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Orange Wind Warning for Cork & Kerry - Strong Winds 10th & 11th March

M.T. Cranium

If there was a choice of LEVEL 0 Weather Watch that's what I would have chosen as the prefix ... but with broad model agreement on a strong wind event late Wednesday, it seems unlikely not to verify within 24 hours of the given timing as a level one at least, maps at the present time are consistent with Level 2 outcomes (orange level warnings). That could change, of course.

The winds are expected to be generated by an accelerating and deepening low currently in developmental stages between Bermuda and New England (closer to Bermuda). It's very little to see today, but is expected to generate a well-organized low southeast of Newfoundland by Monday. That would continue to head east-north-east under steadily increasing upper level winds being forced into a tight gradient by Tuesday by a polar vortex dropping south near Iceland.

This could all come to nothing, of course, but with just about every model showing a tight gradient of westerly winds sweeping through Ireland on Wednesday night, I thought maybe now would be as good a time as any to start discussing it, especially with the current weather pattern being such that we are slowly losing members to the philately and necromancy forums.

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Graces7

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Yes, expect winds to ramp up there after mid-day with the peak probably around midnight, some indications that the strongest winds may hit the southwest and the south coast but I would expect Galway Bay and Clare coast to be keeping pace, may be about equal max gusts at the usual locations. (I had meant that for graces7 in terms of timing but would probably apply to anyone in the west really).

Thanks! All is set; bitterly cold out there and ocean and sky a dark sinister foreboding gray. Ominous. And at least if power goes, as they are warning it may, the daylight is longer these days.

"wave overtopping"?

West Mayo offshore

Graces7

The wind has woken already after a flat calm while. Considerable loud gusts

Indeed it has really kicked off now..10.30

West Mayo offshore

Storm 10

Could this be upgraded later today it looks to be a big enough storm

Gaoth Laidir

Airport warnings.

DUBLIN EIDW AD WRNG 01 VALID 101500/110600 WIND SFC SW 20-25KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 1100/1102 SW 25-30KT MAX 45-50 FCST=

CASEMENT EIME AD WRNG 01 VALID 101200/110600 WIND SFC SSW 25-30KT MAX 45-50 BECMG 1102/1104 W 25-30KT MAX 45-50 FCST=

CORK EICK AD WRNG 01 VALID 101400/110500 WIND SFC SW 30-35KT MAX 50-55 BECMG 1101/1103 W 30-35KT MAX 50-55 FCST=

SHANNON EINN AD WRNG 01 VALID 101500/110400 WIND SFC SW 25-30KT MAX 45-50 BECMG 1100/1102 W 25-30KT MAX 45-50 FCST=

KNOCK EIKN AD WRNG 01 VALID 101400/110400 WIND SFC SW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 1100/1102 W 20-25KT MAX 35-40 FCST=

mickger844posts

Gaoth Laidir wrote: »

Airport warnings.

DUBLIN EIDW AD WRNG 01 VALID 101500/110600 WIND SFC SW 20-25KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 1100/1102 SW 25-30KT MAX 45-50 FCST=

CASEMENT EIME AD WRNG 01 VALID 101200/110600 WIND SFC SSW 25-30KT MAX 45-50 BECMG 1102/1104 W 25-30KT MAX 45-50 FCST=

CORK EICK AD WRNG 01 VALID 101400/110500 WIND SFC SW 30-35KT MAX 50-55 BECMG 1101/1103 W 30-35KT MAX 50-55 FCST=

SHANNON EINN AD WRNG 01 VALID 101500/110400 WIND SFC SW 25-30KT MAX 45-50 BECMG 1100/1102 W 25-30KT MAX 45-50 FCST=

KNOCK EIKN AD WRNG 01 VALID 101400/110400 WIND SFC SW 25-30KT MAX 40-45 BECMG 1100/1102 W 20-25KT MAX 35-40 FCST=

Waterford

--- TAFS() ---
TAF EIWF(WATERFORD) 100800Z 1009/1018 22010KT 3000 -DZ BR SCT001
BKN003 BECMG 1009/1011 21015G25KT TEMPO 1009/1016 0300 -RADZ FG BKN001
BECMG 1011/1013 22022G35KT BECMG 1014/1016 22025G48KT BECMG 1016/1018
9999 -RA SCT004 BKN012 =

Storm 10

Swear lads you could not make this up, Galway City Council warning about flooded car parks, they have all car parks at Salthill closed off since January.

https://twitter.com/GalwayCityCo/status/1369578855980208135?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet

HappyDaze007

Has this storm been named

sdanseo

Not as yet, no orange warning for land.

adocholiday

ICON and AROME both forecasting gusts near 100kph in the Wicklow/Dublin areas at around 4am-5am tomorrow, looks to be the worst of it for this part of the country.

