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Fancies For Today III

realdanbreen

JP's horse, Off you go , was a bit one paced in Cork last time out but I would expect a bit better today, 11-2.

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[Deleted User]

1.36 Stratford SKEAPING very big at 5s. Not fooling me - pushing him out to fool the punters :P

zimmermania

Jim Dreapers is a serious bet in the 3.20 Clonmel.

[Deleted User]

Just looking at the form, and, as I spot one with a chance, or that is decently priced, or over-priced, am putting them up.

Next one that that caught my eye:

6.00 Chelmsford BLAME CULTURE Plenty of 16s with the online books, 14s with PP

A few poor runs lately, but can draw a line through those for various reasons. Tom Queally has had the leg up in the selection's latest 8 outings, and Kieran Shoemark gets the ride this time (his first time on this horse - he's on another selection Atletico as well). His last run over C & D in July gives him every chance, and rates a cracking each way bet here.

Gluck

[Deleted User]

5.30 Chelmsford ATLETICO 9/1 Gen with the online books, can't see any prices from PP or Spoils on Oddschecker.

Bit of a cliff horse this one. He hasn't won in three years, but I feel he has a win in him. Has been campaigned almost exclusively at 7fs for the last year and a half or so. Prior to that most of his races were at the sprint trips of 5 & 6fs. A few of those runs at 7 were at Chelmsford where he has acquitted himself well without winning. Interesting that his last 2 runs were at 6f; perhaps to drop further in the weights. I feel he is 'due' one, and that David Evans wants rid, so has decided to put him in this "Claiming Stakes" race.

At the prices there is plenty of scope for a punt, and while he's not the most dependable the price is decent. Hard to say if the price is 'value'... Could see him go off at 12s, or as low as 5s, and wouldn't be surprised either way. Worth a small win bet though anyway.

[Deleted User]

1.36 Stratford SKEAPING 10/3 Gen

Of the top 4 in the market, Skeaping, for me is the one to beat here. He goes well at the Course on soft ground, and the distance (extended 2m 2fs) appears fine. It seems to me that the other 3 towards the top of the betting in this Selling Hurdle have more to prove - such as: not having much or any form on soft (all 3 imo), or first run for a new trainer (Doux Pretender & Floating Rock), and a long absence (Doux Pretender). 10/3 is not overly generous, but not stingy either. At 11/4 or above the selection is value imo.

[Deleted User]

2.15 Lingfield DOCUMENTING 7/1 Gen

A nice moneyspinner for trainer Kevin Frost and Documenting ticks a few boxes here. Going by his C & D form he should be bang there. Drawn in the six box in this 9 runner affair he should have no pressure to be 'up with the pace' , thus able to get into a good racing rhythm I be thinking. If he does win, it will be off a higher mark than before at 107, but he's never raced off a mark this high before either, so not what one would call a 'negative'. Raymond Dawson, who won on him 2 runs back takes the ride claiming 5.

I believe he is more of a 9/2 shot, and his price may well shorten.

Hard to know what to make of the jolly Ghalyoon, who, at a best priced 9/4 looks a bit short based on what he has done.

Gluck if ye be having a go

[Deleted User]

^^^

Had every chance, and was well placed throughout. Has never won beyond 10fs before, and alas he didn't stay the trip tonight.

[Deleted User]

8.15 Kempton RAKEMATIZ 66/1 Boyles

Not the most reliable conveyance, but his last run was an improvement on most of his recent 8 or so, which go back to spring of last year. He came third over a furlong shorter at the course on that occasion. Surely 66/1 drastically underrepresents his chance of getting involved here. Four places to play for, and the trainer/jockey combo of Johnson/Carson are 2 winners from 9 in recent times. There are worse 66/1 shots imo... was 25s earlier, so don't know why such a drift. Hopefully no one told the horse. Also has a decent enough finishing kick, which could be quite useful....

[Deleted User]

2.20 Nottingham SHOW PALACE 6/1 PP

Goes well at this course on soft ground. Down 5lbs since he last won here in August of last year.

[Deleted User]

2.10 Catterick LORD OBERON 7/2

[Deleted User]

A quick glance at that 7.30 Newcastle, and GREAT COLACI, who has drifted out to a goodish price of 10/1 would appear to have a chance as well. He won over C & D in June on the Somewhat annoying Standard/ Slow going. Won over same on Standard 2 runs back.

jamieon

James Bethell is somewhat of a Newcastle specialist, he runs one horse today and it's the 7:30 newcastle "mudawann" currently around 16-20/1. The horse posted a decent 6th lto, has wlrecent winning form going back 3 runs ago albeit on turf, but it has won over c&d from a higher mark almost 2 years ago so at 20/1 I feel hes a great bet, in the same race however is "trumpets call" really well gambled on lto at Newcastle and only narrowly missed out so at 4/1 I think a rfc is another decent shout.

