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Share Picks 2020

beertons

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roosterman71

What's going on with $CRON? Was tipped here some time back and I added to my watchlist. Has jumped in the last couple of days

Shedite27

PHG wrote: »

I reopened my trading in May.

I am trying to work out my PnL. The reason was I had cash on to the side and thought I may invest XXXX EUR. However that figure was adjusted (thankfully for the right reasons).

How do I calculate my PnL base don the changes? I have bought shares in different months and then sells. e.g

- Buy 1000 EUR share 1 in June
- Buy 1000 EUR share 2 in July. (portfolio size is now 2000)
- Close Share 2 for a loss of 50 in August (Investment size now 1950 due to the loss)
- Buy 1000 EUR Share 3 in Sept (Invested size now 2050 to include the loss and an extra 50 to make it to 1000)
- Close Share 1 for a profit of 60 (Portfolio size is now 2100 but only 10 of it is profit).
- The value of my stock portfolio has probably tripled in the last few months but I never hold more than 5 stocks and usually at equeal weighting.

*** I am excluding TC's above for argument sake and figures are examples not exact.

At the start of next year I have a fixed amount set aside and current PnL will be crystallised so on Jan 1st my total amount able to invest will be fixed and back to 0 PnL. E.g. I have 10k to invest, currently there is 6k in investments and 4k cash to use to buy, so at the end of next year my PnL will be (Account value - 10k)

My Speculative and Crypto have not changed in size since day 1 so they are simple, the above is whats annoying me as I have a bet on with a mate that I could beat the S&P between June and EOY :P

A quick rule of thumb for helping simplify calculations, ignore the shares you invest in. It's just how much you put into your account, and how much your account is worth now, that really counts.

Setting up a CAGR calculator is good for keeping track of how you're doing
https://cagrcalculator.net/cagr-calculation-in-excel/

RIGOLO

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

CRSR - they've had decent run last few weeks going from 18 to 28...results are out on Monday, not sure how to play this...will we see it doing a logitech or we'll see a sell-off...I'm inclined to sell them and take the profit now...

FWIW as fas as I can see peripherals are booming
.. my LOGITECH DEC21 calls were up this week , PLT (Plantronics) another peripherals play are booming, I was a quarter too early to jump on them so missed this fortnights ride. PLT popped considerably on their earnings beat

I have some dry powder going to pick up some CRSR, I know you have tipped them way back but based on LOGI and PLT gaining after earnings beats Im in.

Caveat Emptor : Calling how the market will react to earnings these days is near impossible to guarantee.

Nemeses2050

CRSR - they've had decent run last few weeks going from 18 to 28...results are out on Monday, not sure how to play this...will we see it doing a logitech or we'll see a sell-off...I'm inclined to sell them and take the profit now...

@Jim - Man, if you think you know so much and you're brilliant you can share that as other folks do...instead of trying to pick bones of every second post....if not seriously you can sod off

PHG

I reopened my trading in May.

I am trying to work out my PnL. The reason was I had cash on to the side and thought I may invest XXXX EUR. However that figure was adjusted (thankfully for the right reasons).

How do I calculate my PnL base don the changes? I have bought shares in different months and then sells. e.g

- Buy 1000 EUR share 1 in June
- Buy 1000 EUR share 2 in July. (portfolio size is now 2000)
- Close Share 2 for a loss of 50 in August (Investment size now 1950 due to the loss)
- Buy 1000 EUR Share 3 in Sept (Invested size now 2050 to include the loss and an extra 50 to make it to 1000)
- Close Share 1 for a profit of 60 (Portfolio size is now 2100 but only 10 of it is profit).
- The value of my stock portfolio has probably tripled in the last few months but I never hold more than 5 stocks and usually at equeal weighting.

*** I am excluding TC's above for argument sake and figures are examples not exact.

At the start of next year I have a fixed amount set aside and current PnL will be crystallised so on Jan 1st my total amount able to invest will be fixed and back to 0 PnL. E.g. I have 10k to invest, currently there is 6k in investments and 4k cash to use to buy, so at the end of next year my PnL will be (Account value - 10k)

My Speculative and Crypto have not changed in size since day 1 so they are simple, the above is whats annoying me as I have a bet on with a mate that I could beat the S&P between June and EOY :P

crushproof

crushproof wrote: »

Yep fab returns, the stock of the year for me. Makes up for selling my NIO ages ago for pittance compared to what it is now!

Not sure if TTD will hold its after market gains, Q3 results were great but the price is crazy at the moment.

