Advertisement
If you have a new account but are having problems posting or verifying your account, please email us on hello@boards.ie for help. Thanks :)
Hello all! Please ensure that you are posting a new thread or question in the appropriate forum. The Feedback forum is overwhelmed with questions that are having to be moved elsewhere. If you need help to verify your account contact hello@boards.ie
Hi all! We have been experiencing an issue on site where threads have been missing the latest postings. The platform host Vanilla are working on this issue. A workaround that has been used by some is to navigate back from 1 to 10+ pages to re-sync the thread and this will then show the latest posts. Thanks, Mike.
Hi there,
There is an issue with role permissions that is being worked on at the moment.
If you are having trouble with access or permissions on regional forums please post here to get access: https://www.boards.ie/discussion/2058365403/you-do-not-have-permission-for-that#latest

Brexit discussion thread XIV (Please read OP before posting)

1164165167169170333

Comments

  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,543 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    It's simple, easy to understand and provides a nice veil for xenophobia. The same people were then outraged when they had to get a petty visa to go to their villas.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users Posts: 4,831 ✭✭✭RobMc59


    The drivers I've spoken to work for either Hoyer(German company) or Bertschi(Swiss company) which would rule out 'hating on the EU or European workers by xenophobes' I'd say.



  • Registered Users Posts: 1,122 ✭✭✭mick087


    Lets hope the they do turn on the UK's elected government, i already think the tide is on its way out for Boris.

    Also its highlighting a another important role of low paid workers that are treated dreadful.

    Post edited by mick087 on


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,153 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    My point would be the numbers. How many people in the UK would be 'directly' affected by the phenomenon of their wages being forced down because of EU migrant workers.....are we talking well under 1% of the workforce? Seems it's just being used as an excuse by the usual suspects to attack the EU. It could only be happening in very specific industries that attract migrant workers in large numbers such as haulage and farm work.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 27,027 ✭✭✭✭breezy1985


    You think that working for EU companies stop people from being Brexiters or xenophobic ?

    I have met people who were foreign or had foreign parents/partners/children who were xenophobic Brexiters never mind being smart enough to have the critical thinking to realize they work for an EU company



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,666 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    its more complicated then that surely, firstly labour is always demand and supply, you would only need to look at the construction industry to figure that out, secondly if talking about trucking then in this case UK employers were and still are competing against German and Polish companies for example.

    Look on the bright side, A HGV driver can now earn more than a NHS diversity manager 😄 so good in this case to see useful blue collar and difficult work being rewarded

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,543 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Recreation & Hobbies Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Technology & Internet Moderators Posts: 92,466 Mod ✭✭✭✭Capt'n Midnight


    How exactly will 5,000 temporary visas will solve the ~ 100,000 driver shortage when there's people leaving the industry and loads heading for retirement. They are doing a U-turn which will cause conflict but still won't touch on the problem. And no, self driving trucks are nowhere near ready for use on the roads.


    New Freight Trends Emerge as 71% of all Republic of Ireland RoRo Traffic is Now Unaccompanied - also other changes, like less NI-UK traffic going through Dublin "ROI – GB traffic now accounts 67% of ROI volumes, compared to 84% two years ago." While the % to Europe has doubled.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,153 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas



    I saw one haulage expert suggest they'll be lucky to get 1000 or 2000 drivers taking them up on the visa offer.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,153 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    The visas are for only three months duration and end on Christmas Eve :

    https://twitter.com/BBCBreaking/status/1441877863498719237



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,085 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    There's Irish milk alright albeit it's being sourced from the NE part of the country.

    No doubt shipped to Scotland and then back again.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,085 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation


    That's a bit unfair. There's various reasons why people use different standards for the same tasks.

    I weigh myself in stones.

    And babies still continue to land in this world in pounds and ounces.

    I'm a land surveyor by trade and I'm currently working as a GIS Analyst, and you can bet your house that I'd be committed to Dundrum before I'd be using anything but SI units in work.

    There's cultural reasons why stones and pounds are used on RTÉ's OT. I've no idea why you feel that there's a "dumbening" involved here. Ridiculous.