[Deleted User]

4.10 Redcar

An open apprentice handicap here. It appears that high numbers hold an advantage when the ground is soft.
On the 23 Sept there in a 17 runner H'cap (1 non runner) the order the first five finished going by the draw was
17, 18, 16, 14, 15.

I don't fancy any of the ones drawn high, however, so I've plumped for 3 drawn in the middle, and 1 drawn
low. 4 picks in 1 race

I think Boyle's (probably other shops too) might be paying 5 places, and they are best, or joint best price
on the three picks, which are drawn 10, 12, and 13

TURANGA LEELA 14/1
SHEEPSCAR LAD 12/1
RAADEA 33/1

And the one I went for drawn low is Kibaar (drawn 3) , who was a good second 2 runs back, although drawn highest of all that day in the aforementioned race in 18.

KIBAAR 33/1 Boyles, 40s in Coral

I also think the well backed fav Round The Island might be vulnerable, as although he won well last time, that was in a slowly ran race at Pontefract. At 7, he's not getting any younger. Best priced 10/3 to win so makes some appeal for a
place lay here.

A lot of selections, granted, in one race, so small stakes on some, or all of them only; for any who want to follow. Each way, so hopefully a couple can make the frame.

Gluck

AnniePowwa

1.55 lightning amber 12/1

[Deleted User]

Andrew00 wrote: »

Rotten drift on Princess Zoe

Zoe's trainer this morning wasn't exactly bullish; but he reckoned while she wouldn't love the ground, that it would inconvenience the others more.

No one told the Scottish vet, and Subjectivist though about the horse 'not liking' the ground :rolleyes:

Andrew00

Rotten drift on Princess Zoe

[Deleted User]

crushproof wrote: »

Good stuff, rough weekend so this made up for it!

At least one of us backed it :pac:

Drat them closed bookies

crushproof

[Deleted User] wrote: »

2.32 Aintree ACEY MILAN 12/1 PP

Horse was well thought of a couple of years ago. First run in a chase, likes soft ground, and could be thrown in here based on his best hurdles' form. Worth a small win bet for the interest at the prices.

Gluck all

Good stuff, rough weekend so this made up for it!

AnniePowwa

AnniePowwa wrote: »

3/1 for itchy feet is a gift surely ?

Terrible jumper but that's not even the biggest problem nutswell is nothing more than a average handicapper

[Deleted User]

crushproof wrote: »

And of course the winner is a 66/1!

And only 3 finished - funny old game.

[Deleted User]

^^^
Re Itchy Feet

Bit of a sketchy jumper. I think Oldgrangewood could go well for the Skeltons at 6/1, and at a bigger price
Crievehill at 20s for the Twiston-Davies combo.

crushproof

[Deleted User] wrote: »

12.55 Hexham MISSCARLETT 28s Boyles, 33s with bet365

And of course the winner is a 66/1!

AnniePowwa

3/1 for itchy feet is a gift surely ?

[Deleted User]

Andrew00 wrote: »

Princess Zoe tomorrow lads

2.50 Longchamp she's running for anyone who's wondering. Currently on offer between 5/6 and 11/10 from what I can see.

Hope she wins "on the snaff" as MC loves to say :P

[Deleted User]

12.55 Hexham MISSCARLETT 28s Boyles, 33s with bet365

Will give this one an each way chance on her second run after a break. Trip might be a question mark,
but at the prices I feel this mare is worth a small investment. I also think the top two in the betting -
Dubai Outlaw and Cilluirid are opposable given the soft going . WRT Dubai Outlaw I think he's vulnerable on the
ground, and at a best priced 7/4 to win I think a place lay could be the way to go with him.

ATB to those having a go

[Deleted User]

2.32 Aintree ACEY MILAN 12/1 PP

Horse was well thought of a couple of years ago. First run in a chase, likes soft ground, and could be thrown in here based on his best hurdles' form. Worth a small win bet for the interest at the prices.

Gluck all

Andrew00

Princess Zoe tomorrow lads

[Deleted User]

8.15 C'ford BLAIRLOGIE 10/1 Boyles

Appears to stay the trip judging by his last run; which was his first over today's 10fs trip.
Price is very fair.

zimmermania

A friend of mine suggested 4 to back in the greyhound derby semi finals tonight in Nottingham.

8.06 HOPES BULLET,8.21 WAIKIKI LAD,8.36 SOUTHWOOD JET,8.52 SMURFS MACHINE,i did a lucky 15.

I know nothing about greyhounds but he knows a bit.

zimmermania

Breanski not beaten far for a place,Chatez very disappointing in a race where quite a few were well backed inc the winner.

Chatez went out tamely,backing in extremes of going can be tricky but quite a few fancied ones in the race ran below form especially the fav who was very heavily backed,Tuite does not often leave the money behind and i will have Surrey Pride in my tracker as one to pay particular attention to especially over a bit further.