Well how wrong I was, what a beast. Cruising to 800

Shedite27

Jim2007 wrote: »

This thread is the equivalent of an open mic at the local pub - the regular few only too will do embarrass themselves by demonstrating their lack of talent.

Oh it's going up... Oh it's going down... Mick said it will go up... I don't understand.... everything is red, everything is green.... - A summary of the thread so far ;-)

Let's be more like Jim, second guess every investment, and put your cash in a shoebox

Timmaay

I've stopped buying NIO since it went over 37$ but dont think I'm bothered selling just yet, dipped to 39 premarket but back up to 41 now, its still absolutely due some sort of pullback, but the risk if I sell is it just keeps on going lol. If it was still steadily bouncing off its two trendlines that its been following last 6months id considered swing trading it, but it gone well above that now, and who knows how much further it can go.

RIGOLO

Jim2007 wrote: »

This thread is the equivalent of an open mic at the local pub - the regular few only too will do embarrass themselves by demonstrating their lack of talent.

Oh it's going up... Oh it's going down... Mick said it will go up... I don't understand.... everything is red, everything is green.... - A summary of the thread so far ;-)

and still no tip.. is this a record for the most posts and never actually given a stock tip in this thread.

ahhh so your one of those .. sits on the fence gettting a sore arse lecturing everyone else trying to sound like you know what your talking about but never actually calling a tip yourself.
Met loads of these types in my life. You probably dont even play the market .

moving right along.. think I will dump some NIO early today contrary to asian weighting and buy back in on a dip later in day or next week.

Jim2007

RIGOLO wrote: »

ahh finally you gave a stock tip.. I assume this is your way of tipping K - The Kellogg Company .
keep it up.. this is the Stock Picks 2020 thread affter all ..

This thread is the equivalent of an open mic at the local pub - the regular few only too will do embarrass themselves by demonstrating their lack of talent.

Oh it's going up... Oh it's going down... Mick said it will go up... I don't understand.... everything is red, everything is green.... - A summary of the thread so far ;-)

RIGOLO

Jim2007 wrote: »

From the back of a cornflakes box! Analysts don’t weighed anything and serious fund managers don’t tell you their thinking.

ahh finally you gave a stock tip.. I assume this is your way of tipping K - The Kellogg Company .
keep it up.. this is the Stock Picks 2020 thread affter all ..

Atlas_IRL

Jim2007 wrote: »

From the back of a cornflakes box! Analysts don’t weighed anything and serious fund managers don’t tell you their thinking.

But they move a stock price more than anything. That morgan stanley Nio $40 call was the catalyst for the massive increase. A lot of their price targets are garbage though especially some of the tesla short calls by 'analysts' so hit and miss I suppose.

Jim2007

RIGOLO wrote: »

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also . .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

From the back of a cornflakes box! Analysts don’t weighed anything and serious fund managers don’t tell you their thinking.

Kilboor

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

It seems a lot of us missed NIO ride, either not getting on board or jumping the ship early....I started following it in March/April around 3.50 and said to myself it's up 10-15% in last couple of weeks, i'll wait for a correction and then jump in....but here we're it's in 40's now:mad:...May be if it comes down to mid-20's then i'll look at it....

I agree after Luckin fiasco i'm defo wary about chinese co's...

Big miss in the short term! It's difficult to value Chinese stocks when you don't understand the market, that's why I stay away.

That said I invested in NIO nearly 2 years back and made 60% so I don't feel too left out

Nemeses2050

It seems a lot of us missed NIO ride, either not getting on board or jumping the ship early....I started following it in March/April around 3.50 and said to myself it's up 10-15% in last couple of weeks, i'll wait for a correction and then jump in....but here we're it's in 40's now:mad:...May be if it comes down to mid-20's then i'll look at it....

I agree after Luckin fiasco i'm defo wary about chinese co's...

daheff

RIGOLO wrote: »

I think the banks with large trading desks have all cleared their earnings dates and these desks helped them post good figures even if their loan books went south, the volatility and massive new retail investor community has helped them, but now they may take all the toys away .

thats the fear. they have made their targets for this year (if they even had any) and will now sit on the sidelines picking off cherries.

But, then theres always the santa claus rally at this time of the year (in a couple of weeks!)....maybe covid won't hit that one

RIGOLO

Shedite27 wrote: »

Think a lot are still wary of China after Luckin (and previous Chinese frauds that have been documented), you definitely get Asian companies at a bit of a discount as a result. Sea Ltd is the main one for me. It's south east asia, Gaming, online payments and online marketpalce rolled into one. Beenrun up a lot this year already tho

One mans fraud is another mans friend, Im up over 250% in LK , fortunate timing on my part.
But your point is still 100% valid , who knows whats going on with the Chinese bookeeping .. it all starts in the takeaways, ever notice how many add up your bill on paper, as oppossed to ringing a till.
SeaLtd in the notebook,

Could be a selloff coming today, my shorts are green as we speak but still double digit down, options day for many, earnings season tapering off and theres some kind of minor global infectious pandemic going on where everyones is being paid to stay at home but that ones not really seen as major concern to market valuations.

