US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346644503772463106

Sums it up. Lots of votes around Atlanlta yet to go.

letowski

Agreed, we were supposed to have some bit of a red mirage, especially after Cherokee county and other rural counties counted first.

It’s just mostly the cities of Atlanta and Savannah left now. Warnock is actually from Savannah himself. Loeffler is goosed, Perdue might hold on, but I don’t think so.

Jaded Walker

Warnock looking very strong, the concern is if Ossoff can pull it off.
Massive opportunity for great change in the next two years if the Dems pull it off.

Larbre34

[Deleted User] wrote: »

Looking that way. Should shift red as it goes on I reckon.

Nope.

Local TV affiliates already writing off Loeffler. The momentum isn't with Purdue either. Dems are outperforming in more than enough counties.

Larbre34

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

One of republicans on CNN was pretty stinging in his criticism of Trump. Meant from party itself, not voter base.

They've a funny way of showing it.

namloc1980

If these both turn blue Kamala Harris is going to be a busy woman presiding over the Senate.

Rjd2 wrote: »

They aren't though.

It's much more likely that weeks of Trump moaning about the election been supposedly stolen and how useless the Georgia GOP are has got through to his base and they have stayed at home.

One of republicans on CNN was pretty stinging in his criticism of Trump. Meant from party itself, not voter base.

Carfacemandog

BonnieSituation wrote: »

GOP will win both the way the numbers are going.

50-50 now with 63% in.

I'd say they'll split them though.

The way the numbers are falling between both races, Loeffler is definitely not getting all of the Perdue votes.

Interestingly, the democrat candidates are outperforming in about 90% of counties/vote blocks returned this far. The republican ones appear to have outperformed on just 3 of 40 (with a small handful going exactly as predicted), though there's obviously plenty left to go still.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/01/05/us/elections/forecast-georgia-senate-runoff.html

Both Dems are running behind Biden's % with 87% counted in Fulton County (Atlanta).

Rjd2

WoollyRedHat wrote: »

Republicans turning on Trump on live TV, delightful.

They aren't though.

It's much more likely that weeks of Trump moaning about the election been supposedly stolen and how useless the Georgia GOP are has got through to his base and they have stayed at home.

letowski

Loeffler is a beaten docket.

GOP strategists disagree.

[Deleted User]

Kermit.de.frog wrote: »

hmmm 90% are early votes - doesn't look great for dems then?

Looking that way. Should shift red as it goes on I reckon.

Overheal wrote: »

Am I looking at a clear Dem win or are we in for a “Red” shift?

GOP will win both the way the numbers are going.

50-50 now with 63% in.

I'd say they'll split them though.

The way the numbers are falling between both races, Loeffler is definitely not getting all of the Perdue votes.

When Trump said he needed 11k votes, maybe he was looking into a future ball for senate run-offs.

marno21 wrote: »

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346637547917762563

Many Dem districts trending more towards the Dems compared with Biden. Many GOP districts are having poor turnout and GOP candidates winning by less than Trump.

Looks like having no Trump on the ballot is an issue for GOP turnout.

Republicans turning on Trump on live TV, delightful.

https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/1346637547917762563

Many Dem districts trending more towards the Dems compared with Biden. Many GOP districts are having poor turnout and GOP candidates winning by less than Trump.

Looks like having no Trump on the ballot is an issue for GOP turnout.

Dems looking good for sweep here?

namloc1980

Loeffler is proof that simply having an R next to your name gets votes. Awful candidate.

Last 600k votes have been from GOP districts (in line with expectations).

Lots of votes to come yet from Atlanta and the other blue areas.

Kermit.de.frog

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Early vote expected to be 72% of overall vote

53D-47R (50% counted)

Of the votes currently in, 90% are early votes.

hmmm 90% are early votes - doesn't look great for dems then?

Brian?

Overheal wrote: »

Am I looking at a clear Dem win or are we in for a “Red” shift?

I’m guessing a marginal win for the Dems. But it’s going to be close.

Overheal

Am I looking at a clear Dem win or are we in for a “Red” shift?

The lead tightening for the Dems.

Down to 52-48 now with 54% counted.

Early vote expected to be 72% of overall vote

53D-47R (50% counted)

Of the votes currently in, 90% are early votes.

letowski

Good start by the Dems, in particular Warnock.

Turnout down in Republican areas by about 10-15%, plus the two incumbents aren’t meeting their November splits. However it’s still early days and we have no clue what’s going on in Atlanta.

Tell me how

Timberrrrrrrr wrote: »

Any idea of when the full result will be in? Off work tomorrow but don't fancy pulling an all nighter like election night.

Follow a journalist who is commenting on this on social media and said that a result will not be in until at least tomorrow afternoon and possibly a few days if it is going to be close (which it looks to be) and his advice was that there is no need to stay up late tonight.

55D-45R now with 43% in.

Both races, as you would expect, are tracking each other.

It's 2030 US-ET now and the counts will continue til 2am. So we should have a fair idea around midnight US-ET.

Timberrrrrrrr

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Perhaps this is a more appropriate thread rather than the DJT thread for Georgia talk.

Have CNN on here.
Quarter of the vote in and it's 53-47 to the Dems in both races.

Any idea of when the full result will be in? Off work tomorrow but don't fancy pulling an all nighter like election night.