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Share Picks 2020

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DutchYurt

DutchYurt wrote: »

I've gone in big on Fastly, wish me luck!

Its not going well :pac:

sirboby

Sold Amazon and most of my Disney shares on prime day

Intel is having a strong month.
Albertsons is having a strong month.
Grafton Group is doing fine considering I only have a very small amount.
Increased my position in 4D pharma, tempted to average down if it hits the high 80's.

I have about 30% my position in cash at the moment so I am open to suggestions.

DutchYurt

I've gone in big on Fastly, wish me luck!

littlevillage

RIGOLO wrote: »

Ive ridden the NYCT ride for months, and these dips are buying oppurtunitys, (8.97 euro) after the big scare today . IVe seen this patttern repeated 10 times in 5 months but each time we reocver and go onto higher highs.
MCAP is south of 700M and recent contract with NHS is north of 450M , with profit margins over 60%, cases are growing around the world, this virus is with us , everytime we open up cases explode. Expect an RNS update on sales and contracts this month.
Im buying up a chunk more , Ive already multi-bagged so Feb 2021 is the time I will reveiw .

NYCT having a good day.

.

I'm nicely in the green already. Nice shout RIGOLO

Jim2007

Shedite27 wrote: »

Do ya mean which stocks to put the most cash into?

Pretty much. I don't maintain a database for back testing anymore because I'm retired...

But if you have a good database for back testing and access to the old newsletters you can test different strategies yourself. Start with say 50k and add say another 1k per month. If you try and hold every position, even if one doubles it will have very little difference in the overall return. On the other hand if you are selective and have to make the sell decisions alone, then your own decisions will have the biggest impact on the over all return, not the stock picker.

I would take these newsletters as good stock suggestions for investigation, but I'd pay no attention whatsoever to the returns claims - but unfortunately many people do.

RIGOLO

Shedite27 wrote: »

Rigolo, you seem more experienced than most here, do you think that these young investors they talk about have enough weight to mvoe the market? I would have thought they are only a drop in the pond compred to the investment banks. Whenever I see a big stock movement it seems to be backed by the kind of volume that college students don't have access to

Trading volume by new investors is off the charts. Stimulus checks and sitting at home have left millions of them with little to do but invest. And good luck to them, my bitter comments on them are jests, its tough being a young person these days but get over it and no reason to stop taking hte piss lifes too short.

Anyways you add up millions of new investors with access to a reasonable starting stake , plus availability of options and it all adds up to a sizeable money chest that Wall St is only too happy to scoop up.
The big firms dont make their money purely by doing 8 or 9 figure deals, they have or had floors of eager beavers picking up a few k here and there on a trade from young investors.
Drop a dollar on Wall St some time and wait to see how many suits bend over to pick it up.

Its all rigged, against the newbie I dont see it ending well . I could be wrong.
Among other things, if you knew how the system worked you would know that HFTs (high frequency trading firms) are paying your broker to access your order flow before its even executed. Lightning fast computers and fibre optics are giving them an edge in the mili secs in takes for your trade to go thru.
Bernie Maddoff mastered this back in the day, and we all know where he ended up . Its legal buried somewhere in the small print. How else do you think RH and discount brokers can give you 'free' services.. theres no such thing .

I dont have time to get into the debate on PE ratios that an earlier poster took umbrage at, I could list 20 metrics that wall st are ignoring in their valuations of some stock market stars, I just picked one for ease of posting.

NCYT doing well this morning up 5%, hope everyone enjoyed this weeks roller coaster.
They bought a company ITS this week, a supplier , great move bringing them in house for only 10million , and there seems to be brokers note from Numis setting a £15 valuation on them. Climb aboard the next segment of track is all up.

as to how many in the portfolio including options positions lets just say more than 50 less than 100 . Ive learned to ignore the portfolio for large stretches, if I made the right calls then I shouldnt have to check in regularly. IF I didnt its on me. ITs only money , suns out early cycle today methinks.

Shedite27

Jim2007 wrote: »

It is insane because it’s a false comparison used by most stock picking services. Asset allocation accounts for the biggest part of a portfolio’s return not stock picking, but they ignore it and that’s how they get the crazy figures. They are basically doing the easy part and leaving you to do the difficult part on your own.

