the US conduct "drills" 10,000k from America in places like the South China Sea, Gulf Of Oman, Persian Gulf, Straits of Hormuz, etc...yet the Russkis can't conduct drills on their own soil? Likewise why can't the Russkis fly a drone or a fighter in international airspace yet the US can do it in someone else's country?
Do you see ?
Now you may think that the US conducting drills off the coast of another country is just fine. Others might not. You have to look at things from others' perspectives before you jump to conclusions.
Think about it for a moment. If I'm outside your house with a gang of pitchforkers you're naturally going to feel under threat. If I tell everyone behind me that we are there to protect ourselves from you and the imminent threat that you pose. again you going to wonder who is telling the truth and to what end, no?
GDP has nothing to do with anything. Afghanistan is one of the most mineral rich countries on Earth as is the DRC. Ukraine has some of the most fertile farmland in the world The fact that the people of these countries are scratching around to make a live has nothing to do with how much wealth is under the soil.
I'm just wondering .....
Apparently Russia is imminently about to invade Ukraine with 100/130/170k troops on the border.
Ukraine have a military of a quarter of a million. Now if you had that at your disposal allegedly to defend your country then why aren't they all at the border awaiting the onslaught?
I'm not a military strategist but I understand strategy. You don't play a football match with no defenders or just one against 2 strikers and 4 or 5 attacking midfielders.
If the invasion is imminent then have the reserves been mobilised? Has a draft been implemented?
A Russian invasion...with 150k troops, haha. And not a single Ukrainian tank division on the border to stop this mythical attack.
If Russia wanted to invade Ukraine as we are led to believe then why would they not just shut off the lights until Ukraine were freezing and starving?
Ukraine's 3 biggest trading partners are China, Poland and ...RUSSIA. Stop trade for a day or two from China and Russia and the place is struggling. A week later it's on its knees without a shot being fired.
There's alot of 'likely' and 'if' in the report and of course what's this 'intelligence' based on - they don't say.
At least they don't say the 'invasion' is 'imminent' that's a welcome change!
🤣
Do tell which of my points have 'been ripped apart' and by whom, I'm sure it would be a surprise to both them and I.
One doesn't need to be Nostradamus, one just needs a little bit of political judgement and experience, things you seem sadly lacking
I've simply asked you and others to suspend their own bias and try to apply some critical thinking to what's going on, while there are a couple of posters on the 'imminent invasion' side who are a little more considered on the matter too many like you are just echoing the lazy propaganda of the US, UK and their puppets in NATO.
As for your last paragraph, it aptly demonstrates that you either haven't read my posts or you're content to lazily throw out any old sleight to avoid dealing with what I actually post...for someone who writes under the name 'TheTruth89' you seem to have no relationship with the concept of the 'truth'.
It would have been so simple to just photograph this massive buildup on Ukraine's "doorstep" yet not a single image...nothing. Also for each soldier you might need maybe 2 backup personnel....food, relief, etc. So for 2 months 150,000 troops have been amassed at the border. Where are the units that provide them with comms, food, water, medical supplies or do these soldiers just sit in the snow, never washing and just eat snow foxes for weeks on end?
20 years ago US satellites were able to detect Iraqi mobile chem-labs (except the labs were weather balloon stations). Surely they've improved the lenses on their cameras to accurately detect Russian troop movements. Apparently these sats can read a license plate....either they can or they can't and we were all led to believe a bunch of horsesh1t.
So, where are the satellite pics of Russian troops, tanks, batteries, etc?
Since the super intelligence have got it wrong again I wonder if they are competing with those religious cults like the 7 day adventists or the Jehovah gang. I think one of them holds the record for wrongly predicting the end of the world.
So when is the next imminent invasion gonna happen? I'm still waiting for Iran to "wipe Israel off the map" any day now. Been waiting since 2005.