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    I don't really understand why it's anathema to some on here to say that EU workers lowered wages in some industries. It isn't xenophobia or anti-EU to talk about facts.

    If you dismiss obvious things like that, why would a Brexiteer listen to any other opinions you might have.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,333 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    Because it's not true?

    The claim: Immigration has held down wages in the UK.

    Reality Check verdict: Current research suggests there was a small, negative impact on the wages of low-skilled workers, which was outweighed by other factors such as the impact of the financial crisis and rises in the minimum wage.




  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    "there was a small, negative impact on the wages of low-skilled workers"

    How can you say "EU workers lowered wages in some industries" is not true, with a quote that says it's true? By saying it's not true, you're arguing in absolutes which are easily disproven.

    Of course wages are impacted by an influx of people willing to work for less as the money goes further in their country. This is basic stuff and you can't deny it just because the overall net effect of immigration is positive.



  • Advertisement
  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,333 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody



    Because you skip the second half of the quote; the actual impact was minimal (it's estimated as an total impact of 5% impact for 1993 to 2007, that's a 5% lower salary for a 15 years total period with only impacting low skilled workers as it actually increased salary effect for mid and high skilled workers) compared to other actual issues. The fact is that minimum wage increases provided a higher percentage salary increase compared to the impact of immigration had for the same jobs. Hence; the reality is actually that lower skilled workers had an actual higher salary increase then they would have without immigration due to the increase in minimum wage and were not negatively impacted.

    Now I've provided an source and research papers to back up my position on the impact; you on the other hand have so far provided zero proof for your point and claim truths and facts that are your opinions. Care to share some actual proof?



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    The proof is in your post. You're claiming 0% impact whilst saying there was 5%.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,333 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody


    No, the proof is in my actual sources if you bothered to read them which actually back up what I'm saying; so once again give me a proper source for your claims please.

    The MAC concluded that other factors had a greater impact on wages, with all workers having done badly since the financial crisis. Real wages are still struggling to rise above where they were in 2008, but lower-skilled workers have done marginally better due to the minimum wage rising faster than average earnings.



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    This is ridiculous. Your own source is saying there was an impact and all I'm saying is that if we're to expect Brexiteers to listen to rational arguments, we have to admit that there was an impact when it comes to drivers.

    If your position is that EU migration had zero impact on driver salaries in the UK, you are simply driving people away from any other points you're making.

    Like we're on the same side here yet you're treating me like I'm a Brexiteer saying I didn't read what you linked when I actually did. The actual minimum wage is irrelevant. I have no idea why you'd bold that. The conversation is about how adding supply to the labour force puts the wages of drivers closer to that minimum wage.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Arts Moderators, Business & Finance Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 18,333 CMod ✭✭✭✭Nody



    No, what I'm saying is the actual studies done shows that minimum salary increase had a higher actual impact on salary increase for low skilled workers than the impact of immigration (i.e. low skilled workers were not negatively impacted because the increase from immigration salary impact was less than the increase from minimum wage which is what said jobs pay). That's what the papers state; you on the other hand keep making statements on impact without any actual source to back that up beyond "It's obvious" etc. stating it all as an actual fact and expects it to be accepted without a source. What I'm asking is that you actually back up your opinion, which is a brexit (among others) dead horse flogged over and over again as an fact, with some actual sources. What is the claimed impact that the immigration had that we're suppose to accept? What's the actual impact beyond minimum salary increases? Because I keep hearing how immigration drove down salaries yet I'm seeing zero actual facts to back it up. What drove salaries down was the financial crisis 2008, salaries have still not recovered. What has not driven the salary down is immigration; that's a boogy bear claim without actual figures to back it up.



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    Your position is that the obvious conclusions from both the theoretical economic impact of an increased supply of labour, and the fact wages have been going up in response to the recent decrease in supply of labour, should be discarded due to some hard to define reasons.