Starting out, the Gardner brothers used to do the asset part and while the figures were reasonable, their business only really took off when they dropped the asset allocation part

Do ya mean which stocks to put the most cash into?

Mickiemcfist

Jim2007 wrote: »

It is insane because it’s a false comparison used by most stock picking services. Asset allocation accounts for the biggest part of a portfolio’s return not stock picking, but they ignore it and that’s how they get the crazy figures. They are basically doing the easy part and leaving you to do the difficult part on your own.

Starting out, the Gardner brothers used to do the asset part and while the figures were reasonable, their business only really took off when they dropped the asset allocation part

Agreed it's not the solution to how to make millions on the stock market, but I don't really have the time to read each listed companies prospectus, earnings, future opportunities, look into their management, product pipeline etc. figure out which businesses are appealing & which ones are duds.

I use the Motley fool as a stock market scanner, they highlight ones worth looking into & so I do a deep dive on those and pick my highlights of their highlights. I'm 30 & put €300 per month into my account and divy it out relatively evenly across c.20 stocks, in the hope that over the longer term it'll average decent enough. Again, I don't have the time to monitor these stocks very closely as 20 is quite high, but when you have favourites on Motley fool you get updates on when their guidance changes or when it's in the news. I have 5 stocks that are picked from other sources so I have to watch those closer.

Started this "strategy" 2 years ago, 30% ARR but that's too short a timeframe to read anything into, there isn't a hope in hell of it staying that high over any sort of long term. But without a stock picking service of some sort I'd definitely be slower to find stocks I like, so they have their uses.

One More Toy

Jim2007 wrote: »

Unless you have very deep pockets, you cannot replicate performance that way. There are only two strategies that work when investing in individual stocks, for Joe or Mary and that is growth or value and this is neither.

You’re constructing an old man’s portfolio, something you’d expect someone in my position to hold - income plus a little exposure to growth in retirement.

Have you considered investment trusts etc as an alternative?

I know it has its limitations as you say, I will go back to EU based etfs soon. Bloody deemed disposal is a nightmare

Jim2007

Atlas_IRL wrote: »

Seriously if I didn't have to save for a mortgage I'd be putting money into their stock of the month every month. Their performance is insane.

It is insane because it’s a false comparison used by most stock picking services. Asset allocation accounts for the biggest part of a portfolio’s return not stock picking, but they ignore it and that’s how they get the crazy figures. They are basically doing the easy part and leaving you to do the difficult part on your own.

Starting out, the Gardner brothers used to do the asset part and while the figures were reasonable, their business only really took off when they dropped the asset allocation part

Jim2007

One More Toy wrote: »

I figured I can't buy us etfs anymore (thanks EU you robbing b#stards) so ill buy the top companies in the s+p 500

Unless you have very deep pockets, you cannot replicate performance that way. There are only two strategies that work when investing in individual stocks, for Joe or Mary and that is growth or value and this is neither.

You’re constructing an old man’s portfolio, something you’d expect someone in my position to hold - income plus a little exposure to growth in retirement.

Have you considered investment trusts etc as an alternative?

Atlas_IRL

I have about 10-15, mostly spac's which have all been a bit screwed by nikola tbh. They are not the same cashcow as they were.

My best-performing stocks are the ones mywallst picked. Seriously if I didn't have to save for a mortgage I'd be putting money into their stock of the month every month. Their performance is insane. If you want stocks you can just pick and hold and not even look at i'd pay the yearly sub and just pick and forget. I think its around 80-90e a year. I have got that back already with some of their picks 60% up in a month or two.

PHG

Comhra wrote: »

I'm retired and have all day for this. I have some other investments so I'm not totally new to the game and I have a certain amount of money set aside for this online venture.

I have learnt some investment lessons the hard way in the past so hopefully I'm a bit more savvy at this stage of my life. Just feeling my way along with a newly opened DeGiro account. Some great info and advice here on this forum.

When you said newcomer I automatically assumed student or early 20's :pac:

That's good to hear you have cash set aside. Good luck with it and congrats on the retirement.

There is a book Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas, highly recommend it. It is about the psychology of trading. Would also recommend The Naked trader by Robbi Burns, he waffles on a bit but the book is easy to read but his principles are sound. My trading strategy is not dissimilar to his (hence why I probably like it but I use a bit more TA for entry points) but I would class these 2 books as must reads for starting out.

