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Snow watch until Sunday 24th (N,W,SW most at risk)

Kermit.de.frog

Thread for flooding potential Connaught, North Leinster, South Ulster through Monday night/Tuesday/first half of Wednesday.

Heavy snow potential second half of Wednesday particularly Leinster and Munster. Much colder by evening.

Surprised a thread wasn't started for the flood potential. Will update this OP in the morning.

Interesting 48 hours to come from tonight to say the least.

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DOCARCH

Precipitation stopped here in (my part of) Dublin 16. 2.4c atm.

Gaoth Laidir

Rebelbrowser wrote: »

GL, are the actual conditions / metrics we are seeing giving you any pause to think that for some this might not just be a high ground event (I should say up to now I agreed with your view that this would be a non event). Things seem to me to be a bit more conducive to snow than the models suggested?

No, it's turning out as expected. Altitude counts for a lot, but lowest levels it's rain/sleet/slop. Sleety rain was all that fell in Tallaght, 100 m amsl.

Grogu1983

It's pretty heavy here now, fingers crossed it starts to stick 😬

Gonzo

clearance here now in Dunshaughlin and blue skies appearing.

United road

Moderate snow now Stepaside
Cars turning white, but slush mess on grass!

Can see nice dusting on dublin mountains from back garden, only 50m higher than here but makes big difference in terms of sticking

CirrusBusiness

Nice bit of snow on the hills around Killeshin to Rossmore area outside Carlow.

munsterlegend

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

It's frustrating how close we were to a real snow event here.

February Frog. You and Miss Piggy will be frolicking in the snow on the 14th.

ninebeanrows

Meanwhile in Baltinglass the air temp is 0.4 and the grass is beginning to turn a little white.

Artane2002

not even a hint of sleetiness in the rain here in Dublin 5

anyway, this week has been a shocker so far, it's looking better over the next few days at least.

wicklowdub

Light rain since about 10 00am in Shankill D18. Feels colder out now than earlier.

ninebeanrows

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

It's frustrating how close we were to a real snow event here.

Next few hours look like ok chance in southeast Leinster....unfortunately I think we are out of the action here, too far north.

[Deleted User]

Grogu1983 wrote: »

light snow just started in Tinahely wicklow

I'm getting scared,I can practically see it from here

Thats a lot of populated areas seeing snow now which puts this not at the bottom of events

DOCARCH

esposito wrote: »

Starting to turn to snow here in Sandyford, Dublin 16

Some heavier precipitation, with better flakes, now in (my part of) Dublin 16. 2.5c atm.

heffoo

Snowing and starting to stick just outside kockananna

Cw85

Nothing but rain in Carlow town as expected, temp around 3 degrees all day

esposito

Starting to turn to snow here in Sandyford, Dublin 16

Kermit.de.frog

It's frustrating how close we were to a real snow event here.

Grogu1983

light snow just started in Tinahely wicklow

Kermit.de.frog

He's right if you take the GFS forecast at face value (it has dew points sub -5 further south toward the weekend) but when it comes to DPs especially, from my experience with all the models, is that it's always a good policy to add a couple of degrees.

Seems likely there will be snow showers for many from time to time but it's not a particularly frigid airmass - temperatures are universally a few degrees above freezing by day for the next 4 or 5 days with night time temperatures a few degrees below freezing away from immediate windward coasts.

My thinking is night time snow, morning thaw type scenario with an occasional top up possible by day.

Nothing spectacular but we'll take it.

mickger844posts

Sleet getting that bit heavier here with a flake or two of snow thrown in for good measure. 15.5mm of rain recorded thus far. Temp 2.5c WB 2.4c Just on the wrong side of marginal as is mostly the case.

https://www.waterfordcityweather.com

pistolpetes11

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

That’s not true. Dew points are as low as -3c on Friday, with freezing levels <400 metres.

MOD NOTE

I think what you meant to say was you don't agree with that , in your opinion the dew points will be around -3 and freezing levels below 400 meters so you would expect snow .

Saying its not true , is not the correct way to get YOUR opinion across

BLIZZARD7

Mainly (light) rain/sleet here in D14

highdef

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

That’s not true. Dew points are as low as -3c on Friday, with freezing levels <400 metres.

I think Kermit means even coastal areas of Ulster may see some showers of just rain and sleet.

Timistry

Snow falling on the Comeraghs and Slievenamon. Currently 3.5C outside Clonmel

[Deleted User]

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

Snowing here now incidentally, wet flakes.

A lot more flakes here but It's still sleet

Nqp15hhu

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

There could be snow showers anywhere over the next few days but there will be sleet and rain as well including in Ulster.

That’s not true. Dew points are as low as -3c on Friday, with freezing levels <400 metres.

DOCARCH

TTLF wrote: »

we have flakes at D14. Lets goooooooo

Precipitation is light now in Dublin 16, but am seeing (wet) flakes. 2.8c atm.

Kermit.de.frog

Nqp15hhu wrote: »

The next snow event is snow showers in Ulster Thursday night onwards....

There could be snow showers anywhere over the next few days but there will be sleet and rain as well including in Ulster.

Kermit.de.frog

Snowing here now incidentally, wet flakes.

TTLF

we have flakes at D14. Lets goooooooo