    And I have no idea why you say there are zero actual facts when you provided said facts:

    When it talks about a small impact, it looked at the period from 1993 to 2017, over which time average earnings for the lowest-paid rose by 55%. Using economic modelling, they estimated that - if there hadn't been European migration into the UK - that rise would have been around 5% higher.

    The following paragraph does not negate the above paragraph in the way you think it does.

    The MAC concluded that other factors had a greater impact on wages, with all workers having done badly since the financial crisis. Real wages are still struggling to rise above where they were in 2008, but lower-skilled workers have done marginally better due to the minimum wage rising faster than average earnings.

    All of these things can be true together. 2008 is irrelevant. It having an impact does not mean EU migration didn't.

    You might as well argue with the wife that your beer absolutely does not make you fat because the fast food you eat has an even bigger impact.



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,543 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    Because the problem is massive inequality and closing the door to EU migrants has been shown to be the abysmal idea it always was. A 5% adjustment in wages for some sectors isn't going to fix the housing crisis here. Brexiters weren't saying it was 5%, they were saying that the reason people couldn't get houses was because of immigration. A carer in London on less than £20,000 per annum won't be any closer to home ownership if they receive an additional £1,000. The day after the referendum, the Brexiters went silent on wages. I wonder why.

    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,666 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 34,104 ✭✭✭✭listermint


    As usual a post is so nose close to the wall that they can't step back and look at a wider picture. Immigration stimulates economic activity across the board resulting in more jobs and faster increases in wages. It does in reality the entirely opposite of what your think it does.

    I would suggest taking two steps back from the wall take a look left and take a look right you may actually see what the reality is in terms of improvements for everyone. I'd even go as far as suggesting most people on the ground have no actual problems with immigration at all because people aren't actually jingoistic lunatics like farage using fears as a tool and a wedge to make money off people.


    The notion that immigration actual harms the Economy is laughable. But I would love for you to prove how it has diminished the lives of workers. Shoot!



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators, Social & Fun Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 39,543 CMod ✭✭✭✭ancapailldorcha


    The foreigner residing among you must be treated as your native-born. Love them as yourself, for you were foreigners in Egypt. I am the LORD your God.

    Leviticus 19:34



  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    Well, it is cultural, but culture changes with time. We no longer uses horses for travel, so we no longer reference them in everyday speech.

    You say you weigh yourself in stones - so it is not an electronic scales if it is like mine. If you set it to stones, it gives stones and decimal stones. Or it can be set to pounds and decimal pounds. So it is set to Kilograms. If the number increases, then I am getting heavier.

    I heard a presenter on the BBC describe some place as the size of 5 football pitches, Now, I have no concept of how big a football pitch is as I do not play or even follow football, and when you put 5 football pitches together, do you include the bits you need in between these pitches? A meaningless description of area - a bit like 'millions of degrees (Fahrenheit)' as the same description would apply to Celsius.

    Just as media in Ireland should use Irish spelling, they should use SI units as a primary measure, and not obsolete measures - they can reference them as a translation. It is by thus using them universally that they become customary, and they fall away from everyday speech. However, 'spending a penny' will continue to have a specific meaning to most people.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 15,847 ✭✭✭✭Beechwoodspark


    For what it’s worth..

    have a friend in the haulage industry. He said to me that Irish and EU hauliers actively avoid Uk jobs. way too much hassle delays and paperwork etc

    this Uk work permit for hauliers wheeze won’t work, he guaranteed.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,540 ✭✭✭yagan


    I remember the Skynews or BBC reporters in the Italian covid wards when it was taking off there but when it hit Britain they didn't do the same. It was such a weird thing, fine to stick their beak into other peoples horror but stay stum when it's own.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,508 ✭✭✭✭ArmaniJeanss


    These aren't 'through the UK jobs' though, so the delays/paperwork shouldn't be an issue once (if) they get there. The jobs are within the UK, e.g., pick a delivery up in a UK warehouse and deliver it to a succession of UK stores. Repeat twice a day for 3 months.

    Which is not to say the visa idea will work - but at 5,000 they have probably aimed it low enough that it's a reachable target.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,540 ✭✭✭yagan


    Another thing is will EU licenses be accepted commercially?