Yes there is decent info but remember we are all keyboard warriors and could be talking pure ****e

One More Toy

I'm at least 25 stocks

I figured I can't buy us etfs anymore (thanks EU you robbing b#stards) so ill buy the top companies in the s+p 500

Slowly making my way through the top holdings

It's very boring, DKNG and NVTA are about as exciting as my portfolio gets

Comhrá

PHG wrote: »

Seems like an awful lot of stocks, especially for a newcomer. How will you have time to manage all those shares?

Pharma, energy and mining, you are in for a rollercoaster and hope you aren't getting killed on the spread. Why so many stocks so quick?

Personally, I will never hold more than 5 or 6. Don't have time for much more and I see it as, it is easier to get 4 out or 5 right than 8 out of 10. Will never invest in a non liquid share (IMO is usually below 50miln market cap). As for penny stocks have always stayed away so no experience there. I was told to look at it from the angle of a share going from 1p to 2p. It is the same as going from $100 to $200 but we all see it as just moving a penny to make a fortune, except there will be likely less risk in the latter and a tight spread.

Each to their own though and if you make a killing on them great, if not I hope you are playing with money you can afford to lose.

I'm retired and have all day for this. I have some other investments so I'm not totally new to the game and I have a certain amount of money set aside for this online venture.

I have learnt some investment lessons the hard way in the past so hopefully I'm a bit more savvy at this stage of my life.

Just feeling my way along with a newly opened DeGiro account. Some great info and advice here on this forum.

PHG

RIGOLO wrote: »

somethings going on. Wall St is positioning itself for the election but Ive not yet figured out how they will hedge.

Another red day across the indicies but the value of a diversified portfolio leaves the RIGOLO household in the green
Must be all the penny stocks I trade... or maybe its NIO, guns and SCHW .

SCHW is a safe place to park some cash I believe after a potential profit taking dip in the am, steady earnings announced and an upcoming merger with AMTD proceeding thru the hurdles , to create a trading behemoth

be careful everyone you dont fit into this bracket, outlined in a CNBC read today . I know I dont cos Im not young.. jury is out if im part two though

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/15/smead-nightmare-us-stock-valuations-driven-by-young-dumb-investors.html

Read the article, talking about PE ratios which have been proven to be outdated and largely irrelevant since pricing developed. PE cannot be taken solely either and minimum at a sector level if at all.

This guys funds are doing poor too, not one even close to beating the S&P BEFORE FEES since 2008. His best losing fund this year is 15% behind the S&P too!! The fund manager is full of s***

PHG

Comhra wrote: »

I have eight stock and I'm a newcomer to online trading.

I have one bank, one online retailer, two pharma, two energy, two food and I'm going to pick two cheaper stock in mining or commodities as a bit of a punt. I'm hoping to keep my number of holdings to a max of ten.

Seems like an awful lot of stocks, especially for a newcomer. How will you have time to manage all those shares?

Pharma, energy and mining, you are in for a rollercoaster and hope you aren't getting killed on the spread. Why so many stocks so quick?

Personally, I will never hold more than 5 or 6. Don't have time for much more and I see it as, it is easier to get 4 out or 5 right than 8 out of 10. Will never invest in a non liquid share (IMO is usually below 50miln market cap). As for penny stocks have always stayed away so no experience there. I was told to look at it from the angle of a share going from 1p to 2p. It is the same as going from $100 to $200 but we all see it as just moving a penny to make a fortune, except there will be likely less risk in the latter and a tight spread.

Each to their own though and if you make a killing on them great, if not I hope you are playing with money you can afford to lose.

RedRochey

Shedite27 wrote: »

Rigolo, you seem more experienced than most here, do you think that these young investors they talk about have enough weight to mvoe the market? I would have thought they are only a drop in the pond compred to the investment banks. Whenever I see a big stock movement it seems to be backed by the kind of volume that college students don't have access to

https://ofdollarsanddata.com/robinhood-trader/

Bit of a long read but basically they don't affect most stocks but do have some affect on say Kodak

Shedite27

RIGOLO wrote: »

be careful everyone you dont fit into this bracket, outlined in a CNBC read today . I know I dont cos Im not young.. jury is out if im part two though

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/15/smead-nightmare-us-stock-valuations-driven-by-young-dumb-investors.html

Rigolo, you seem more experienced than most here, do you think that these young investors they talk about have enough weight to mvoe the market? I would have thought they are only a drop in the pond compred to the investment banks. Whenever I see a big stock movement it seems to be backed by the kind of volume that college students don't have access to

RIGOLO

somethings going on. Wall St is positioning itself for the election but Ive not yet figured out how they will hedge.