Out of all of this what would a Russian invasion do to the European economies? Russians own vast reserves of commodities like metals and natural gas. Oil jumped up in price due to investors being worried gaining access to Russian crude oil reserves. A natural gas pipeline runs through Ukraine. On a wholescale level Poland and Germany would be rightly fucked with the amount of natural gas and oil that they import from the Russian (approx 20% for Germany - https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php?title=File:Share_of_extra_EU_imports_of_petroleum_oils_and_natural_gas_by_Member_State,_first_semester_2021.png) . Russia is also the third largest producer of wheat in the world - so expect inflation and a price increase in basic commodities
And surprise surprise --American natural gas exports to Europe are increasing...https://financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/feed-to-u-s-lng-export-plants-soars-as-7th-terminal-loads-first-cargo-2
Reminds me of Haliburton and Iraq...
Ya see, you didn't quite pick up on the colloquialism here. In Ireland we tend to affix a rough time to a statement, or even make the statement "I'm after" or similar.
This morning in this case means he was looking this stuff up, this morning.
Christ.
Estonian Foriegn intelligence also saying Russia are moving troops and missiles closer to the border and are likely to launch a limited military strike. Darn pesky Americans, first they set up cardboard cutouts of Russian soldiers and tanks on the border, and now they have infiltrated Estonia's intelligence agency and releasing false statements on their behalf!
They really needed to have these drills. Sure they got lost trying to find their way home
Why not hit first while they are all lined up in their parking lots? They are probably going to say there were attacked first anyway. At least get the first strike in, what's the worst that can happen?
The whole thing reminds me of hypernormalisation by Adam Curtis which talks about Putins shapeshifting:
Building bridges across rivers and driving tanks west... On the day they said they were finished exercises and packing up.
Who falls for their propaganda I've no idea.
Lots of ex soviet republic's found themselves in the same boat...but a few years in the EU, under democratic rule got them straightened out,,What about Russian today, for ordinary Russians ( not the select few, the oligarchs ) ? Where for every 1'000 births, there are 495 Abortions. Something radially wrong with a country where 1 /3 of the women prefer not to bring another Life into the world they live in, but cannot change. Like wise, for men, Alcohol is responsible for much larger proportion of death's than in the west, due not only to alcohol related health issues, but in terms of % of road traffic accident deaths. Over the years these figures have improved, certainly, but they are still very high, and contribute to the overall drop in population figures. Russia today, is far from paradise for ordinary Russians.
Mea culpa, happy to clarify you are correct
I'll man up and admit I made an error
You did. You said: "A quick search of the airbase near Kaliningrad this morning. Newer Russian Su-27's on the apron, with older airframes together with a couple of either Mi-8's or 17's minus rotors over near the hardened shelters." on post 4072
March is cold in Russia -1 to 6 degrees with rain and snow. The date of March 26th 2021 is probably the date Google uploaded them.
Sorry you're incorrect from day one you ve been pumping out anti west anti us pro Russian propaganda.
Your points have been ripped apart on multiple occasions by multiple posters you ve even been banned from the thread.
Even your "there will be no invasion"mantra is nonsensical are you Nostradamus?
Your trying to call people out for believing Russia will invade the Ukraine AGAIN! As they mass troops on the Ukraine boarder and Putin puts out an aggressive rethoric about an invasion.
But yeah ofc we should all listen to your ramblings as if they are fact when you can't even acknowledge the fact Russia is the bad guy here and has already infact invaded Ukraine.
Wonder how long before the little green men get replaced by little yellow men
As an aside and having watched a YouTube documentary on the Silk Road recently . It struck me just there and just checked that the economic Silk belt China is spending nearly a trillion dollars on passes right through.... Where to get to Moscow....... .?
Map here.
Coupled with Putin plans to control the Northern ice passage with the every growing global warming and building ports in siberia. perhaps he's seeking to shore up economic trade routes.
'Beaten', now how have you arrived at conclusion? I stated from day 1 here there would be no invasion while you and the rest of the 'imminent' club told us it was happening...we're still waiting. As for personal sleights, take a look in the mirror lad.
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