I think the banks with large trading desks have all cleared their earnings dates and these desks helped them post good figures even if their loan books went south, the volatility and massive new retail investor community has helped them, but now they may take all the toys away .

hottipper

RIGOLO wrote: »

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also . .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

Add Meituan dianping to the list (posted it months ago - Its chinas just eat / restaurant booking app). Now is not a good entry though let it cool off for a week or so.

Shedite27

RIGOLO wrote: »

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also . .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

Think a lot are still wary of China after Luckin (and previous Chinese frauds that have been documented), you definitely get Asian companies at a bit of a discount as a result. Sea Ltd is the main one for me. It's south east asia, Gaming, online payments and online marketpalce rolled into one. Beenrun up a lot this year already tho

ceekay74

Anyone have any insight on Nio as a long term investment?

RIGOLO

Supercell wrote: »

How much more legs has this relief rally got? It seems utterly insane given the COVID situation. I am very wary that once the election winner is declared that attention will go back to the reality on the ground and we could see a rerun of March. I am all in cash right now, too risky to stay in.

I hear you but all in cash, isnt that also a risk in itself.
If you truly believe a return to March, there are better (albeit some riskier) ways to play that bearish trend market and benefit than just sitting on the sidelines with alot of dry powder.

Everyone has to live within their own comfort level of risk I guess.

Supercell

How much more legs has this relief rally got? It seems utterly insane given the COVID situation. I am very wary that once the election winner is declared that attention will go back to the reality on the ground and we could see a rerun of March. I am all in cash right now, too risky to stay in.

Shedite27

crushproof wrote: »

Yep fab returns, the stock of the year for me. Makes up for selling my NIO ages ago for pittance compared to what it is now!

Not sure if TTD will hold its after market gains, Q3 results were great but the price is crazy at the moment.

Yeah same for me, bout at $170 in March, trading over $700 in after hours. It's my biggest position by a good chunk now.

Although it definitely doesn't make up for selling NIO at $3.94 in Feb

RIGOLO

Seems to be alot of analysts weighting their portfolios to Asia.

Thinking being that US has some instability , isnt handling Covid as well and not as much room for growth. And Asia overall is still seen as an emerging market to some degree, plus the current dollar yuan trade is playing into Asian strength.
As evident in gains we are seeing in the likes of Tencent , NIO, XPEV ...
Im getting back into BABA , their cloud business saw alot of growth yoy and ANT will get approval once the CCP decide what their cut will be.
Granted their cloud business isnt making any money, but thats not neccessary in the cloud buisness, not only is data in the cloud but profits are in the cloud also

. .. (Im calling it PAAS , PROFITS AS A SERVICE)

Anyways worth taking this into consideration if you have asian or is it asean holdings.

Asian stock tips ... lets be having them .. especially looking at you 'Chinese whospers' .. time to live up to your name buddy . I know I am .

jive

BLUE (Bluebird Bio) looks good at $48.83. Filing delay put a 16.6% dent in the shares today which have traded at $213 back in 2018. Filing delayed to 2022 but big potentially upside in the longer term. These therapies are having a tough time with the FDA but path forward appears clearer for Bluebird Bio than for many others atm.

crushproof

greenfield21 wrote: »

Good results for Trade desk again... huge gains in CTV. Mentioned a few times before on this thread.

Yep fab returns, the stock of the year for me. Makes up for selling my NIO ages ago for pittance compared to what it is now!

Not sure if TTD will hold its after market gains, Q3 results were great but the price is crazy at the moment.

Wombatman

Wombatman wrote: »

Having a little punt on JKS.

Yum. Yum.

Wombatman

Wombatman wrote: »

Sony have been a great performer for me over the last couple of years. I know it won't be anything like it with the PS5, but have a look at the Sony share price in the lead up to to the release of the PS2 in March 2000. The stock was trending nicely in the months prior to Covid.

Sony has been a star for me this year. The question now is when to offload.

greenfield21

Good results for Trade desk again... huge gains in CTV. Mentioned a few times before on this thread.

Treppen

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

have been holding VSTM for a while, hopefully this will push up the SP.

Same here , in at $3.50 . Think I'll stick it out for a while.
Good news to hear about those trials though.