Another red day across the indicies but the value of a diversified portfolio leaves the RIGOLO household in the green
Must be all the penny stocks I trade... or maybe its NIO, guns and SCHW .

SCHW is a safe place to park some cash I believe after a potential profit taking dip in the am, steady earnings announced and an upcoming merger with AMTD proceeding thru the hurdles , to create a trading behemoth

be careful everyone you dont fit into this bracket, outlined in a CNBC read today . I know I dont cos Im not young.. jury is out if im part two though

'Nightmare' U.S. stock valuations driven by 'young, dumb' investors, fund manager says

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/15/smead-nightmare-us-stock-valuations-driven-by-young-dumb-investors.html

Shedite27

Kilboor wrote: »

As a matter of interest how many stocks are people holding at any one time ? I don't like to go above 5 personally, and usually love holding 3 well researched long plays leaving 2 for some swing trading if I'm up for it.

I've 25 in my regular portfolio, plus 6 SPACs. I keep the SPAC's in a seperate tracker as they tend to trade differently (do nothing for a month then 30% in a day.

Shedite27

DutchYurt wrote: »

What's your thoughts, will it go lower or bounce back? I'm tempted to go in but think there might be some pain tomorrow

Oh it'll be back, shure nearly every website in the world uses it, Google, Amazon, Microsoft. Fastly is the biggest company that you'll never hear of. It gets very streched tho, it seems to go up a lot then check back fairly regularly. I'd nearly prefer it to do a slower climb next time. This whole 30% up in a month that it's done 5 times this year is unsustainable.

Comhrá

I have eight stock and I'm a newcomer to online trading.

I have one bank, one online retailer, two pharma, two energy, two food and I'm going to pick two cheaper stock in mining or commodities as a bit of a punt. I'm hoping to keep my number of holdings to a max of ten.

p to the e

p to the e wrote: »

I was half tempted to just get out as I've been in the red with both Aminex and Solo for some years (my break even point is about 1.5p- 2p) but I think with this new deal in place the outlook is good. Solo only have a 25% stake in this so it's not as important for them but this was big news for Aminex. I'd say no one really knows where this share could go but you saw just how much of a reaction there was with the share price today. I predict this could go on for another few days. I actually picked up some more this morning when it started to take off. Was very close to buying yesterday at 0.4p but what you gonna do? I tend to keep an eye on the chat here to keep me up to date.

I'd advise people to look into Aminex (AEX). A stock like this is very sensitive to news flow so do your due diligence. With upcoming elections in Tanzania things might move a bit slow until after the elections or the current government might push them through to use as election points. I think there's plenty of legs left in this stock so don't go getting a case of FOMO.

Bob Harris

Holding 8, two of which I've no intention of touching. The other 6 could be gone before christmas if they make the right moves. No rush if they don't. Ideally 4/5 long-term and 1/2 to speculate and I'm working towards addressing the balance.

RIGOLO

anyone listening to those 4 bats on CNBC Global debate ..
I shudder to think these ones are in charge of monetary policy ...

jams100

Kilboor wrote: »

As a matter of interest how many stocks are people holding at any one time ?

I'm only holding 24 different stocks atm, might diversify my portfolio soon :pac:

Kilboor

Nemeses2050 wrote: »

I have about 17, ideally would like around 10 so I can keep a proper eye on them...some are long term some short term and some pure gamble...yesterday I took a position in Navistar which fell 20% they've a offer from VW subsidiary which expires on Friday.

My anxiety couldn't deal with that many

Nemeses2050

I have about 17, ideally would like around 10 so I can keep a proper eye on them...some are long term some short term and some pure gamble...yesterday I took a position in Navistar which fell 20% they've a offer from VW subsidiary which expires on Friday.

Kilboor

As a matter of interest how many stocks are people holding at any one time ? I don't like to go above 5 personally, and usually love holding 3 well researched long plays leaving 2 for some swing trading if I'm up for it.