Meteorite58

Arome has backed off a tad on the highest winds in the SW, still strong mind you gusting to 110 km/h , maybe more along the coastal fringes and high ground.
Have included ICON Flash to see how well it does, showing stronger winds in the SW. One thing to note is the high winds that both models are showing in S Wexford / S Waterford in the early morning, more so closer to the coasts. AROME showing gusting up to 120 km/h, ICON flash showing touching 130 km/h on the coast. Will see if they get anything like that.

gozunda

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Yes, expect winds to ramp up there after mid-day with the peak probably around midnight, some indications that the strongest winds may hit the southwest and the south coast but I would expect Galway Bay and Clare coast to be keeping pace, may be about equal max gusts at the usual locations. (I had meant that for graces7 in terms of timing but would probably apply to anyone in the west really).

So main winds coming from south - south west direction or does that change as the front moves through?

M.T. Cranium

Direction likely to veer SSW to WSW, may reach due west at times late overnight then settle back to WSW on Thursday. M6 buoy gusts to 94 km/hr at 11z then slight decrease for 12z, satellite imagery appears to have strongest frontal zone approaching west coast around 3-5 p.m. ... could be some squally showers with that.

Graces7

M.T. Cranium wrote: »

Direction likely to veer SSW to WSW, may reach due west at times late overnight then settle back to WSW on Thursday. M6 buoy gusts to 94 km/hr at 11z then slight decrease for 12z, satellite imagery appears to have strongest frontal zone approaching west coast around 3-5 p.m. ... could be some squally showers with that.

Interesting and informative... Already wild and loud but the place is not shaking yet. ( That is my criterion!) I knew the wind direction as the stove fire has been very reluctant to light.

Storm 10

Very windy in Galway in the past hour my weather station hitting 60 mph in gusts

igCorcaigh

There's the upgrade to Orange for Cork and Kerry.

Xenji

Status Orange - Wind warning for Cork, Kerry
Met Éireann Weather Warning

Southwest to west winds will reach mean speeds of 65 to 80km/h with damaging gusts to 120km/h for a time early tonight and some wave overtopping.

Valid: 20:00 Wednesday 10/03/2021 to 00:00 Thursday 11/03/2021

Issued: 20:00 Wednesday 10/03/2021

Status: Yellow
Strong to gale force southwesterly winds, veering westerly will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110km/h and a risk of some wave overtopping in coastal areas.
Status Yellow - Wind warning for Leinster, Munster, Connacht
Met Éireann Weather Warning

Strong to gale force southwesterly winds, veering westerly will reach mean speeds of 50 to 65km/h with gusts of 90 to 110km/h and a risk of some wave overtopping in coastal areas.

Valid: 13:11 Wednesday 10/03/2021 to 07:00 Thursday 11/03/2021

Issued: 13:11 Wednesday 10/03/2021

corsav6

Upgrade to orange now for Cork and Kerry.

Fairly strong gusts here now outside Newport, Mayo.

thomil

Warning upgraded to Orange for tonight between 8 PM and midnight, Cork and Kerry covered by that warning as igCorcaigh stated above.

aisling86

Have been waiting for that update as its really kicked up a gear since 1pm in macroom.

pauldry

Would imagine Roches Point, Valentia and Sherkin will see some high gusts tipping the 115 to 120 mark around 8 to midnight

Graces7

Welcome to Orange . ! Being coastal out here... Very wild now

corsav6

Graces7 wrote: »

Welcome to Orange . ! Being coastal out here... Very wild now

Certainly in the higher end yellow here outside Newport with some very strong gusts.

Xenji

corsav6 wrote: »

Certainly in the higher end yellow here outside Newport with some very strong gusts.

Wild in Castlebar now as well.

SleetAndSnow

Winds really starting to pick up in Cork City, just had a gust of 41kts.

jackrussel

Has this been named yet or are they still resisting?

SleetAndSnow

jackrussel wrote: »

Has this been named yet or are they still resisting?

For some reason, it is still unnamed

Storm 10

Fairly sharp drop off in the wind in Galway at present perhaps the centre is nearby.

Graces7

Xenji wrote: »

Wild in Castlebar now as well.

This place literally shakes in strong gales! I thought it would take off in Callum. And yesterday was starting to tremble. Not a quiver just now.

Needless to say no post and no ferries! Again; I rather enjoy being cut off.

Incidentally we wondered what winds the rescue helicopters could withstand ?

Snowbie

Blustery afternoon, some bright spells after this mornings rain.

Done an update to my original weather warnings if any is interested

https://youtu.be/KRteLK2JGyk

Dazler97

My mams window in Carrick on Shannon was blown open by the wind last night just as well she got it fixed this morning. Wind starting to pick up but blue sky starting to come through