    If they do allow it it may open up other precedents that will not be able to back down from.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,666 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    I popped into the M&S in Blackrock last week, sign saying "supporting Irish farmers" milk from NI lol . their shelves were full though, fresh and packaged

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Posts: 17,378 ✭✭✭✭ [Deleted User]



    I'm not trying to make that point at all. I think migration within the EU is good. Have I ever been pro-Brexit or anti-EU on here? But I think it's ok in a Brexit context to say that yes, sometimes in certain industries, it lowers wages. Whether or not it does actually do that is a complicated question but what I've noticed on this thread is that any utterance of the possibility is seen as pro-Brexit anti-EU propaganda and that makes it echo-chamberish.

    It comes down to two scenarios; it absolutely never impacts wages whatsoever, or it does. I'm arguing that it's ok to say that it's sometimes the latter, which is far more reasonable than the absolute No and mockery of the notion. The link provided by Nody said there was a 5% difference in those years. To argue that being in a union that gives freedom of movement to poorer countries absolutely does not impact wages whatsoever holds as much water as saying outsourcing to India or China absolutely does not impact wages paid by EU companies, even though that is patently untrue.

    Anyways, it doesn't matter. It's more a commentary on the thread than a political topic.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,153 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    The 'drives down wages' thing always sounds like a concocted device to justify hating on the EU and EU citizens. Brexiteers and Leave voters don't appear to have heard of market forces. There are numerous different variables at play in an economy which decide wage rates.

    Also, you can't have a discussion on wage impacts without discussing the many benefits the exact same workers are bringing to the economy (but that's the discussion the Brexiteers are having....that EU migrant workers are a drain and a burden on the economy and that the UK would be far better off without them).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,153 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    There is virtually nothing in this visa scheme offer that would appeal to EU drivers, not unless they were offering them £3000 a week or something to do the job.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 13,810 ✭✭✭✭Igotadose


    So, if the UK run out of natural gas (or it becomes prohibitively expensive,) given Ireland's dependence on the UK for its natural gas, what happens here? Is there an LNG terminal in Ireland? I thought there's been one under debate along the Shannon for some time with no progress, and there are actually no real reserves, except a few fields nearly played out. The bulk comes from Scotland. I'm sure there are contracts, but why wouldn't the UK simply redirect in a 'national emergency?'



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    I don’t think this trucker issue is resolvable. The U.K. really isn’t going to step back from it.

    They aren’t putting anything attractive on the table. It’s cumbersome, deliberate inflexible, very expensive and extremely unwelcoming and the people trying trying to attract have little or no incentive to operate there.

    I think you’re going to see a huge mess before they become realistic about it.

    They don’t seem to understand they are operating in a market place for a pool of labour and they’re offering nothing.

    There isn’t some kind of entitlement.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Oafley Jones


    How closely were you looking, because any store I’ve been in has been a wreck. There’s no way they were anywhere close to what they should be. Bare in mind that they announced this week they’d cut 800 lines to Irish stores.



  • Registered Users Posts: 480 ✭✭CptMonkey


    Sure have m&s stopped the food for Christmas that you could have ordered in advance because they are so unsure of their supply lines.

    make you wonder how long before they pull out of Ireland altogether



  • Moderators, Category Moderators, Entertainment Moderators Posts: 36,711 CMod ✭✭✭✭pixelburp


    I wonder if @silverharp was in a food and clothes stores; would stand to reason the larger, more boilerplate stores be stocked better than the "M&S Food" outlets like mine, whose stock is almost permanently threadbare. And as @CptMonkey remarked they're not even doing Christmas food now.

    I don't think they'll pull out of Ireland totally, but wouldn't be surprised if they consolidated their operation here, and closed up the food outlets. The stores still have their clothes and homeware departments - to that, I wonder if brexit has had less effect on that part, given the products would be coming from China, Vietnam etc.



