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US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Quin_Dub

Continuation thread from here

All existing rules still stand.

Everyone will want to be active in this thread over the next few days , but there will be zero tolerance for Forum rule breaches.

Keep it Sensible , Civil and Polite please.

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The Iron Giant

So 59% of the early vote isn't in yet in Ohio.

And Biden is all about the early vote.

Yet its all over for Biden in Ohio.

Logic. Out the window.

breezy1985

Biden is losing Ohio now

Widye

Shelga wrote: »

I couldn't give a s**t about some working class white man in Pennsylvania whingeing because he's not the centre of the universe anymore.

I care about Trump pulling them out of the Paris Agreement.

The fact that this is remotely close is just horrific.

Think I'll go to bed.

Night x

The Iron Giant

Brian? wrote: »

I think I'm so upset because it’s so close.

13000 vote lead for Biden in Ohio now. Biden isn’t winning there.

Only 31% of the early vote has been counted in Ohio.

Water John

Depends on whether the votes counted are early votes? In the case of NC yes but in Ohio no. Still think Ohio to Biden.

virginmediapls

J2CVC wrote: »

Man you're way out on this. Bookmakers follow the exchanges. They're all the same. If they're not people can hedge bets and guarantee a profit. Believe me the betting market is the best indicator you will find.

Especially when put alongside the alternative metrics we have at this point - exit polls which are dog****, and early counts which give us **** all information whatsoever.

Bookmakers odds/exchanges have historically been one of them most predictive features usable in election models. I don't know why people **** on them so much. When there's money at stake, **** gets done properly.

Francie Barrett

If you want to see how bad things are, look at Florida.

Clinton defeated there by 100k votes in 2016. Biden defeated by nearly 400k votes.

This is a humiliation for the Democrats.

sReq | uTeK

When every bookie in the world has you behind you are.

CNN....I mean its laughable what they're saying at the moment.

BringBackMick

It’s 2020, we shouldn’t have expected any different

Larbre34

breezy1985 wrote: »

Biden is losing Ohio now

There is an increase in Ohio early vote yet to come.

StringerBell

Francie Barrett wrote: »

He isn't likely to lose any of them. Biden has some leads thanks to the early votes being counted first, but he's getting eaten alive as the counts go on.

Biden is looking like he HAS to win Wis/Mich/Penn now.

It is absolutely ridiculous that you continue to say the same thing over and over and when it has been pointed out to you that it is not uniformly down to the early vote. It is not the early vote counted first in every state, when is this going to sink in?

J2CVC

Biden needs some good news soon.

FatRat

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Well that was quick 180.

Well if you read carefully and maybe ask someone for help you might figure it out. It gives as close to perfect information as we can get ..... Because we are dealing with imperfect information.

But keep that narrative going by all means

[Deleted User]

Francie Barrett wrote: »

He isn't likely to lose any of them. Biden has some leads thanks to the early votes being counted first, but he's getting eaten alive as the counts go on.

Biden is looking like he HAS to win Wis/Mich/Penn now.

Wisconsin will go blue.

Blanco100

Biden can still take Ohio. Loads of early votes left to count.

Real Donald Trump

virginmediapls wrote: »

Regardless of who eventually stutters to victory here, it's a ****ing damning indictment on the population of the USA that this orange gowl got so many votes.

People are sick of PC and kneeling to hypocritical mobs

virginmediapls

Limpy wrote: »

The boom will be back big time in America with Trump getting 4 more years. The voters agree.

What, like, terrorism? Or a boom in covid deaths?

Mr.Nice Guy

It seems the shy Trump voter was very real. The polls have got this very wrong and I'm getting that sinking feeling that it will be 4 more years of that charlatan.

Inquitus

Exclamation Marc wrote: »

Only 31% of the early vote has been counted in Ohio.

Biden's not performing like a candidate who is going to overcome the 8% margin Trump won with in Ohio in 2016. Biden will end up needing to run the board through Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Blanco100

The betting exchange will swing over and back a couple of times tonight.

I like the 15/8 on a Biden victory.

Francie Barrett

sReq | uTeK wrote: »

CNN....I mean its laughable what they're saying at the moment.

It's embarrassingly out of touch.

virginmediapls

Real Donald Trump wrote: »

People are sick of PC and kneeling to hypocritical mobs

The fact that a misogynistic, racist tosspot who can barely string a sentence together is the best "non-PC", "non-hypocritical" candidate that could be put forward is still pretty damning.

J2CVC

Blanco100 wrote: »

The betting exchange will swing over and back a couple of times tonight.

I like the 15/8 on a Biden victory.

If the experts did it wouldn't be 15/8

US2

virginmediapls wrote: »

What, like, terrorism? Or a boom in covid deaths?

It's the economy stupid...

signostic

Commentators on CNN becoming inncreasinly despondent...

BonnieSituation

Ignacius wrote: »

Protestant whisky

all of our Whiskeys are in that case.

John Jameson wasn't a papist by any stretch.

letowski

Polling companies are going to be out of business after this.

StringerBell

Inquitus wrote: »

Biden's not performing like a candidate who is going to overcome the 8% margin Trump won with in Ohio in 2016. Biden will end up needing to run the board through Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.

Depends on how you see the remaining 60% of the early vote that's to be counted in Ohio breaks, and how much of a gap he will need to close once the election day vote has all been counted.

I think Biden is gonna win Wisconsin and Michigan alright and looks to be in good shape in Pennsylvania, only 11% of the early vote in Michigan and plenty of vote left to count in and around the urban centres before someone throws the current numbers at me

0gac3yjefb5sv7

J2CVC wrote: »

If the experts did it wouldn't be 15/8

Why did Trump start outsider so if they knew so much?

Widye

virginmediapls wrote: »

The fact that a misogynistic, racist tosspot who can barely string a sentence together is the best "non-PC", "non-hypocritical" candidate that could be put forward is still pretty damning.

The media thanks you very much for this provided opinion