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US Presidential Election 2020 Thread II - Judgement Day(s)

Quin_Dub

Continuation thread from here

All existing rules still stand.

Everyone will want to be active in this thread over the next few days , but there will be zero tolerance for Forum rule breaches.

Keep it Sensible , Civil and Polite please.

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Akabusi

Biden will not get Ohio or NC.

Water John

Itssoeasy wrote: »

Ha I said I’d need to go to sleep by 1am at the latest. Best laid plans as they say.

If Biden takes Ohio and NC you know the result.

kowloon

Deleted User wrote: »

Because it's just common sense. Some states are "called" the second the polls close. It's unofficial and different outlets do it at different points.

It seems really early to call it at 8%, I hadn't realised they jumped to declare so quickly.

Carfacemandog

BonnieSituation wrote: »

Francie, will you look at the numbers rather than making rash points.

Ohio is likely to be flipped. GA less likely. TX will be close but will ultiately fall to Trump.

I'm guessing there's a misconception about how votes are being counted (e.g. missing that rural, deeper red counties tend to come in a little later). It's why the NYT and CNN coverage (and any others doing similar) are so much more useful than the jibber jabbering nonsense on many other broadcasts. Just letting you know the numbers, where they are from, and where the ones remaining are likely to break... plus the guy on CNN is just great.

Cody montana

Itssoeasy wrote: »

Arkansas goes to trump.

Ah no.

Widye

Gbear wrote: »

The sheer insanity of thinking Joe Biden will bring socialism...

Joe won't but what about the growing movement within the democratic party that is demanding it

Itssoeasy

Arkansas goes to trump.

Widye

StringerBell wrote: »

They are not a monolithic group. It's too late to go into the nuances of it but suffice to say the reasons are varied and numerous.

Of course. I suppose it isn't right to generalise a whole demographic.

mirrorwall14

Itssoeasy wrote: »

Ha I said I’d need to go to sleep by 1am at the latest. Best laid plans as they say.

I’m the same. Even made it to bed and can’t put the phone down. Afraid I’ll wake up to another four years of trump

Carfacemandog

Biden leading NC by 200k, with 1.2mn left to count

Itssoeasy

Ha I said I’d need to go to sleep by 1am at the latest. Best laid plans as they say.

Gbear

Widye wrote: »

Because they know what socialism brings perhaps

The sheer insanity of thinking Joe Biden will bring socialism...

Christy42

Deleted User wrote: »

It's still early days but it's starting to look good alright. Popular vote win is going to be pretty huge.

I agree popular vote win will be huge but EC will close I think. NC seems to be going to Trump. A lot to go there but the rest of the votes should be pro trump. Georgia and Florida are going to trump.

A good result in Texas will help the popular vote but not the EC votes.

breezy1985

Widye wrote: »

Because they know what socialism brings perhaps

But they should also know that Biden is about as socialist as David Cameron

Peter Flynt

murpho999 wrote: »

I'm amazed that hispanics vote for Trump with his anti foreginer/immigrant/build a wall rhetoric.

The most recent immigrants into countries are sometimes the most anti-immigrant.

StringerBell

Widye wrote: »

Because they know what socialism brings perhaps

They are not a monolithic group. It's too late to go into the nuances of it but suffice to say the reasons are varied and numerous.

Brussels Sprout

Associated Press website has crashed

https://apnews.com/

Widye

murpho999 wrote: »

I'm amazed that hispanics vote for Trump with his anti foreginer/immigrant/build a wall rhetoric.

Because they know what socialism brings perhaps

[Deleted User]

embraer170 wrote: »

Looking like a good night for Biden.

It's still early days but it's starting to look good alright. Popular vote win is going to be pretty huge.

Itssoeasy

boardise wrote: »

Biden supporters brickin' it in Texas ?

MSNBC has Biden up by three percent with 61 % in.

murpho999

shocksy wrote: »

He's cruising in Ohio and Texas.

Game over for Trump

Texas is very close and I'd expect Trump to get it.

embraer170

Looking like a good night for Biden.

murpho999

letowski wrote: »

This is looking good for Biden. He is doing exactly what he needs to do in the rust belt. Dominate the suburbs. That's where Obama dominated and where Biden beat Bernie convincingly. And there is a huge amount of early vote to count.

North Carolina will get tighter as election day vote comes in, but Biden is doing what he needs to do.

Bloody Florida though. But at least the Miami Dade Cuban Hispanic vote won't translate in the rust belt. So thats good news for Biden.

I'm amazed that hispanics vote for Trump with his anti foreginer/immigrant/build a wall rhetoric.

Brussels Sprout

Francie Barrett wrote: »

If Biden failed to flip Florida, he is almost certainly not going to flip states like Ohio, Georgia, or Texas.

Unless the polling miss on FL was entirely down to undercounting Cubans (who don't really feature in other states)

boardise

Carfacemandog wrote: »

Interesting little bit I noticed from Texas, which has swung back to level and should go to Trump as expected... but Biden is quite comfortably winning the border counties that are reporting this far.

There's a wall joke in here somewhere, but it's late and I'm tired.

Biden supporters brickin' it in Texas ?

brooke 2

StupidLikeAFox wrote: »

CNN should use blue or red stripes for states that are still being counted. Texas was completely blue then when they zoomed in there was one blue and one red district - silly stuff that could easily be sorted

That is really head wrecking! King just playing around with the computer. He should not show up any state red or blue until the results are all in. Sky much better. Shows clearly how many electoral votes each candidate has, which states they have won and what percentage of votes are in from the other states.

StringerBell

Francie Barrett wrote: »

If Biden failed to flip Florida, he is almost certainly not going to flip states like Ohio, Georgia, or Texas.

Biden is looking like he's not going to lose anything, Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania look like they will be key.

I'd agree, if he was gonna win Texas he'd have won Florida. Ohio however he seems to be performing better than I thought he would so far so will wait and see on that, Georgia is very early yet. NC I was alot happier about before they said it was almost all early vote. Plenty to go there now too.

Vital Transformation

StringerBell wrote: »

Where have we the numbers on that? Latino vote is his Achilles heel I accept that no problem but I'd like to see the numbers?

It's only exit poll data, I should have mentioned. From 'Political Polls' on Twitter.

murpho999

StupidLikeAFox wrote: »

CNN should use blue or red stripes for states that are still being counted. Texas was completely blue then when they zoomed in there was one blue and one red district - silly stuff that could easily be sorted

Light shades of red or blue show leads and results are shaded much darker.

[Deleted User]

Obvious Desperate Breakfasts wrote: »

The odds on Paddy Power went to evens for Trump a while ago but have lengthened again.

I had a wobble around the same time the odds did. :pac: