[Deleted User] wrote: » I don't think they should close schools. Level 5 doesn't automatically mean schools close albeit the teaching unions might have something to say about that. I think everything else should be closed before Schools which is largely what level 5 means. And school transmission is far from a non issue: https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/middle-east/covid-19-may-spread-more-easily-in-schools-than-thought-us-report-warns-1.4323634
molloyjh wrote: » Its interesting reading some of the comments here re treating us like adults & the haphazard approach to tackling the issue. The haphazard approach is purely down to the fact that so much of the population is simply not acting like adults. We've been given pretty clear guidelines to follow. Keep your circle small, avoid non essential travel as much as possible, work from home where possible, social distance, wash your hands, wear masks. I personally know numerous people who flaunted some, if not all, of that guidance. We heard reports of people socialising with 50+ people. Thats not even close to keeping your circle small. I know of a number of companies who feel it important that their staff maintain a presence in the office when they dont actually need to. Theres so routinely a need to point the finger at authority but, in this case, had enough of us done what we were told over the last 3-4 months then we wouldn't be facing into what we are. Its so frustrating having kept my circle to immediate family & a few neighbours out on the street to hear of people going to functions with dozens of people (someone I know actually went to an event like that & said they felt uncomfortable about it, but still stayed & got pissed!). I haven't seen friends in months yet I know people who have had friends over to stay and/or rented a house for a long weekend to meet up with groups of friends. If we as a population were behaving like adults then this wouldn't be happening. But we're not. So why should we be treated as adults? And for as long as enough people are being haphazard about how they approach this then the response from NPHET & the Gov will remain haphazard as they try to tackle not just the virus, but the populations poor response to it too.
molloyjh wrote: » If we as a population were behaving like adults then this wouldn't be happening. But we're not. So why should we be treated as adults? And for as long as enough people are being haphazard about how they approach this then the response from NPHET & the Gov will remain haphazard as they try to tackle not just the virus, but the populations poor response to it too.
awec wrote: » I would say the overwhelming majority of people have been complying with all the measures. I do not agree with any notion that the public aren't behaving like adults, therefore the government shouldn't treat them like adults. The government are not parents scolding a bold child. I am not against lockdowns etc, but if they want to get stricter then give us the damn specifics about what exactly is causing them to react so extremely. The messaging has, IMO, been a total shambles on this from the start. They get a lot of leeway for the first few months when things were nuts and we didn't know anything and we were scrambling. But there is no more excuses left.
molloyjh wrote: » If an overwhelming number had been doing what they should have then, by definition, we wouldn't be having the problem we are now having. The numbers simply wouldn't be near where they are. Most probably are following the guidelines, but clearly not enough are. We were told from the beginning that the roadmap that they came up with wasn't definitive. We were told it was contingent on our own behaviours & the prevalence of the virus in the community. We were told we could see early adoption of some or all of later phases, but similarly that we could see a reversal to some or all of previous phases. This we all knew. While I agree that the comms from this Gov have been incredibly poor, all of the above we were clearly told about by the previous Gov, who I thought were as clear as they could have been. Not a whole lot has changed since then really. We still need to keep our circles small & avoid unnecessary travel. Sure pubs were reopened, but that wasn't licence for people to meet up in groups the way some have. I fundamentally disagree with the notion that more information will lead to more or better compliance. Most people simply don't bother with the information. Clear communication around the reasons for greater restrictions of course should be a minimum, but again that doesnt change much, if anything at all. What people need to do now is still the same thing that they needed to do 4 months ago. If enough people don't do that then what happens next is on them. Not the Gov, not NPHET, but the grown adults who can't behave responsibly. And I'd have zero problem with that message being delivered very strongly from here on out.
awec wrote: » But what is the evidence for this? Is current transmission not within the family home? Social visits within homes have been allowed for months now. Going from where we are now, to a level 5 national lockdown is huge. It screams incompetence. Imagine someone in work telling you today that they think they'll be a week late with their work. And then in a few days time, they come back and tell you they'll be 6 months late. You'd be sitting thinking what the fcuk are they doing? It wasn't even a week ago they were discussing POSSIBLY going to level 2 / 3 for 2/3 counties.
[Deleted User] wrote: » I suspect it's far easier to follow the guidelines to the letter if your life revolves around a young family
Deleted User wrote: » It could be incompetence, or it could be a lot of people taking the absolute piss and causing a fresh spike.
molloyjh wrote: » I fundamentally disagree with the notion that more information will lead to more or better compliance. Most people simply don't bother with the information. Clear communication around the reasons for greater restrictions of course should be a minimum, but again that doesnt change much, if anything at all.
awec wrote: » But what is the evidence for this? There is transmission within the family home as far as I know? Social visits within homes have been allowed for months now for example. Going from where we are now, to a level 5 national lockdown is huge. It screams incompetence. Imagine someone in work telling you today that they think they'll be a week late with their work. And then in a few days time, they come back and tell you they'll be 6 months late. You'd be sitting thinking what the fcuk are they doing? It wasn't even a week ago they were discussing POSSIBLY going to level 2 / 3 for 2/3 counties.
[Deleted User] wrote: » More information communicated better is never a bad thing. The problem is that too many people are resorting to facebook for their information.
molloyjh wrote: » Why? A young family just introduces an entirely different set of issues. For example at the time in her life when she most needed social interaction with other kids my daughter had to do without. Not only that, but the grandparents that she saw all the time were taken away for moths too. Her entire world was turned upside down. And through that my wife & I had to manage full time jobs & caring for her full-time as well. Everything suffered. Her well being, work, our own well being. Now we're facing into winter when outdoor activities are going to be significantly reduced compared to the last 6 months. But there are no indoor activities to take their place. Whereas last year we could have gone to play centres, this year we need to find something else to pass all those hours & days. And if we're in a lockdown situation we would have to do that without being able to fall back on family to look after her & give us a break. Which is fairly tiring to say the least. That's not to say that we have it worse than anyone else, its just that each scenario just presents an entirely different set of challenges. If schools stay open then we need to limit our circle further somewhere else as her being in pre-school itself makes it larger. But someone who is living alone can afford to include people in their circle that my wife & I can't, such as a few friends etc.
awec wrote: » So give us the data, and the models used and specifically tell us what the concern is. Are we going to run out of hospital beds? ICU beds? Specifically what steps have been taken by the HSE to prepare for a second wave that was absolutely inevitable? Is the concern for the old and vulnerable? Again, what specific steps have been taken to enable them to cocoon more effectively? What are we doing with nursing homes to prevent the same outbreak as last time?
molloyjh wrote: » If an overwhelming number had been doing what they should have then, by definition, we wouldn't be having the problem we are now having. The numbers simply wouldn't be near where they are. Most probably are following the guidelines, but clearly not enough are.
Deleted User wrote: » More information communicated better is never a bad thing.The problem is that too many people are resorting to facebook for their information.
Deleted User wrote: » I'm not doubting that it's tough. I've been babysitting for my sister more than usual as I have the time. The first time was a few months back and she was so happy, telling me they haven't had a moment to themselves since February. What I am suggesting is that it is easier if you have a young family to adhere to the guidelines. That's all. It already suits parents' lifestyle to a degree. Getting into a groove and staying in an insular bubble is what parents seem to do anyway. They're never too far away from their children. The stereotype of not seeing your friends once they have kids isn't without merit. Priorities shift once children enter the equation. Parents are happy to stay home more than single people.
sydthebeat wrote: » I don't at all agree with this.What on earth did they expect when things gradually reopened?There was no way on hell the case rate was doing to stay in the low double figures. We had a concrete reason for the first lockdown. Protect the vulnerable by flattening the curve and protect the health service from being overrun. Essentially buying more time. Well that was 7 months ago, the curve was flattened. The HSE were disgraceful in their attempt to protect the vulnerable by actively allowing covid into nursing homes, which, when the dust settles will be down to be the biggest scandal of this whole thing. As I said already this is a management issue within the HSE that they are trying to solve by recommending severe actions to the whole country. There's no way the whole country should be going from level to 2 in the majority to level 5. The case number rise has been steadily low enough for the last four weeks to show that there is no huge explosion of cases. We're 7 months on from that now... We need to learn to live with this thing, while protecting business and the economy. The communication and "do as I say, not as I do" actions from those giving the orders had been diabolical.
awec wrote: » Is the plan to just keep locking down until there's a vaccine?
[Deleted User] wrote: » Yes, hence the traffic light system.
[Deleted User] wrote: » I'm not doubting that it's tough. I've been babysitting for my sister more than usual as I have the time. The first time was a few months back and she was so happy, telling me they haven't had a moment to themselves since February. What I am suggesting is that it is easier if you have a young family to adhere to the guidelines. That's all. It already suits parents' lifestyle to a degree. Getting into a groove and staying in an insular bubble is what parents seem to do anyway. They're never too far away from their children. The stereotype of not seeing your friends once they have kids isn't without merit. Priorities shift once children enter the equation. Parents are happy to stay home more than single people.
awec wrote: » Yep, exactly. We can lock down now, then gradually reopen, and guess what'll happen then. Is the plan to just keep locking down until there's a vaccine?
Deleted User wrote: » Yes, hence the traffic light system.
molloyjh wrote: » I think the plan was that we re-open, people adhere to the guidance well enough, we see an increase in cases but because people are doing enough its an increase we can cope with. What we got was a re-open, too many people not adhering to the guidelines well enough and so an increase in cases that we soon realised we weren't going to be able to cope with. Nobody anywhere knew for certain how people were going to react. The only way to find out was to try it & hope people did enough. We were warned what would happen if people didn't do enough. So we can't in anyway be surprised that we are going backwards as a result. I know the gut reaction is to blame those in charge, but for this it all comes down to how the population behave. That steers everything. Thats the critical factor.
awec wrote: » So the end result is a country that might have fewer cases, but that's going to be totally broke. The more lockdowns we go through, the more people are going to end up with no home and no job, in a country that doesn't have the money to support them properly.
awec wrote: » But we can cope with this increase? We haven't been told otherwise. As already said, the number of hospitalisations is a fraction of what it was in March. If the current trend of hospitalisations is enough to warrant a level 5 lockdown nationally then any increase is going to lead to the same lockdown in future. It is just as likely that we open up again, people adhere to the guidance again, and we see another spike again.