  • Advertisement
  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    To be quite honest, I wouldn't use M&S as a bellwether. They've a long history of international expansions that tend to go horribly wrong, mostly because they've demonstrated a lot of extreme inflexibility, over centralisation and inability to adapt or localise. Their Irish stores weren't really part of that expansion, as they pretty much operated in Ireland as if it were part of 'the mother ship' with almost zero localisation. It was just treated as an extension of their home market.

    They made a lot of money in their Irish stores over the years, and some of their prime locations here have been amongst their most profitable outlets anywhere. So, I don't think they're going to be in a rush to close them unless they really can't figure out how to make things work.

    Brexit's a mess, but I think other retail groups are likely to be far more able to adapt and work around, particularly anyone who has a decent presence in the EU, other than just in Ireland. The big British owned retailer here is Tesco and their Irish operation is really a stand alone business that was built on the purchase of Quinnsworth. So, it's quite capable of adapting and isn't really that dependent on the UK operations and also has significant scale in its own right.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,666 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    its the one in the Frascati centre in Blackrock, its just a food store, maybe its their Potemkin store? more wives of senior civil servants per square foot of shopping space than anywhere in South Dublin, ha ha

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Oafley Jones


    My primary point of reference is the Patricks St. store which at 50k sq feet is a decent size for Marks. The other is Douglas, while a lot smaller is also grocery/drapery. It’s be a shame to lose them, not only for the jobs lost, but it’s be another vacancy on already diminished Main Street. They were fantastic employers too, my sister worked there part time while I was in Dunnes. To say there was a difference in benefits (even to part timers like ourselves) would be an understatement, it was night and day.

    Convolved is right in a way, they’re a terrible bellwether for Irish stores, but they do highlight an awful lot of the issues surrounding Brexit to an inwardly focused British outfit. To centralise distribution in Scotland three or four years back is just a head scratcher. But then again Marks do seem to have a talent for less than stellar executive appointments.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,540 ✭✭✭yagan


    http://ireland2050.ie/questions/where-does-irelands-gas-come-from-and-what-determines-its-price/

    "We can access gas at wholesale prices which are in line with European market prices as the gas market in Britain is competitive. Direct imports of gas into Ireland (for example through an LNG import facility) would be possible but would only be viable if the tariff for such a facility was less than the pipeline transport cost between Britain and Ireland"

    Basically we switch to cheaper EU gas once the piped British gas becomes more expensive.



  • Registered Users Posts: 480 ✭✭CptMonkey


    I always wondered why they didn’t source more here but i never thought that they looked at the market here as just an extension of the wider UK one. Makes more sense now



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,506 ✭✭✭Oafley Jones



    The Irish stores were some of the few bright spots in a perennially underperforming chain. I wonder whether separating them out would have further brought scrutiny as to the state of stores in the UK.



  • Advertisement
  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 19,085 ✭✭✭✭BonnieSituation




  • Moderators, Science, Health & Environment Moderators Posts: 19,862 Mod ✭✭✭✭Sam Russell


    The Irish M&S stores were more profitable because they charged 20% more than the UK stores, and shoppers that frequented M&S here paid it. They imported every thing from GB, and ran it as if it were a UK store, but just higher prices.

    I wonder how long the Irish market will take to move away from the lazy approach of sourcing from GB rather than from EU suppliers?

    Do the German and French auto manufacturers still treat Ireland as part of the RHD market rather than part of the EU market? The cars are made on the same assembly line, or could be.



  • Posts: 0 [Deleted User]


    Ireland is part of the RHD market. There's no real getting around that. It's probably one of the biggest issues we face. Everything else is rather minor from the point of view of legacy UK technical standards.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,666 ✭✭✭✭silverharp


    why is it an "issue"?, as long as Europe wants to sell cars to Britain they will keep making them, plus Japan is RHD and any brand of note sells to that market.

    A belief in gender identity involves a level of faith as there is nothing tangible to prove its existence which, as something divorced from the physical body, is similar to the idea of a soul. - Colette Colfer



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,540 ✭✭✭yagan


    What's the problem?

    There's dealers switched to importing used European cars from Japan as it's cheaper than from Britain.



  • Advertisement
Advertisement